The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Villanova FCS | W 27–26 | -20.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 92Central Michigan | W 40–3 | +25.5 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 62Maryland | L 20–34 | -16.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 34Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 15–31 | -10.0 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 26LouisvilleCONF | L 6–28 | -15.5 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 14Florida StateCONF | L 20–38 | -9.0 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 102Wake ForestCONF | W 30–7 | +17.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 17ClemsonCONF | L 6–16 | +3.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 56NC StateCONF | L 17–24 | -8.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 36DukeCONF | L 10–27 | -13.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 49PittsburghCONF | L 7–30 | -17.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 43Boston CollegeCONF | L 7–28 | -14.3 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.8% | 114th | 42.7% | 67th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.6% | 104th | 40.8% | 34th |
| Passing success rate | 35.0% | 109th | 44.9% | 106th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 59th | 10.7% | 6th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.0% | 103rd | 8.5% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.58 | 118th | 2.90 | 47th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.4% | 103rd | 37.8% | 49th |
| Stuff rate | 23.4% | 116th | 18.8% | 62nd |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 46th | 6.8% | 35th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.6% | 110th | 42.5% | 78th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 40.0% | 125th | 44.7% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 13.1% | 88th | 12.9% | 44th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 16.0 | 123rd | 24.0 | 30th |
| Yards / game | 329.9 | 116th | 349.2 | 29th |
| Yards / play | 4.76 | 108th | 4.84 | 27th |
| Pass yards / game | 184.1 | 105th | 194.8 | 39th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.77 | 120th | 7.30 | 89th |
| Completion % | 54.0% | 104th | 65.2% | 119th |
| Rush yards / game | 145.8 | 93rd | 139.3 | 32nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.13 | 80th | 3.39 | 19th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.1% | 110th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 57th | 2.25 | 55th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.1 | 93rd | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mitch Kimble | QB | ||||
| 4 | AJ Long | QB | ||||
| 10 | Terrel Hunt | QB | ||||
| 10 | Austin Wilson | QB | ||||
| 1 | Ashton Broyld | RB | ||||
| 23 | Prince-Tyson Gulley | RB | ||||
| 25 | Jeremiah Kobena | RB | ||||
| 27 | George Morris | RB | ||||
| 29 | Devante McFarlane | RB | ||||
| 34 | Adonis Ameen-Moore | RB | ||||
| 84 | Ben Lewis | RB | ||||
| Ervin Phillips | RB | |||||
| 1 | Brisly Estime | WR | ||||
| 3 | Ervin Philips | WR | ||||
| 8 | Steve Ishmael | WR | ||||
| 22 | Adrian Flemming | WR | ||||
| 81 | Jamal Custis | WR | ||||
| 82 | Alvin Cornelius | WR | ||||
| 83 | Sean Avant | WR | ||||
| 88 | Jarrod West | WR | ||||
| 88 | Kendall Moore | TE | ||||
| 89 | Josh Parris | TE | ||||
| 61 | Ryan Sloan | DL | ||||
| 5 | Luke Arciniega | DE | ||||
| 13 | Ron Thompson Jr. | DE | ||||
| 51 | Donnie Simmons | DE | ||||
| 91 | Isaiah Johnson | DE | ||||
| 93 | Micah Robinson | DE | ||||
| 94 | Robert Welsh | DE | ||||
| 98 | Trevon Trejo | DE | ||||
| 50 | John Raymon | DT | ||||
| 55 | Marcus Coleman | DT | ||||
| 52 | Eric Crume | NT | ||||
| 75 | Wayne Williams | NT | ||||
| 4 | Brandon Reddish | LB | ||||
| 4 | Zaire Franklin | LB | ||||
| 7 | Oliver Vigille | LB | ||||
| 10 | Josh Kirkland | LB | ||||
| 23 | Jonathan Thomas | LB | ||||
| 30 | Parris Bennett | LB | ||||
| 33 | Marqez Hodge | LB | ||||
| 35 | Dyshawn Davis | LB | ||||
| 38 | Cameron Lynch | LB | ||||
| 2 | Wayne Morgan | DB | ||||
| 22 | Cordell Hudson | DB | ||||
| 28 | Antwan Cordy | DB | ||||
| 29 | Jerry Miles | DB | ||||
| 1 | Julian Whigham | CB | ||||
| 3 | Durell Eskridge | S | ||||
| 6 | Ritchy Desir | S | ||||
| 8 | Darius Kelly | S | ||||
| 23 | Rodney Williams | S | ||||
| 12 | Ryan Norton | PK | ||||
| 48 | Cole Murphy | PK | ||||
| 92 | Riley Dixon | P |
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →