The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 22IllinoisCONF | W 23–20 | +8.2 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Idaho FCS | W 35–22 | -10.2 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 47Western Kentucky | W 33–30 | +4.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 29Cincinnati | L 24–45 | -13.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 78NebraskaCONF | L 21–35 | -14.4 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 3MichiganCONF | L 10–31 | -5.1 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 37MarylandCONF | L 33–38 | -2.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 104RutgersCONF | L 17–24 | -11.6 | — | BTN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 6Penn StateCONF | L 14–45 | -14.1 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 14–56 | -9.2 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 68Michigan StateCONF | W 39–31 | +11.1 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 60PurdueCONF | L 16–30 | -14.3 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.9% | 116th | 44.4% | 89th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.7% | 103rd | 39.6% | 20th |
| Passing success rate | 36.2% | 113th | 49.9% | 125th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 97th | 11.7% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.6% | 126th | 11.7% | 101st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.90 | 115th | 2.95 | 36th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.1% | 121st | 31.4% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 16.6% | 73rd | 15.2% | 83rd |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 85th | 4.0% | 116th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.7% | 115th | 42.8% | 94th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 110th | 60.8% | 67th |
| Havoc rate | 8.1% | 55th | 6.5% | 109th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.4 | 67th | 33.9 | 117th |
| Yards / game | 328.3 | 110th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.29 | 126th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 217.4 | 87th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.40 | 128th | — | — |
| Completion % | 54.0% | 118th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 110.8 | 112th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.36 | 113th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.9% | 111th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.25 | 117th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.3 | 33rd | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dexter Williams II | QB | ||||
| 9 | Connor Bazelak | QB | ||||
| 14 | Jack Tuttle | QB | ||||
| 15 | Brendan Sorsby | QB | ||||
| 2 | Shaun Shivers | RB | ||||
| 12 | Jaylin Lucas | RB | ||||
| 26 | Josh Henderson | RB | ||||
| 27 | Trent Howland | RB | ||||
| 36 | Charlie Spegal | RB | ||||
| 0 | Emery Simmons | WR | ||||
| 1 | Donaven McCulley | WR | ||||
| 3 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | ||||
| 6 | Cam Camper | WR | ||||
| 7 | D.J. Matthews Jr. | WR | ||||
| 10 | Andison Coby | WR | ||||
| 18 | Von Swinton | WR | ||||
| 19 | Malachi Holt-Bennett | WR | ||||
| 80 | Connor Delp | WR | ||||
| 85 | McCall Ray | WR | ||||
| 48 | James Bomba | TE | ||||
| 84 | Aaron Steinfeldt | TE | ||||
| 88 | AJ Barner | TE | ||||
| 6 | James Head Jr. | DL | ||||
| 41 | Beau Robbins | DL | ||||
| 47 | JH Tevis | DL | ||||
| 50 | Patrick Lucas Jr. | DL | ||||
| 50 | Sio Nofoagatoto'a | DL | ||||
| 94 | Demarcus Elliott | DL | ||||
| 11 | LD Cox | DT | ||||
| 4 | Cam Jones | LB | ||||
| 5 | Bradley Jennings Jr. | LB | ||||
| 8 | Jared Casey | LB | ||||
| 10 | Myles Jackson | LB | ||||
| 14 | Kaiden Turner | LB | ||||
| 43 | Matt Hohlt | LB | ||||
| 44 | Aaron Casey | LB | ||||
| 92 | Alfred Bryant | LB | ||||
| 1 | Devon Matthews | DB | ||||
| 1 | James Monds III | DB | ||||
| 16 | Jordan Grier | DB | ||||
| 17 | Jonathan Haynes | DB | ||||
| 19 | Josh Sanguinetti | DB | ||||
| 21 | Noah Pierre | DB | ||||
| 21 | Lem Watley-Neely | DB | ||||
| 24 | Bryson Bonds | DB | ||||
| 31 | Bryant Fitzgerald | DB | ||||
| 3 | Tiawan Mullen | CB | ||||
| 23 | Jaylin Williams | CB | ||||
| 2 | Phillip Dunnam | S | ||||
| 3 | Brylan Lanier | S | ||||
| 20 | Louis Moore | S | ||||
| 20 | Chris Keys Jr. | S | ||||
| 93 | Charles Campbell | PK | ||||
| 94 | James Evans | P | ||||
| 99 | Cayson Pfeiffer | LS | ||||
| 22 | Dasan McCullough | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →