ACC · 2014 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2014

6-74-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#73
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-1.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.7
19th in FBS
Defense
-8.1
118th in FBS
Schedule
+2.8
28th toughest
Preseason
+3.7
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-1.4 now, +3.7 preseason · down 41 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#73

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsLiberty FCSW 56–29+4.0—ESPN3
2Sep 6vs75San Diego StateW 31–270.0—ESPNEWS
3—Bye
4Sep 20@45East CarolinaL 41–70-19.7—ESPNU
5Sep 27@17ClemsonCONFL 35–50-2.0—ESPNU
6Oct 4vs37Virginia TechCONFL 17–34-14.1—ESPN3
7Oct 11@34Notre DameL 43–50+1.4—NBC
8Oct 18vs9Georgia TechCONFW 48–43+15.5—ESPNU
9Oct 25@52VirginiaCONFW 28–27+5.5—ESPN3
10Nov 1@33MiamiCONFL 20–47-16.2—ESPN3
11—Bye
12Nov 15vs49PittsburghCONFW 40–35+5.6—ESPN3
13Nov 20@36DukeCONFW 45–20+32.5—ESPN
14Nov 29vs56NC StateCONFL 7–35-26.5—ESPN3
BowlsDec 26vs65RutgersNEUTRALL 21–40-19.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.3%31st48.7%117th
Rushing success rate48.9%26th51.5%120th
Passing success rate44.0%37th45.1%111th
Explosive run rate15.5%48th16.8%96th
Explosive pass rate10.2%59th16.2%128th
Line yards / carry3.1743rd3.28107th
Opportunity rate40.8%44th43.5%116th
Stuff rate19.8%87th18.1%76th
Sack rate4.8%39th5.3%78th
3rd-down conversion44.4%44th50.9%124th
Red-zone TD rate71.7%18th75.0%123rd
Havoc rate11.0%45th11.3%83rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.032nd38.5116th
Yards / game429.848th495.7118th
Yards / play5.4166th6.25114th
Pass yards / game278.028th252.8110th
Yards / pass att.7.1064th8.50122nd
Completion %61.9%35th59.4%79th
Rush yards / game151.883rd232.2117th
Yards / carry3.9889th5.00101st
3rd-down conv. %42.4%44th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1573rd1.8384th
Penalty yards / game63.1107th——

Players

66 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

66 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →