ACC · 2026
North Carolina Tar Heels
Head coach Bill Belichick · Kenan Stadium
2-10-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#73
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-1.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.5
120th in FBS
Defense
+3.4
25th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.6
72nd toughest
Projected
5.0-7.0
bowl-eligible 35%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
-1.1 now, -3.6 preseason · up 33 spots since preseason
Final record odds
5.0-7.0 expected · most likely 5-7 (24%)
Team Leaders
Passing
Billy Edwards Jr.
QB · SR · 77th in FBS
611yds
3 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Benjamin Hall
RB · JR · 65th in FBS
215yds
33 car · 0 TD
Receiving
Jelani Thurman
TE · JR · 108th in FBS
183yds
11 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Derek McDonald
LB · SR · 64th in FBS
24tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Xavier Lewis
DL · SO · 1st in FBS
6sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Greg Smith
DB · SO · 8th in FBS
2INT
1 PD
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 40TCUNEUTRAL | W 15–10 | +9.2 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee State FCS | W 35–3 | -0.4 | — | ACCNX |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 70ClemsonCONF | L 20–28 | -4.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 1Notre Dame | Notre Dame −14.5 · o/u 40.5 | — | ||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 18PittsburghCONF | Pittsburgh −12.4 · o/u 39.0 | — | ||
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 21DukeCONF | Duke −11.5 · o/u 40.6 | — | ||
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 85SyracuseCONF | North Carolina −4.5 · o/u 38.0 | — | ||
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 3MiamiCONF | Miami −12.6 · o/u 39.9 | — | ||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 68UConn | UConn −4.4 · o/u 47.2 | — | CBSSN | |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 30LouisvilleCONF | Louisville −3.8 · o/u 51.1 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 28VirginiaCONF | Virginia −9.9 · o/u 40.9 | — | ||
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 60NC StateCONF | North Carolina −0.6 · o/u 42.8 | — |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | +0.118 | 89th | -0.027 | 38th |
| Success rate | 50.3% | 29th | 39.2% | 64th |
| Explosiveness | 1.009 | 132nd | 1.049 | 12th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.0% | 32nd | 39.8% | 67th |
| Rushing success rate | 57.9% | 6th | 43.2% | 93rd |
| Passing success rate | 42.9% | 81st | 36.6% | 48th |
| Explosive run rate | 21.1% | 9th | 8.0% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.3% | 39th | 7.1% | 35th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.99 | 3rd | 3.11 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 52.6% | 3rd | 37.5% | 82nd |
| Stuff rate | 10.5% | 17th | 11.4% | 127th |
| Sack rate | 8.3% | 122nd | 9.7% | 11th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.5% | 117th | 41.5% | 87th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.5% | 102nd | 25.0% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 11.9% | 55th | 12.7% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.3 | 108th | 13.7 | 25th |
| Yards / game | 366.0 | 94th | 312.3 | 58th |
| Yards / play | 5.90 | 74th | 4.38 | 34th |
| Pass yards / game | 211.0 | 89th | 189.3 | 58th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.50 | 82nd | 6.04 | 40th |
| Completion % | 56.0% | 121st | 67.0% | 119th |
| Rush yards / game | 155.0 | 83rd | 123.0 | 64th |
| Yards / carry | 4.90 | 50th | 3.35 | 50th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.2% | 89th | 44.4% | 116th |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 75th | 1.67 | 29th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 104th | 3.33 | 10th |
| Penalty yards / game | 31.7 | 8th | 60.7 | 46th |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Bill Belichick
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Travis Burgess | QB | FR | 6' 4" | 210 | Grayson, GA |
| 8 | Miles O'Neill | QB | SO | 6' 5" | 220 | Marblehead, MA |
| 9 | Billy Edwards Jr. | QB | SR | 6' 3" | 220 | Springfield, VA |
| 10 | Au'Tori Newkirk | QB | FR | 6' 3" | 220 | Norfolk, VA |
| 15 | DJ Mazzone | QB | SO | 6' 0" | 180 | Atlanta, GA |
| 18 | Andres Miyares Jr. | QB | SO | 6' 1" | 190 | Miami, FL |
| 0 | Demon June | RB | SO | 5' 11" | 225 | Jacksonville, NC |
| 5 | Kaleb Jackson | RB | JR | 6' 0" | 240 | Baton Rouge, LA |
| 7 | Benjamin Hall | RB | JR | 5' 11" | 230 | Kennesaw, GA |
| 20 | Crew Davis | RB | FR | 5' 11" | 200 | Fairfield, CT |
| 23 | Charleston French | RB | JR | 5' 9" | 200 | Amory, MS |
| 27 | Jaylen McGill | RB | SO | 5' 10" | 220 | Spartanburg, SC |
| 47 | Henry Martello | FB | FR | 6' 4" | 250 | Culver, IN |
| 1 | Jordan Shipp | WR | JR | 6' 2" | 200 | Charlotte, NC |
| 2 | Trech Kekahuna | WR | JR | 5' 10" | 185 | Honolulu, HI |
| 4 | Mason Humphrey | WR | SR | 6' 4" | 210 | Loganville, GA |
| 6 | Dayton Sneed | WR | JR | 6' 0" | 180 | Hermitage, TN |
| 11 | Nathan Leacock | WR | JR | 6' 3" | 220 | Rolesville, NC |
| 14 | C.J. Sadler | WR | FR | 5' 9" | 190 | Detroit, MI |
| 16 | Zamaurious Robertson | WR | FR | 6' 0" | 180 | Dillon, SC |
| 17 | Nyqir Helton | WR | FR | 5' 11" | 185 | Sicklerville, NJ |
| 24 | Jaden Jefferson | WR | FR | 5' 9" | 165 | Oakland, CA |
| 82 | Keeyun Chapman | WR | FR | 6' 3" | 215 | Jackson, AL |
| 45 | Jelani Thurman | TE | JR | 6' 6" | 245 | Fairburn, GA |
| 84 | Shamar Easter | TE | JR | 6' 5" | 230 | Ashdown, AR |
| 85 | Dream Rashad | TE | FR | 6' 5" | 240 | Buford, GA |
| 87 | Carson Sneed | TE | FR | 6' 6" | 240 | Nashville, TN |
| 88 | Deems May | TE | SR | 6' 2" | 225 | Charlotte, NC |
| 51 | Peter Pesansky | OL | SO | 6' 2" | 280 | Tampa, FL |
| 52 | Rowan Byrne | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 300 | Bronxville, NY |
| 54 | Jonah Rodriguez | OL | JR | 6' 4" | 300 | San Diego, CA |
| 55 | Brandon Homady | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 300 | Cleveland, OH |
| 56 | Christo Kelly | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 310 | Wilmette, IL |
| 57 | Will Conroy | OL | FR | 6' 2" | 300 | Valley View, OH |
| 60 | Cristian Alvarez | OL | FR | 6' 4" | 300 | Woodcliff Lake, NJ |
| 65 | Zion Smith | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 310 | Townsend, DE |
| 66 | Jordan Hall | OL | JR | 6' 8" | 310 | Columbus, OH |
| 67 | Dujuan Davis | OL | FR | 6' 9" | 380 | Clearwater, FL |
| 68 | Aidan Banfield | OL | JR | 6' 3" | 300 | Buford, GA |
| 70 | Byron Nelson | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 310 | Katy, TX |
| 71 | Jacqawn McRoy | OL | SO | 6' 8" | 330 | Bessemer, AL |
| 72 | Eidan Buchanan | OL | SO | 6' 9" | 330 | Montgomery Village, MD |
| 73 | J.B. Shabazz | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 320 | Winston-Salem, NC |
| 74 | Nick Fiumara | OL | FR | 6' 4" | 310 | Foxborough, MA |
| 75 | Andrew Threatt | OL | SR | 6' 3" | 320 | Chesterfield, SC |
| 77 | Trey Blue | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 310 | Cary, NC |
| 79 | Anthony Hall | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 330 | Brookline, MA |
| 0 | Isaiah Johnson | DL | SR | 6' 2" | 320 | Camden, NJ |
| 5 | Donovan Hoilette Jr. | DL | SR | 6' 4" | 245 | West Palm Beach, FL |
| 9 | Melkart Abou Jaoude | DL | SR | 6' 5" | 260 | Newton, NJ |
| 11 | Jaylen Harvey | DL | SO | 6' 2" | 245 | Gaithersburg, MD |
| 14 | Tarvorise Brown | DL | JR | 6' 7" | 260 | Miami, FL |
| 25 | Joseph Mupoyi | DL | JR | 6' 5" | 260 | Kinshasa, Congo |
| 29 | Zavion Griffin-Haynes | DL | FR | 6' 5" | 250 | Rolesville, NC |
| 56 | Viliami Moala | DL | FR | 6' 2" | 360 | West Valley City, UT |
| 88 | Vodney Cleveland | DL | FR | 6' 3" | 310 | Montgomery, AL |
| 89 | Emmanuel Nwaiwu | DL | FR | 6' 5" | 270 | Chateauguay, Canada |
| 90 | Xavier Lewis | DL | SO | 6' 0" | 260 | Raleigh, NC |
| 91 | Leroy Jackson | DL | SO | 6' 1" | 300 | Leesburg, GA |
| 92 | Jimmy-Phrisco Alo-Suliafu | DL | FR | 6' 3" | 210 | Hauula, HI |
| 93 | Trashawn Ruffin | DL | FR | 6' 3" | 360 | Calypso, NC |
| 94 | David Jackson III | DL | FR | 6' 2" | 260 | Washington, DC |
| 96 | Nicco Maggio | DL | FR | 6' 1" | 295 | Buford, GA |
| 97 | Trey Giddens | DL | FR | 6' 3" | 295 | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 8 | Jonathan Agumadu | LB | SO | 6' 2" | 220 | Dallas, TX |
| 10 | Peyton Seelmann | LB | JR | 6' 1" | 230 | Mechanicsville, VA |
| 12 | Calvin Thomas | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 235 | Houston, TX |
| 15 | Derek McDonald | LB | SR | 6' 4" | 240 | Atlanta, GA |
| 26 | DQ Forkpa | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 240 | Plymouth, MN |
| 33 | Tyler Houser | LB | FR | 6' 2" | 225 | Sparta, NJ |
| 35 | Ashton Blatt | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 230 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 36 | Jayden Griffin-Haynes | LB | FR | 6' 2" | 210 | Rolesville, NC |
| 42 | Jordan Avinger | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 225 | Orangeburg, SC |
| 43 | Lantz Pascal | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 240 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 44 | Jake Bauer | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 235 | West Chester, PA |
| 54 | Timir Hickman-Collins | LB | SO | 6' 2" | 235 | Fort Mill, SC |
| 95 | Daniel Anderson | LB | SO | 6' 1" | 240 | Memphis, TN |
| 1 | Greg Smith | DB | SO | 6' 4" | 215 | Riverview, FL |
| 2 | Kaleb Cost | DB | SR | 5' 11" | 195 | Atlanta, GA |
| 4 | Jalon Thompson | DB | JR | 5' 11" | 195 | Orlando, FL |
| 6 | Tre Miller | DB | JR | 5' 10" | 180 | Birmingham, AL |
| 16 | Coleman Bryson | DB | SR | 6' 2" | 215 | Waynesville, NC |
| 18 | Jaiden Patterson | DB | JR | 6' 1" | 195 | Dacula, GA |
| 19 | Reggie Love II | DB | JR | 5' 8" | 170 | Raleigh, NC |
| 20 | Xavier Jackson | DB | FR | 6' 1" | 190 | Willingboro, NJ |
| 21 | Kenton Dopson III | DB | FR | 6' 0" | 200 | Miami, FL |
| 23 | Khristian Dunbar-Hawkins | DB | SO | 5' 11" | 200 | Inland Empire, CA |
| 24 | Javion Butts | DB | FR | 6' 1" | 195 | Gray, GA |
| 27 | Graham Reintjes | DB | FR | 6' 1" | 195 | Austin, TX |
| 28 | Jamarrion Gordon | DB | FR | 5' 11" | 190 | Jackson, AL |
| 30 | Jaziel Hart | DB | FR | 5' 11" | 185 | Roanoke, VA |
| 31 | Julian Peterson | DB | FR | 6' 2" | 195 | Sicklerville, NJ |
| 32 | Jermaine Anderson | DB | FR | 6' 2" | 210 | Fredericksburg, VA |
| 34 | David Davis | DB | FR | 6' 0" | 200 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 38 | Julian Burns | DB | FR | 6' 3" | 195 | Monroe, LA |
| 92 | Aeron Burrell | PK | JR | 6' 2" | 190 | Bossier City, LA |
| 97 | David Green | PK | FR | 5' 10" | 180 | High Point, NC |
| 91 | Adam Mccann-Gibbs | P | FR | 6' 0" | 210 | Donegal, Ireland |
| 93 | Jacob Horvath | P | JR | 6' 1" | 185 | Melbourne, Australia |
| 48 | Gannon Burt | LS | JR | 6' 1" | 220 | Fort Mill, SC |
Updated Sep 24, 5:53 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →