ACC · 2026
NC State Wolfpack
Head coach Dave Doeren · Carter-Finley Stadium
1-20-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#60
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+1.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.0
58th in FBS
Defense
+0.3
63rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.2
53rd toughest
Projected
5.9-6.1
bowl-eligible 60%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
+1.3 now, +2.5 preseason · down 22 spots since preseason
Final record odds
5.9-6.1 expected · most likely 6-6 (22%)
Team Leaders
Passing
CJ Bailey
QB · JR · 66th in FBS
640yds
4 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Jayden Scott
RB · JR · 78th in FBS
198yds
32 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Keenan Jackson
WR · JR · 55th in FBS
231yds
15 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Popo Aguirre
LB · SR · 26th in FBS
27tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Adrian Farrow
DL · SO · 157th in FBS
1sacks
0 hurries
Interceptions
Jaren Sensabaugh
CB · JR · 35th in FBS
1INT
1 PD
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 28VirginiaCONF | L 8–34 | -15.9 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Richmond FCS | W 73–0 | +13.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 46Vanderbilt | L 31–35 | +1.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 82App State | NC State −6.5 · o/u 49.1 | — | ESPNU | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 30LouisvilleCONF | Louisville −1.4 · o/u 59.6 | — | ||
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 51Wake ForestCONF | NC State −1.7 · o/u 53.6 | — | ||
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 116StanfordCONF | NC State −4.9 · o/u 49.5 | — | ESPN | |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 89CaliforniaCONF | NC State −7.0 · o/u 51.7 | — | ||
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 21DukeCONF | Duke −3.2 · o/u 49.1 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 85SyracuseCONF | NC State −6.9 · o/u 46.5 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 45Florida StateCONF | Florida State −4.8 · o/u 55.8 | — | ||
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 73North CarolinaCONF | North Carolina −0.6 · o/u 42.8 | — |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | +0.168 | 73rd | +0.221 | 120th |
| Success rate | 43.6% | 71st | 45.3% | 116th |
| Explosiveness | 1.342 | 38th | 1.259 | 74th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.4% | 71st | 46.8% | 119th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.7% | 102nd | 53.9% | 137th |
| Passing success rate | 49.3% | 36th | 38.5% | 64th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.3% | 92nd | 14.5% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 61st | 12.5% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.88 | 105th | 3.54 | 128th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.5% | 126th | 42.1% | 120th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 79th | 11.8% | 125th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 64th | 1.5% | 127th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.4% | 43rd | 31.0% | 30th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 87.5% | 14th | 83.3% | 121st |
| Havoc rate | 13.2% | 77th | 11.3% | 113th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.3 | 46th | 23.0 | 74th |
| Yards / game | 449.3 | 45th | 310.7 | 57th |
| Yards / play | 6.61 | 35th | 5.24 | 83rd |
| Pass yards / game | 226.0 | 71st | 169.3 | 35th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.60 | 78th | 7.06 | 84th |
| Completion % | 66.3% | 56th | 51.4% | 10th |
| Rush yards / game | 223.3 | 28th | 141.3 | 85th |
| Yards / carry | 6.10 | 17th | 4.12 | 87th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.7% | 32nd | 25.6% | 16th |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 117th | 1.67 | 29th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.67 | 70th | 1.00 | 111th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.0 | 21st | 67.0 | 34th |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Dave Doeren
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CJ Bailey | QB | JR | 6' 6" | 218 | Miami, FL |
| 12 | Tad Hudson | QB | SR | 6' 3" | 227 | Huntersville, NC |
| 1 | Jayden Scott | RB | JR | 5' 10" | 220 | Stockbridge, GA |
| 7 | Davion Gause | RB | JR | 5' 11" | 217 | Opa Locka, FL |
| 14 | Jonathan Paylor | RB | JR | 5' 9" | 187 | Burlington, NC |
| 20 | Deandre Desinor | RB | SO | 5' 10" | 186 | Delray Beach, FL |
| 24 | Dylan McCoy | RB | FR | 5' 8" | 210 | Grayson, GA |
| 25 | Darius Johnson | RB | SR | 5' 10" | 211 | Hendersonville, TN |
| 26 | Isiah Jones | RB | JR | 5' 8" | 195 | Rolesville, NC |
| 29 | RJ Boyd | RB | FR | 5' 10" | 217 | Waycross, GA |
| 34 | Noah Moss | RB | FR | 6' 0" | 205 | Daphne, AL |
| 5 | Davion Dozier | WR | SR | 6' 3" | 203 | Moody, AL |
| 6 | Ashton Locklear | WR | SR | 6' 1" | 185 | Apex, NC |
| 8 | Keenan Jackson | WR | JR | 6' 3" | 194 | Waxhaw, NC |
| 12 | Teddy Hoffmann | WR | SO | 6' 1" | 174 | Delray Beach, FL |
| 21 | Je'rel Bolder | WR | SO | 6' 0" | 208 | Wingate, NC |
| 28 | Sam Dodd | WR | SO | 6' 2" | 197 | Raleigh, NC |
| 35 | Jason Schutt | WR | JR | 5' 7" | 162 | Mooresville, NC |
| 36 | Cameron Cornthwaite | WR | JR | 5' 9" | 180 | Apex, NC |
| 37 | Addison Carlson | WR | JR | 5' 11" | 190 | Holly Springs, NC |
| 80 | Ethan Dowdy | WR | SR | 6' 2" | 192 | Powhatan, VA |
| 82 | Chance Robinson | WR | JR | 6' 2" | 209 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 83 | Amiri Acker | WR | FR | 6' 2" | 204 | Iva, SC |
| 85 | Tyreek Copper | WR | FR | 6' 1" | 197 | Kinston, NC |
| 89 | Jai Richburg | WR | FR | 6' 2" | 207 | Winston-Salem, NC |
| 4 | Vander Ploog | TE | SO | 6' 6" | 253 | Fullerton, CA |
| 19 | Preston Douglas | TE | SO | 6' 3" | 237 | Jupiter, FL |
| 44 | Gus Ritchey | TE | SO | 6' 2" | 238 | Pittsboro, NC |
| 84 | Stephen Brown | TE | FR | 6' 6" | 203 | Chicago, IL |
| 86 | Hunter Provience | TE | SR | 6' 5" | 261 | San Diego, CA |
| 87 | Ian Flynt | TE | JR | 6' 4" | 276 | Katy, TX |
| 50 | Daniel Cruz | OL | JR | 6' 2" | 317 | North Richland Hills, TX |
| 52 | Kage Payne | OL | SO | 6' 2" | 295 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 53 | Matthew Clay | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 300 | Raleigh, NC |
| 53 | Keoni Riley | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 285 | Jacksonville, NC |
| 54 | Teague Andersen | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 322 | Lehi, UT |
| 55 | Katron Evans | OL | SR | 6' 3" | 335 | Norfolk, VA |
| 56 | Omarian Abraham | OL | SO | 6' 1" | 300 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 60 | Joseph Castaneda | OL | JR | 6' 2" | 316 | Raeford, NC |
| 62 | Jimarion McCrimon | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 314 | Kissimmee, FL |
| 64 | Rico Jackson | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 316 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 67 | Henri Paris | OL | SR | 6' 3" | 310 | Kinston, NC |
| 71 | Yousef Mugharbil | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 327 | Murphy, NC |
| 75 | Tre Aiken | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 321 | Clinton, SC |
| 76 | Michael Gibbs | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 310 | Wilmington, NC |
| 78 | Trent Mitchell | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 316 | Gastonia, NC |
| 93 | Carmelo McKenzie | OL | FR | 6' 1" | 322 | York, PA |
| 73 | Brady Sakowitz | OT | FR | 6' 6" | 316 | Richmond, VA |
| 47 | Adrian Farrow | DL | SO | 6' 3" | 276 | Miami, FL |
| 99 | AJ Prim | DL | SR | 6' 2" | 300 | Foley, AL |
| 13 | Joseph Adedire | DE | SR | 6' 3" | 254 | Arlington, TX |
| 92 | Chase Bond | DE | JR | 6' 4" | 252 | Massillon, OH |
| 95 | JJ Ferguson Jr. | DE | FR | 6' 3" | 260 | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 34 | Colby Cronk | DT | SO | 6' 3" | 287 | Palm Coast, FL |
| 80 | Damaad Lewis | DT | FR | 6' 3" | 267 | Charlotte, NC |
| 88 | Isaiah Shirley | DT | SR | 6' 3" | 294 | Boone, NC |
| 98 | Fabian Kimbrough | DT | SR | 6' 3" | 290 | Stephens City, VA |
| 0 | Popo Aguirre | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 235 | Fayetteville, GA |
| 5 | Harvey Dyson III | LB | SR | 6' 2" | 257 | Cedar Hill, TX |
| 8 | Da'Karri Nelson | LB | SR | 6' 3" | 241 | Livingston, AL |
| 15 | AJ Richardson | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 235 | Kings Mountain, NC |
| 25 | Sterling Dixon | LB | JR | 6' 2" | 231 | Spanish Fort, AL |
| 31 | Bailey Benson | LB | SO | 6' 0" | 214 | Covington, GA |
| 32 | Caleb Gordon | LB | FR | 5' 11" | 226 | Gastonia, NC |
| 33 | Nathan Huffman | LB | SO | 5' 11" | 184 | Apex, NC |
| 33 | Ziggy Moore | LB | FR | 6' 2" | 232 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 35 | LaCorian Hodge | LB | SO | 6' 2" | 216 | Arlington, TX |
| 37 | Lawrence Brown Jr. | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 224 | Grayson, GA |
| 38 | Logan Foust | LB | JR | 6' 0" | 202 | Graham, NC |
| 42 | Ke'Von Carter | LB | SO | 6' 3" | 245 | San Antonio, TX |
| 43 | Koby Sarkodie | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 220 | Baltimore, MD |
| 44 | Jordan Moreta | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 230 | Union City, NJ |
| 45 | Isaac Peters | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 247 | Lake Mary, FL |
| 46 | Ryan Klimp | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 215 | Clayton, NC |
| 47 | Jackson Mastor | LB | JR | 6' 0" | 214 | Mooresville, NC |
| 48 | Hunter Jackson | LB | SO | 6' 1" | 226 | Raleigh, NC |
| 52 | David Collins | LB | SR | 6' 2" | 233 | Wilmington, NC |
| 58 | Elijah Satchell | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 242 | Camden, NJ |
| 20 | Ondre Evans | DB | JR | 6' 0" | 201 | Franklin, TN |
| 6 | Asaad Brown Jr. | CB | JR | 6' 0" | 200 | Chesapeake, VA |
| 7 | Brian Nelson II | CB | SR | 6' 0" | 200 | Pearland, TX |
| 8 | Isaiah Crowell | CB | SR | 5' 11" | 185 | Kernersville, NC |
| 12 | Caden Gordon | CB | SO | 6' 1" | 192 | Lake Worth, FL |
| 14 | Jaren Sensabaugh | CB | JR | 6' 1" | 193 | Nashville, TN |
| 26 | Jordyn Best | CB | FR | 5' 10" | 183 | Hopkins, SC |
| 28 | Dy'Lan Johnson | CB | SO | 6' 4" | 190 | Baldwyn, MS |
| 30 | Jordan Jackson | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 182 | Winter Park, FL |
| 38 | DJ Dillard | CB | JR | 5' 8" | 175 | Collinsville, VA |
| Jamel Johnson | CB | SR | 5' 11" | 191 | Covington, GA | |
| 2 | Ronnie Royal III | S | JR | 5' 9" | 188 | Gulf Shores, AL |
| 4 | King Mack | S | SR | 5' 10" | 195 | Miami, FL |
| 21 | Chino Aguirre | S | FR | 6' 0" | 208 | Locust Grove, GA |
| 29 | Brody Barnhardt | S | JR | 6' 0" | 190 | Cornelius, NC |
| 36 | Tristen Hill | S | FR | 5' 10" | 193 | Lawrenceville, GA |
| 39 | Tristan Clapp | S | SO | 5' 11" | 170 | Concord, NC |
| 49 | Hampton Roderick | S | SO | 5' 10" | 179 | Wilmington, NC |
| 91 | Nick Konieczynski | PK | JR | 5' 11" | 221 | Matthews, NC |
| 98 | Drew Lovelace | PK | SR | 6' 2" | 175 | |
| 97 | Cristian Harthan | P | SO | 6' 5" | 190 | Waxhaw, NC |
| 92 | Aiden Arias | LS | SR | 6' 0" | 203 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →