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SEC · 2026

Vanderbilt Commodores

Head coach Clark Lea · FirstBank Stadium
3-50-5 in conference
TDC Rank
#64
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.5
67th in FBS
Defense
+1.8
55th in FBS
Schedule so far
+4.2
22nd toughest
Projected
3.8-8.2
bowl-eligible 3%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.2 now, +11.9 preseason · down 40 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#63

Final record odds

3.8-8.2 expected · most likely 3-9 (42%)
42%3-940%4-815%5-76-6

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jared Curtis
QB · FR · 76th in FBS
1489yds
8 TD · 8 INT
Rushing
Sedrick Alexander
RB · SR · 242nd in FBS
274yds
64 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Junior Sherrill
WR · SR · 20th in FBS
706yds
49 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
CJ Heard
S · JR · 69th in FBS
62tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
CJ Heard
S · JR · 147th in FBS
3sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Martel Hight
CB · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAustin Peay FCSW 28–9 ›+3.1—SECN+
2Sep 12vs101DelawareW 35–26 ›-4.6—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs67NC StateW 35–31 ›+2.2—SEC Network
4Sep 26@27AuburnCONFL 15–21 ›+10.1—SEC Network
5Oct 3@5GeorgiaCONFL 14–38 ›+3.8—SEC Network
6Oct 10vs10Ole MissCONFL 17–52 ›-9.7—ESPN
7Oct 17vs68ArkansasCONFL 21–31 ›-12.4—ESPN2
8Oct 24@30KentuckyCONFL 17–34 ›-1.3—SEC Network
9—Bye
10Nov 7@45Mississippi StateCONFMississippi State −8.2 · o/u 55.6—29%SEC Network
11Nov 14vs7AlabamaCONFAlabama −16.9 · o/u 55.0—13%SEC Network
12Nov 21@19FloridaCONFFlorida −16.5 · o/u 56.3—13%
13Nov 28vs13TennesseeCONFTennessee −11.0 · o/u 50.7—23%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.07797th+0.163107th
Success rate40.2%98th44.7%116th
Explosiveness1.33623rd1.18039th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.2%89th46.0%123rd
Rushing success rate39.4%108th47.5%123rd
Passing success rate42.6%60th44.4%113th
Explosive run rate11.3%111th14.9%103rd
Explosive pass rate9.1%92nd10.1%76th
Line yards / carry2.94103rd3.1693rd
Opportunity rate33.5%125th36.0%49th
Stuff rate16.7%60th14.0%117th
Sack rate4.9%60th5.8%67th
3rd-down conversion39.6%84th43.0%108th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%39th72.0%122nd
Havoc rate14.1%89th11.8%112th
Box score · season totals
Points / game22.8105th30.3113th
Yards / game342.8109th366.976th
Yards / play5.28101st5.4986th
Pass yards / game236.660th217.377th
Yards / pass att.7.5065th7.3385th
Completion %62.5%76th65.8%119th
Rush yards / game106.1129th149.679th
Yards / carry3.40126th4.2583rd
3rd-down conv. %40.7%57th43.0%115th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.75126th0.88107th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0075th2.0074th
Penalty yards / game66.3104th43.6121st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.3
46th of 138
YAC per catch
5.1
87th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
17%
31st of 138
Shotgun
92%
99th of 138
No-huddle
49%
81st of 138
QB pressured
13%
73rd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
13%
93rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.4
55th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws242 throws charted

62% comp9.3 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds9–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 25 throws (10%), 20 caught (80%), 83 yds, 3.3 per throw2580% · 83yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 35 throws (14%), 26 caught (74%), 216 yds, 6.2 per throw3574% · 216yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 11 caught (69%), 124 yds, 7.8 per throw1669% · 124yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 45 yds, 7.5 per throw650% · 45yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw367% · 36yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 60 yds, 8.6 per throw714% · 60yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 134 yds, 14.9 per throw944% · 134yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 26 yds, 6.5 per throw4100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 29 yds, 3.6 per throw863% · 29yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 13 caught (72%), 152 yds, 8.4 per throw1872% · 152yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 8 caught (67%), 107 yds, 8.9 per throw1267% · 107yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 64 yds, 16.0 per throw475% · 64yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 31 yds, 31.0 per throw1100% · 31yRight, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw786% · 32yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 19 caught (83%), 140 yds, 6.1 per throw2383% · 140yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 12 caught (57%), 99 yds, 4.7 per throw2157% · 99yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 92 yds, 7.7 per throw1250% · 92yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 32 yds, 4.0 per throw825% · 32yRight, 20–29 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 5 caught (33%), 134 yds, 8.9 per throw1533% · 134yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 195 yds, 39.0 per throw5100% · 195y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on228 throws charted

65% comp8.2 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds13–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (7%), 14 caught (88%), 92 yds, 5.8 per throw1688% · 92yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 11 caught (73%), 74 yds, 4.9 per throw1573% · 74yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 12 caught (75%), 128 yds, 8.0 per throw1675% · 128yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 22 yds, 2.8 per throw825% · 22yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 54 yds, 13.5 per throw475% · 54yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 53 yds, 17.7 per throw367% · 53yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 96 yds, 13.7 per throw743% · 96yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 7 caught (100%), 67 yds, 9.6 per throw7100% · 67yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 31 yds, 5.2 per throw650% · 31yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 14 caught (78%), 204 yds, 11.3 per throw1878% · 204yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 87 yds, 10.9 per throw875% · 87yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 187 yds, 17.0 per throw1173% · 187yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 55 yds, 27.5 per throw250% · 55yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 17 caught (81%), 88 yds, 4.2 per throw2181% · 88yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (12%), 23 caught (85%), 120 yds, 4.4 per throw2785% · 120yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 16 caught (64%), 139 yds, 5.6 per throw2564% · 139yRight, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 5 caught (33%), 63 yds, 4.2 per throw1533% · 63yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 18 yds, 3.6 per throw520% · 18yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 84 yds, 9.3 per throw933% · 84yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 33 yds, 6.6 per throw520% · 33y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction216 carries

Left
21%
4.3 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
56%
3.6 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
23%
5.3 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced256 carries

Left
21%
5.4 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
60%
4.9 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
19%
6.0 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Clark Lea

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Blaze BerlowitzQBSR6' 3"200Cushing, OK
2Jared CurtisQBFR6' 3"230Nashville, TN
10Whit MuschampQBJR6' 1"195Columbia, SC
11Jack ElliottQBSO6' 0"205Orland Park, IL
14Drew CowartQBSO6' 2"208Queen Creek, AZ
3Jamezell LassiterRBJR5' 8"192Providence, RI
20Izayah LeeRBFR5' 11"215Lancaster, TX
23Evan HamptonRBFR6' 0"215Owensboro, KY
24Gabe FieldsRBSO6' 0"217Saint Joseph, MO
28Sedrick AlexanderRBSR5' 9"207Austin, TX
42Jake BalisRBJR5' 9"200Granger, IN
44Gabe FisherFBSR6' 1"245Nashville, TN
0Junior SherrillWRSR5' 11"200Nashville, TN
5Tristen BrownWRJR5' 10"185Houston, TX
7Cole AdamsWRSR5' 10"183Owasso, OK
9Brycen ColemanWRJR6' 5"215Ocean City, MD
13Kayleb BarnettWRSO5' 8"155Tulsa, OK
15Joseph McVayWRJR6' 1"200Earle, AR
80Claiborne RichardsWRSR5' 11"186Nashville, TN
81Kahden SmithWRFR6' 2"195Moundville, AL
84Owen CabellWRFR6' 2"201Nashville, TN
85Lebron HillWRSO6' 5"190Hammond, IN
87Ty BurdWRSR6' 1"165Nashville, TN
88Wils JacksonWRSO6' 5"205Franklin, TN
89Cameran DicksonWRSO6' 0"185Corpus Christi, TX
8Jayvontay ConnerTEJR6' 4"235Winston-Salem, NC
46Palmer RileyTEFR6' 5"250Atherton, CA
49Elijah RooneyTEJR6' 5"230New Smyrna Beach, FL
82Adam GehmTEFR6' 6"235Harmony, PA
86Tilden RileyTEFR6' 5"217Orangeburg, SC
50Gunner GivensOLSR6' 5"325Covington, VA
51Clinton AzubuikeOLJR6' 8"310Lagos, Nigeria
54Tripp SkewesOLFR6' 7"285Denver, CO
56Lyndon CooperOLSR6' 2"310Atlanta, GA
57Max FisherOLSR6' 2"270Nashville, TN
58Orion IrvingOLSR6' 6"310Houston, TX
60Nate FlemingOLFR6' 3"285Franklin, TN
65Micah DeBoseOLSO6' 5"335Mobile, AL
70Cade McConnellOLSR6' 5"323Choctaw, OK
71Ted GregoireOLSR6' 3"330Roselle, NJ
72Mitchell SmithOLFR6' 6"320Picayune, MS
73Pulelei'ite PrimusOLFR6' 4"355Midland, TX
75Beau JohnsonOLJR6' 6"305Spring Lake Park, MN
77Michael SmithOLJR6' 6"330Picayune, MS
5Issa OuattaraDLSR6' 7"315Cologne, Germany
49Simeon BoulwareDLJR6' 5"258Dacula, GA
53Glenn Seabrooks IIIDLJR6' 3"340Nashville, TN
55Aaron BryantDLSR6' 2"320Southaven, MS
91Noah SigdaDLSO6' 4"245Freehold, NY
93Nikhil JeffersonDLSO6' 1"330Tampa, FL
94Bradley MannDLSR6' 6"308Jacksonville, FL
97Hayden BrayDLSR6' 4"277Austin, TX
99Talan CarterDLSO6' 1"280Ocean Springs, MS
15Mike DiattaDTSR6' 5"295Antioch, TN
59Jiaming CaoDTSO6' 0"262
98Daryl CampbellDTFR6' 1"280Katy, TX
11Bryan LongwellLBSR6' 1"240Nashville, TN
13Tate HambyLBJR6' 2"208West Monroe, LA
18Josiah BroxtonLBSO5' 10"220Tallahassee, FL
20Jamison CurtisLBJR6' 1"238Mobile, AL
22Bryce CowanLBSR6' 4"235Tallahassee, FL
24Nick RinaldiLBSR6' 3"240Dover, MA
30Austin HowardLBSO6' 2"245Memphis, TN
43Luke D'AliseLBJR6' 0"204Oak Park, IL
45Ty BartholomewLBSR6' 1"235Nashville, TN
50Kene ObiLBFR6' 1"221Gates Mills, OH
0Cobey SellersCBSO5' 11"178Houston, TX
2Jaylin LackeyCBJR6' 0"195Monroe, GA
4Martel HightCBSR6' 0"188Rome, GA
6Jordan MatthewsCBSR6' 2"192Baton Rouge, LA
16Jaylin DaviesCBSR5' 11"180Rancho Cucamonga, CA
26Cayden DanielsCBSO6' 1"189Cordele, GA
31Jeremy Garner IICBFR6' 2"155Rosharon, TX
42Blaine McClureCBJR6' 1"185Greenwich, CT
46Mustafa DannettCBSR6' 0"175New London, CT
1Dontae CarterSJR6' 1"196Cibolo, TX
3Carson LawrenceSSO6' 2"212Chattanooga, TN
7Ricardo JonesSJR6' 2"200Warner Robins, GA
8CJ HeardSJR5' 11"210Atlanta, GA
9Jalen GilbertSSR6' 0"208Round Rock, TX
12Vanzale HintonSSO6' 0"196Chattanooga, TN
14Jailen RuthSJR6' 3"225Hawthorne, FL
21Davin ChandlerSSO6' 0"190Berlin, MD
25Mason LewisSFR6' 0"195Queen Creek, AZ
27Bradley BrownSFR6' 0"185Plano, TX
28Thomas JonesSSO5' 11"195Smyrna, TN
35Payne DanielSSR5' 11"185Nashville, TN
39Joe DanielPKFR6' 4"225Auburn, AL
47Justin DewersPKSO6' 2"195Plano, TX
37Tyler EbelPSR6' 4"252DeForest, WI
53Stone OwensLSSO6' 0"200Tampa, FL
54Kaden SchickelLSSR6' 2"210Fredericksburg, VA
10Brian Allen Jr.EDGESR6' 3"264Lake In The H, IL
17Edwin KolengeEDGESR6' 3"260Montreal, Canada
19CJ JacksonEDGEJR6' 4"250Tucker, GA
29Miles CapersEDGESR6' 4"249Sumter, SC
32Mason CarterEDGEJR6' 5"251Jacksonville, FL
33Myles MillerEDGESO6' 1"255Madison, MS
95Jace McCallumEDGEFR6' 2"243Concord, NC
96Khalil PoteatEDGESR6' 5"275Bronx, NY

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+12.1, #11) · worst: 2021 (-15.7, #125)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#11
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-50-5#64+2.2+0.5+1.8
202510-36-2#11+12.1+10.0+2.2
20247-63-5#50+3.2+1.4+1.8
20232-100-8#115-9.2-2.4-6.8
20225-72-6#96-5.7-3.2-2.5
20212-100-8#125-15.7-10.5-5.1
20200-90-9#124-14.7-10.9-3.8
20193-91-7#115-9.6-7.2-2.4
20186-73-5#54+2.2+0.9+1.3
20175-71-7#87-3.7-2.5-1.2
20166-73-5#60+0.4-4.3+4.7
20154-82-6#84-3.4-9.4+5.9
20143-90-8#107-8.8-7.0-1.8

Vanderbilt's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →