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SEC · 2026

Ole Miss Rebels

Head coach Pete Golding · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
6-24-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#10
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+21.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+13.8
2nd in FBS
Defense
+8.1
22nd in FBS
Schedule so far
+10.6
5th toughest
Projected
9.1-2.9
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+21.8 now, +20.1 preseason · down 1 spot since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#10

Final record odds

9.1-2.9 expected · most likely 9-3 (46%)
7-519%8-446%9-333%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Trinidad Chambliss
QB · SR · 13th in FBS
2189yds
18 TD · 8 INT
Rushing
Kewan Lacy
RB · JR · 140th in FBS
388yds
78 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Deuce Alexander
WR · JR · 25th in FBS
669yds
48 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Keaton Thomas
LB · 162nd in FBS
53tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
Blake Purchase
DE · JR · 59th in FBS
4.5sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Jalyn Crawford
CB · JR · 49th in FBS
2INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 6vs15LouisvilleNEUTRALW 41–38 ›+19.2—ABC
2Sep 12vs134CharlotteW 41–9 ›-0.1—ESPN2
3Sep 19vs4LSUCONFW 32–24 ›+29.1—ABC
4Sep 26@19FloridaCONFL 28–52 ›-5.2—ABC
5—Bye
6Oct 10@64VanderbiltCONFW 52–17 ›+33.8—ESPN
7Oct 17vs18MissouriCONFW 31–3 ›+36.7—SEC Network
8Oct 24@9TexasCONFL 27–34 ›+19.1—ABC
9Oct 31vs27AuburnCONFW 45–15 ›+34.7—SEC Network
10Nov 7vs5GeorgiaCONFOle Miss −1.5 · o/u 60.1—54%ABC
11Nov 14@31OklahomaCONFOle Miss −6.2 · o/u 52.3—66%
12Nov 21vsWofford FCSOle Miss −49.2 · o/u 53.9—>99%SECN+
13Nov 27vs45Mississippi StateCONFOle Miss −18.8 · o/u 62.6—90%ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.25718th+0.158105th
Success rate49.0%20th42.2%80th
Explosiveness1.20789th1.28293rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.3%22nd41.8%77th
Rushing success rate50.0%14th43.5%83rd
Passing success rate48.8%20th40.1%63rd
Explosive run rate15.7%35th12.7%62nd
Explosive pass rate8.9%96th11.6%106th
Line yards / carry3.3432nd2.9862nd
Opportunity rate41.7%33rd37.1%66th
Stuff rate15.7%46th22.8%15th
Sack rate1.4%3rd5.3%77th
3rd-down conversion51.1%13th42.9%105th
Red-zone TD rate77.8%5th46.2%20th
Havoc rate11.0%21st14.0%67th
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.117th24.063rd
Yards / game439.626th383.997th
Yards / play6.0642nd5.3173rd
Pass yards / game282.119th235.0101st
Yards / pass att.7.4073rd7.2078th
Completion %63.1%66th62.5%81st
Rush yards / game157.568th148.976th
Yards / carry4.7047th3.9767th
3rd-down conv. %50.0%15th42.4%112th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.50103rd1.5032nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.624th2.1263rd
Penalty yards / game67.0107th74.47th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.9
68th of 138
YAC per catch
4.0
129th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
100th of 138
Shotgun
98%
41st of 138
No-huddle
77%
46th of 138
QB pressured
12%
88th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
18%
18th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
46th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws291 throws charted

63% comp8.9 avg. depth4.0 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds17–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (5%), 14 caught (88%), 51 yds, 3.2 per throw1688% · 51yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 10 caught (71%), 51 yds, 3.6 per throw1471% · 51yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 38 throws (13%), 29 caught (76%), 290 yds, 7.6 per throw3876% · 290yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (5%), 10 caught (67%), 164 yds, 10.9 per throw1567% · 164yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 73 yds, 14.6 per throw580% · 73yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 1 caught (13%), 27 yds, 3.4 per throw813% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 12 yds, 2.4 per throw580% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 6 caught (67%), 63 yds, 7.0 per throw967% · 63yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (5%), 11 caught (69%), 113 yds, 7.1 per throw1669% · 113yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 11 caught (48%), 192 yds, 8.3 per throw2348% · 192yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 10 caught (77%), 202 yds, 15.5 per throw1377% · 202yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 3 caught (43%), 84 yds, 12.0 per throw743% · 84yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 34 yds, 11.3 per throw333% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (7%), 18 caught (90%), 46 yds, 2.3 per throw2090% · 46yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 17 caught (59%), 101 yds, 3.5 per throw2959% · 101yRight, 5–9 air yards: 31 throws (11%), 18 caught (58%), 162 yds, 5.2 per throw3158% · 162yRight, 10–14 air yards: 18 throws (6%), 11 caught (61%), 158 yds, 8.8 per throw1861% · 158yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 3 caught (75%), 54 yds, 13.5 per throw475% · 54yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 5 caught (42%), 129 yds, 10.8 per throw1242% · 129yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 85 yds, 28.3 per throw367% · 85y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on249 throws charted

62% comp8.8 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds8–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 26 throws (10%), 24 caught (92%), 69 yds, 2.7 per throw2692% · 69yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 15 caught (71%), 131 yds, 6.2 per throw2171% · 131yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 16 caught (62%), 172 yds, 6.6 per throw2662% · 172yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 6 caught (40%), 93 yds, 6.2 per throw1540% · 93yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 17 yds, 2.4 per throw714% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 52 yds, 13.0 per throw450% · 52yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 72 yds, 18.0 per throw450% · 72yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 24 yds, 8.0 per throw3100% · 24yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 34 yds, 4.9 per throw771% · 34yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 5 caught (33%), 57 yds, 3.8 per throw1533% · 57yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 10 caught (77%), 201 yds, 15.5 per throw1377% · 201yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 49 yds, 24.5 per throw2100% · 49yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 21 yds, 21.0 per throw1100% · 21yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 1 caught (13%), 50 yds, 6.3 per throw813% · 50yRight, Behind air yards: 22 throws (9%), 21 caught (95%), 106 yds, 4.8 per throw2295% · 106yRight, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 14 caught (78%), 101 yds, 5.6 per throw1878% · 101yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 14 caught (74%), 168 yds, 8.8 per throw1974% · 168yRight, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 9 caught (60%), 142 yds, 9.5 per throw1560% · 142yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 50 yds, 7.1 per throw729% · 50yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 3 caught (30%), 70 yds, 7.0 per throw1030% · 70yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 72 yds, 12.0 per throw633% · 72y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction253 carries

Left
21%
5.3 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
68%
5.1 YPC · 48% succ.
Right
11%
6.6 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced275 carries

Left
24%
5.3 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
53%
4.4 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
23%
5.4 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Pete Golding

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Deuce KnightQBFR6' 5"225Lucedale, MS
6Trinidad ChamblissQBSR6' 0"205Grand Rapids, MI
8AJ MaddoxQBSO6' 1"195Hattiesburg, MS
13Jack PattersonQBSO6' 3"205Marion, AR
14Walker HowardQBSR6' 0"195Lafayette, LA
16George HamsleyQBSR6' 5"235Memphis, TN
5Kewan LacyRBJR5' 11"205Dallas, TX
25Makhi FrazierRBJR5' 10"225McKinney, TX
26JT LindseyRBFR5' 11"190Alexandria, LA
28Joshua DyeRBJR5' 10"200Gilbert, AZ
33Shekai Mills-KnightRBFR6' 2"220Montreal, Canada
36Ja'Michael JonesRBFR5' 10"200Montgomery, AL
0Johntay Cook IIWRSR5' 11"190Desoto, TX
1Deuce AlexanderWRJR6' 0"180Douglasville, GA
3Caleb CunninghamWRFR6' 1"210Weir, MS
7Traylon RayWRJR6' 2"195Tallahassee, FL
11Horatio FieldsWRSR6' 2"210Douglasville, GA
12Izaiah HartrupWRSR5' 11"180O' Fallon, MO
15Darrell Gill Jr.WRSR6' 1"185Atascocita, TX
22Cameron MillerWRSO5' 10"180Camden, NJ
27Kervin Johnson Jr.WRFR6' 3"210Tioga, LA
29William JonesWRFR5' 11"195Collierville, TN
47Anthony AguirreWRSR6' 4"215Spokane, WA
81Samari ReedWRFR6' 2"200Margate, FL
83Levi BlountWRFR6' 0"190Oxford, MS
84Dillon AlfredWRFR5' 11"175Gautier, MS
88Jase MathewsWRFR6' 2"190Leakesville, MS
89Dylan DavisWRJR6' 1"200Frisco, TX
4Caleb OdomTEJR6' 5"240Carrollton, GA
9Luke HaszTESR6' 2"240Bixby, OK
42Jack HarperTESO6' 4"245Oxford, MS
80Hayden BradleyTEFR6' 4"245Buford, GA
86Brady PrieskornTESO6' 5"245Lake Orion, MI
50Troy EverettOLSR6' 3"315Roanoke, VA
52Cooper JohnsonOLSO6' 6"330Lincoln, NE
53Trey NightingaleOLSO6' 0"265Wyckoff, NJ
55Terez DavisOLSO6' 4"300Hyattsville, MD
57Carius CurneOLSO6' 5"330Hughes, AR
61Tommy Kinsler IVOLJR6' 6"350Ocala, FL
65Connor HowesOLSO6' 6"315Saint Cloud, FL
67Kane MankinsOLFR6' 5"295Attleboro, MA
69Joe KouryOLSO5' 10"280Madison, MS
70Jalan ChapmanOLFR6' 3"315New Orleans, LA
71Emanuel FaulknerOLFR6' 6"305New Albany, MS
75Patrick KutasOLSR6' 6"315Memphis, TN
76John Wayne OliverOLSO6' 5"310Nashville, TN
3Blake PurchaseDEJR6' 3"250Green Valley Ranch, CO
5Kam FranklinDEJR6' 5"295Lake Cormorant, MS
15Landon BarnesDEFR6' 3"250Baton Rouge, LA
17Jonathan MaldonadoDESR6' 6"250Monrovia, CA
45Talib GrahamDEFR6' 1"250Daphne, AL
54Tre EllisDEFR6' 1"260Gallman, MS
55Cam ClarkDESO6' 2"255Medina, TN
99Carmelow ReedDEFR6' 6"275Chicago, IL
9Jehiem OatisDTSR6' 5"340Columbia, MS
52Will EcholesDTJR6' 3"315Houston, MS
88Michai BoireauDTJR6' 5"355Atlanta, GA
90Jayden CurtisDTFR6' 3"275Perkinston, MS
91Jamarion OwensDTFR6' 1"295Raleigh, MS
95Andrew MaddoxDTFR6' 3"285Hattiesburg, MS
96Jamarious BrownDTJR6' 2"315Moss Point, MS
97Kamron BeaversDTSO6' 3"300Bay Springs, MS
4Suntarine PerkinsLBSR6' 2"220Raleigh, MS
12Luke FerrelliLBSO6' 3"230San Diego, CA
22Raymond CollinsLBSR6' 2"235Gulfport, MS
23Jarcoby HopsonLBFR6' 2"250Tunica, MS
26Ant Davis Jr.LBFR6' 1"220Decatur, GA
30JaMichael GarrettLBFR6' 2"200Baton Rouge, LA
44Tony MitchellLBSR6' 1"240Alabaster, AL
49Tah'j ButlerLBJR6' 1"235New Orleans, LA
53Ford BeekerLBFR5' 11"205Tuscaloosa, AL
56Hayden ParkerLBFR5' 11"215Collierville, TN
0Jalyn CrawfordCBJR6' 0"180Atlanta, GA
2Jaylon BraxtonCBJR6' 0"190Frisco, TX
8Antonio KiteCBSR6' 0"190Anniston, AL
13Cedrick BeaversCBSR5' 11"185Taylorsville, MS
16Dorian BarneyCBFR6' 0"185Carrollton, GA
21Tavoy FeaginCBSO6' 0"170Tampa, FL
25Maison DunnCBFR6' 2"185Tupelo, MS
27Pat BroomfieldCBSO6' 1"165Clarksdale, MS
28Dante CoreCBFR5' 11"170Fort Walton Beach, FL
32Victor Lincoln Jr.CBFR5' 11"170Lancaster, TX
34Iverson McCoyCBFR5' 11"185Tupelo, MS
41John Ross AshleyCBJR5' 11"180Vestavia Hills, AL
6Joenel AgueroSSR5' 11"200Lynn, MA
7Sharif DensonSSR5' 11"195Jacksonville, FL
14Edwin JosephSJR6' 0"195Tamarac, FL
19MJ PrestonSFR6' 0"180Petersburg, VA
24Andy JaffeSJR6' 1"195Tampa, FL
29Nick CullSSR5' 11"180Donalsonville, GA
31Ladarian ClardySSO5' 11"190Pensacola, FL
39Gerald Lacy Jr.SJR6' 0"185Lancaster, TX
46Nascar McCoySFR6' 1"200Atlanta, GA
17Lucas CarneiroPKSR5' 11"195Cornelius, NC
41Peter McStravickPKSO6' 2"185Dundalk, Ireland
46Jackson MoorePKSR5' 11"170Waxhaw, NC
33Oscar BirdPSO6' 4"220Sydney, Australia
50Caleb BlankenshipLSSO6' 2"240Ashdown, AR
83Sean JudgeLSSO6' 4"235Attleboro, MA
93Richie BruderLSFR6' 1"225Malvern, PA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2024 (+16.0, #5) · worst: 2018 (-0.1, #69)
0+5+10+15FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#9
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-24-2#10+21.8+13.8+8.1
202513-27-1#9+13.7+9.4+4.2
202410-35-3#5+16.0+6.3+9.7
202311-26-2#15+10.8+6.9+3.9
20228-54-4#27+6.2+5.4+0.8
202110-36-2#24+7.5+6.6+1.0
20205-54-5#46+2.7+9.7-7.1
20194-82-6#53+1.1+0.5+0.6
20185-71-7#69-0.1+5.3-5.4
20176-63-5#62+0.4+5.9-5.5
20165-72-6#50+3.4+6.8-3.4
201510-36-2#6+13.8+7.7+6.1
20149-45-3#8+13.7+0.8+12.9

Ole Miss's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →