The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 131Georgia State | W 63–7 | +18.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 66KentuckyCONF | W 30–23 | +10.3 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 55ArkansasCONF | W 41–35 | +5.5 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 41Tulane | W 45–10 | +29.7 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 39LSUCONF | W 24–19 | +7.3 | — | ABC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 50Washington State | W 24–21 | +3.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 8GeorgiaCONF | L 35–43 | +8.7 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 21OklahomaCONF | W 34–26 | +20.2 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 51South CarolinaCONF | W 30–14 | +16.2 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs The Citadel FCS | W 49–0 | +7.9 | — | SECN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 53FloridaCONF | W 34–24 | +9.8 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 71Mississippi StateCONF | W 38–19 | +21.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 41Tulane | W 41–10 | +28.3 | — | TNT |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 8GeorgiaNEUTRAL | W 39–34 | +18.9 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 8 | vs 6MiamiNEUTRAL | L 27–31 | +13.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.6% | 10th | 41.1% | 57th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.0% | 40th | 44.1% | 77th |
| Passing success rate | 52.2% | 4th | 38.1% | 34th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 76th | 13.6% | 67th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.8% | 11th | 8.5% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.84 | 111th | 3.21 | 106th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.8% | 115th | 39.1% | 87th |
| Stuff rate | 20.0% | 114th | 16.3% | 82nd |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 8th | 6.5% | 30th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.7% | 50th | 39.9% | 58th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 38th | 58.3% | 77th |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 33rd | 11.3% | 81st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.9 | 12th | 21.2 | 29th |
| Yards / game | 489.7 | 2nd | 348.0 | 48th |
| Yards / play | 6.57 | 14th | 5.07 | 41st |
| Pass yards / game | 313.3 | 3rd | 185.3 | 36th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.99 | 10th | 6.51 | 36th |
| Completion % | 65.0% | 38th | 56.8% | 20th |
| Rush yards / game | 176.3 | 44th | 149.1 | 68th |
| Yards / carry | 4.59 | 46th | 4.15 | 65th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.1% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.93 | 23rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.27 | 17th | 2.20 | 55th |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.4 | 63rd | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →