Final TDC rank
#41
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+4.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.9
57th in FBS
Defense
+3.7
39th in FBS
Schedule
+0.2
59th toughest
Preseason
+4.0
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.6 now, +4.0 preseason · down 14 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 59Northwestern | W 23–3 | +18.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 107South Alabama | W 33–31 | -2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 44Duke | W 34–27 | +8.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 9Ole Miss | L 10–45 | -11.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 116TulsaCONF | W 31–14 | +9.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 9 | vs 37East CarolinaCONF | W 26–19 | +9.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 69ArmyCONF | W 24–17 | +4.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 30 | @ 56UTSACONF | L 26–48 | -17.0 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 7 | @ 48MemphisCONF | W 38–32 | +12.3 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 110Florida AtlanticCONF | W 35–24 | 0.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 99TempleCONF | W 37–13 | +20.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 135CharlotteCONF | W 27–0 | +4.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 5 | vs 23North Texas | W 34–21 | +18.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | @9Ole Miss | L 10–41 | -10.0 | — | TNT |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.7% | 36th | 46.4% | 121st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 72nd | 46.6% | 108th |
| Passing success rate | 47.7% | 16th | 46.2% | 124th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 82nd | 14.0% | 72nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 45th | 11.3% | 106th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.16 | 49th | 3.18 | 100th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.3% | 72nd | 40.6% | 106th |
| Stuff rate | 16.8% | 65th | 14.7% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 3.0% | 11th | 6.6% | 28th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.0% | 42nd | 41.3% | 71st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.9% | 103rd | 48.9% | 31st |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 20th | 11.2% | 84th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.7 | 75th | 23.9 | 54th |
| Yards / game | 411.4 | 38th | 384.2 | 80th |
| Yards / play | 6.05 | 27th | 5.41 | 70th |
| Pass yards / game | 245.1 | 50th | 242.6 | 123rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.07 | 30th | 7.66 | 106th |
| Completion % | 61.6% | 72nd | 67.6% | 130th |
| Rush yards / game | 166.3 | 57th | 122.6 | 29th |
| Yards / carry | 4.52 | 56th | 3.58 | 26th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 43rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.21 | 61st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.86 | 6th | 2.57 | 28th |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.9 | 116th | — | — |
Players
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
68 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →