The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 115App StateNEUTRAL | L 11–34 | -31.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 97North Carolina | L 3–20 | -25.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Monmouth FCS | W 42–35 | -17.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 18 | vs 126RiceCONF | L 17–28 | -25.6 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 22South FloridaCONF | L 26–54 | -13.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 69ArmyCONF | L 7–24 | -14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 99TempleCONF | L 14–49 | -36.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 24 | vs 23North TexasCONF | L 20–54 | -21.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 37East CarolinaCONF | L 22–48 | -16.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 56UTSACONF | L 7–28 | -21.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 8Georgia | L 3–35 | -10.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 41TulaneCONF | L 0–27 | -17.6 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 34.2% | 133rd | 53.9% | 136th |
| Rushing success rate | 34.6% | 134th | 54.9% | 136th |
| Passing success rate | 33.8% | 128th | 52.8% | 135th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.1% | 129th | 15.2% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 66th | 10.1% | 72nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.34 | 135th | 3.29 | 113th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.7% | 135th | 45.3% | 134th |
| Stuff rate | 21.3% | 122nd | 13.2% | 125th |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 96th | 3.2% | 129th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.2% | 113th | 49.6% | 132nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 40.0% | 129th | 74.0% | 131st |
| Havoc rate | 13.1% | 108th | 7.9% | 133rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 14.3 | 133rd | 39.0 | 134th |
| Yards / game | 285.8 | 133rd | 471.9 | 135th |
| Yards / play | 4.44 | 130th | 6.29 | 128th |
| Pass yards / game | 204.0 | 94th | 263.2 | 131st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.44 | 108th | 8.11 | 118th |
| Completion % | 59.2% | 96th | 68.2% | 131st |
| Rush yards / game | 81.8 | 134th | 200.3 | 125th |
| Yards / carry | 2.69 | 134th | 4.96 | 120th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.5% | 111th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.92 | 129th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 104th | 1.17 | 127th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.8 | 58th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →