The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 136Massachusetts | W 42–10 | +5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Howard FCS | W 55–7 | +7.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 21Oklahoma | L 3–42 | -22.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 38Georgia Tech | L 24–45 | -13.1 | — | CW |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 56UTSACONF | W 27–21 | +5.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 49NavyCONF | L 31–32 | -0.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 135CharlotteCONF | W 49–14 | +12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 116TulsaCONF | W 38–37 | -6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 37East CarolinaCONF | L 14–45 | -23.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 69ArmyCONF | L 13–14 | +1.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 41TulaneCONF | L 13–37 | -22.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 23North TexasCONF | L 25–52 | -13.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.3% | 51st | 46.7% | 125th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.5% | 63rd | 50.0% | 129th |
| Passing success rate | 44.0% | 40th | 42.5% | 83rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.0% | 66th | 15.9% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 42nd | 14.7% | 134th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.89 | 103rd | 3.47 | 132nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.2% | 48th | 41.8% | 117th |
| Stuff rate | 18.3% | 87th | 11.8% | 132nd |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 51st | 4.6% | 105th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.3% | 107th | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.6% | 72nd | 65.0% | 111th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 44th | 8.3% | 131st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.8 | 73rd | 29.7 | 90th |
| Yards / game | 344.8 | 101st | 396.8 | 91st |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 79th | 5.97 | 115th |
| Pass yards / game | 197.4 | 98th | 190.0 | 42nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.83 | 86th | 7.75 | 111th |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 71st | 61.2% | 60th |
| Rush yards / game | 147.4 | 79th | 197.3 | 123rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.39 | 66th | 5.01 | 122nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.6% | 91st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.33 | 2nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.67 | 51st | 1.33 | 121st |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.5 | 57th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →