The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Illinois State FCS | W 35–3 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 26Michigan | W 24–13 | +16.1 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 99Temple | W 42–3 | +26.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 40AuburnCONF | W 24–17 | +9.2 | — | ABC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 129Kent State | W 44–0 | +15.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 16TexasCONFNEUTRAL | L 6–23 | -6.2 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 51South CarolinaCONF | W 26–7 | +24.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 9Ole MissCONF | L 26–34 | +2.9 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 25TennesseeCONF | W 33–27 | +16.8 | — | ABC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 15AlabamaCONF | W 23–21 | +16.3 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 28MissouriCONF | W 17–6 | +15.6 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 39LSUCONF | W 17–13 | +6.3 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 15Alabama | L 24–34 | -1.3 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 99th | 32.8% | 3rd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.4% | 119th | 30.6% | 2nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.8% | 59th | 34.7% | 13th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.6% | 117th | 7.7% | 3rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.7% | 54th | 9.1% | 47th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 128th | 2.13 | 1st |
| Opportunity rate | 34.8% | 115th | 28.5% | 4th |
| Stuff rate | 21.5% | 123rd | 27.9% | 1st |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 96th | 8.6% | 4th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.5% | 87th | 29.2% | 4th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.0% | 21st | 42.9% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 103rd | 16.1% | 3rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.1 | 47th | 17.9 | 9th |
| Yards / game | 354.3 | 92nd | 272.5 | 6th |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 100th | 4.06 | 4th |
| Pass yards / game | 235.8 | 59th | 172.9 | 27th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.11 | 71st | 6.24 | 22nd |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 75th | 59.0% | 31st |
| Rush yards / game | 118.5 | 113th | 77.3 | 3rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.54 | 118th | 2.39 | 2nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.6% | 84th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 95th | 3.46 | 1st |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.1 | 105th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →