The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 2Ohio State | L 7–14 | +17.0 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 122San José State | W 38–7 | +12.4 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 128UTEP | W 27–10 | +1.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 134Sam Houston | W 55–0 | +14.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 53FloridaCONF | L 21–29 | -2.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 21OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | W 23–6 | +26.4 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 66KentuckyCONF | W 16–13 | +6.3 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 71Mississippi StateCONF | W 45–38 | +9.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 11VanderbiltCONF | W 34–31 | +12.3 | — | ABC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 8GeorgiaCONF | L 10–35 | -7.6 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 55ArkansasCONF | W 52–37 | +14.5 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 10Texas A&MCONF | W 27–17 | +20.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 26MichiganNEUTRAL | W 41–27 | +21.9 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.9% | 86th | 39.3% | 30th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.6% | 81st | 40.1% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 80th | 38.7% | 44th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 60th | 12.9% | 54th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 34th | 7.8% | 20th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 97th | 2.86 | 33rd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.7% | 58th | 37.4% | 56th |
| Stuff rate | 21.1% | 121st | 19.6% | 32nd |
| Sack rate | 5.2% | 65th | 7.2% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.9% | 71st | 33.9% | 13th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.4% | 40th | 62.5% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 103rd | 12.7% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.5 | 54th | 22.8 | 37th |
| Yards / game | 388.5 | 70th | 338.9 | 40th |
| Yards / play | 5.80 | 43rd | 4.71 | 21st |
| Pass yards / game | 250.7 | 44th | 215.1 | 90th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.74 | 41st | 6.57 | 38th |
| Completion % | 61.3% | 77th | 62.6% | 78th |
| Rush yards / game | 137.8 | 90th | 103.9 | 14th |
| Yards / carry | 4.19 | 84th | 3.14 | 12th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.2% | 74th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.69 | 5th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.77 | 60th | 3.15 | 4th |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.7 | 132nd | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →