The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | @ 78Western KentuckyCONF | L 24–41 | -16.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 64UNLV | L 21–38 | -19.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 77Hawai'i | L 20–37 | -16.0 | — | MWN App |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 16Texas | L 0–55 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 2 | @ 127New Mexico StateCONF | L 10–37 | -34.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 9 | vs 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 27–29 | -9.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 15 | vs 128UTEPCONF | L 17–35 | -33.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 80Louisiana TechCONF | L 14–55 | -29.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 118Oregon State | W 21–17 | -3.8 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 112DelawareCONF | W 26–23 | -8.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 133Middle TennesseeCONF | L 17–31 | -25.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 104Florida InternationalCONF | L 16–56 | -38.9 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.1% | 127th | 48.9% | 132nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.8% | 101st | 47.9% | 117th |
| Passing success rate | 32.3% | 132nd | 49.9% | 134th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.4% | 58th | 18.4% | 132nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.6% | 130th | 14.0% | 130th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.81 | 120th | 3.37 | 124th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.1% | 49th | 43.3% | 126th |
| Stuff rate | 22.2% | 130th | 15.5% | 98th |
| Sack rate | 8.3% | 123rd | 5.4% | 76th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 24.0% | 136th | 49.2% | 131st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 36.7% | 134th | 59.3% | 85th |
| Havoc rate | 16.7% | 135th | 10.3% | 106th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.9 | 128th | 37.8 | 131st |
| Yards / game | 316.0 | 121st | 483.5 | 136th |
| Yards / play | 4.76 | 121st | 6.80 | 134th |
| Pass yards / game | 184.1 | 110th | 265.4 | 134th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.68 | 132nd | 8.93 | 133rd |
| Completion % | 54.8% | 128th | 70.3% | 136th |
| Rush yards / game | 131.9 | 97th | 207.6 | 128th |
| Yards / carry | 4.27 | 75th | 5.40 | 133rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 22.2% | 136th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 78th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 122nd | 1.75 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.6 | 92nd | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →