CUSA · 2026

Sam Houston Bearkats

Head coach Phil Longo · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
1-70-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#129
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-18.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-12.2
134th in FBS
Defense
-6.7
115th in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.9
98th toughest
Projected
2.5-9.5
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-18.9 now, -21.7 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#129

Final record odds

2.5-9.5 expected · most likely 2-10 (38%)
14%1-1138%2-1035%3-912%4-85-7

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@107TroyL 21–24 ›-10.3—ESPN+
2Sep 12vs92TulsaL 17–23 ›-16.3—ESPN+
3Sep 19vsNicholls FCSW 59–0 ›-7.2—ESPN+
4Sep 26@12Texas TechL 14–49 ›-6.4—TNT
5—Bye
6Oct 8@61LibertyCONFL 3–35 ›-20.2—ESPNU
7Oct 14vs115Western KentuckyCONFL 3–16 ›-30.4—ESPN
8Oct 21vs125New Mexico StateCONFL 24–30 ›-25.7—ESPN2
9Oct 27@118Missouri StateCONFL 3–24 ›-31.8—ESPN2
10Nov 7@95Jacksonville StateCONFJacksonville State −15.5 · o/u 48.8—15%CBSSN
11Nov 14vs112Kennesaw StateCONFKennesaw State −2.7 · o/u 43.3—43%ESPN+
12Nov 21vs130Middle TennesseeCONFSam Houston −4.8 · o/u 49.5—63%
13Nov 28@119Florida InternationalCONFFlorida International −8.0 · o/u 39.9—30%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.048132nd+0.08464th
Success rate36.5%129th39.3%43rd
Explosiveness1.32826th1.22059th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate36.8%128th38.9%38th
Rushing success rate34.8%133rd44.4%98th
Passing success rate38.0%108th31.7%2nd
Explosive run rate9.3%127th16.8%124th
Explosive pass rate7.1%125th7.9%33rd
Line yards / carry2.44135th3.1186th
Opportunity rate33.5%125th42.5%126th
Stuff rate24.8%136th18.7%57th
Sack rate7.3%108th5.4%74th
3rd-down conversion33.0%129th31.2%10th
Red-zone TD rate42.9%127th68.4%111th
Havoc rate20.2%137th17.4%15th
Box score · season totals
Points / game18.0130th25.172nd
Yards / game322.8124th338.149th
Yards / play4.88123rd5.0754th
Pass yards / game246.944th146.44th
Yards / pass att.7.1087th5.778th
Completion %60.9%86th53.7%6th
Rush yards / game75.9138th191.8125th
Yards / carry2.70137th4.85117th
3rd-down conv. %34.8%108th30.8%13th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1248th1.1278th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.00123rd1.8882nd
Penalty yards / game75.8129th55.870th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.8
109th of 138
YAC per catch
5.5
62nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
116th of 138
Shotgun
98%
19th of 138
No-huddle
76%
48th of 138
QB pressured
18%
18th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
34th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.2
72nd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws267 throws charted

61% comp7.8 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds13–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 24 throws (9%), 18 caught (75%), 110 yds, 4.6 per throw2475% · 110yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 13 caught (68%), 78 yds, 4.1 per throw1968% · 78yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 11 caught (61%), 132 yds, 7.3 per throw1861% · 132yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 10 caught (83%), 137 yds, 11.4 per throw1283% · 137yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw2100% · 32yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 111 yds, 18.5 per throw633% · 111yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 7 caught (100%), 12 yds, 1.7 per throw7100% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 13 caught (76%), 118 yds, 6.9 per throw1776% · 118yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 30 throws (11%), 20 caught (67%), 175 yds, 5.8 per throw3067% · 175yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 11 caught (69%), 247 yds, 15.4 per throw1669% · 247yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 37 yds, 37.0 per throw1100% · 37yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 52 yds, 8.7 per throw617% · 52yRight, Behind air yards: 27 throws (10%), 21 caught (78%), 79 yds, 2.9 per throw2778% · 79yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 11 caught (65%), 56 yds, 3.3 per throw1765% · 56yRight, 5–9 air yards: 35 throws (13%), 15 caught (43%), 130 yds, 3.7 per throw3543% · 130yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 2 caught (20%), 30 yds, 3.0 per throw1020% · 30yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yRight, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw250% · 32yRight, 30+ air yards: 12 throws (4%), 7 caught (58%), 287 yds, 23.9 per throw1258% · 287y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on186 throws charted

53% comp8.9 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds11–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 30 yds, 2.5 per throw1275% · 30yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 13 caught (62%), 73 yds, 3.5 per throw2162% · 73yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 11 caught (58%), 111 yds, 5.8 per throw1958% · 111yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 59 yds, 11.8 per throw580% · 59yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 23 yds, 23.0 per throw1100% · 23yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 3 caught (30%), 73 yds, 7.3 per throw1030% · 73yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 20 yds, 5.0 per throw4100% · 20yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 20 yds, 2.9 per throw729% · 20yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 88 yds, 12.6 per throw771% · 88yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 24 yds, 4.0 per throw633% · 24yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 34 yds, 4.9 per throw729% · 34yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 65 yds, 21.7 per throw367% · 65yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 22 throws (12%), 19 caught (86%), 119 yds, 5.4 per throw2286% · 119yRight, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 10 caught (83%), 65 yds, 5.4 per throw1283% · 65yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 9 caught (47%), 80 yds, 4.2 per throw1947% · 80yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw70% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 48 yds, 16.0 per throw367% · 48yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 3 caught (33%), 72 yds, 8.0 per throw933% · 72yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 35 yds, 5.8 per throw617% · 35y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction196 carries

Left
27%
3.5 YPC · 45% succ.
Middle
52%
3.7 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
21%
5.9 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced289 carries

Left
21%
7.4 YPC · 65% succ.
Middle
52%
5.0 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
27%
5.4 YPC · 42% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Phil Longo

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
8Landyn LockeQBSO6' 4"220Rockwall, TX
9Brett HollowayQBFR5' 11"210Melissa, TX
15DJ BaileyQBJR5' 11"220Desoto, TX
16Mason HoltzclawQBFR6' 4"205Belton, SC
18Shaan PatelQBFR6' 1"200Fulshear, TX
6Jerrian Parker Jr.RBJR5' 10"210Orlando, FL
10Landan BrownRBSR5' 11"215Denton, TX
20MJ DowdyRBFR5' 11"210Winder, GA
22Alton McCaskillRBSR6' 2"220Conroe, TX
25Ah'Marion Gaines-SmithRBSR5' 11"220Fresno, CA
43Nick NormanRBSR5' 9"205Houston, TX
0Darrick Bledsoe IIIWRSR5' 8"185Arlington, TX
1Aviyon Smith-MackWRSR5' 8"170St. Petersburg, FL
2Chris ReedWRSR6' 0"195Orlando, FL
3Tim Burns Jr.WRSR5' 10"170Miami, FL
4Alijah CasonWRJR5' 10"175Midlothian, TX
5Kyan Berry-JohnsonWRJR5' 11"185Chicago, IL
7Grady O'NeillWRSR5' 9"170Prior Lake, MN
11Kaleb MitchellWRSO6' 7"195Desoto, TX
12Kamari MaxwellWRSO6' 1"195Savannah, GA
13Ty SextonWRFR5' 10"180Katy, TX
19Konner DandridgeWRFR6' 0"195Cypress, TX
84Matthew TatumWRSR5' 8"170Huntsville, TX
88Terrence Guillory IIWRJR5' 9"170Houston, TX
14London DeyonTESO6' 4"235Galveston, TX
80Matt SmithTESR6' 4"245Needham, MA
82Cooper StevensTEJR6' 2"235Cypress, TX
85Cade HaysTESO6' 1"235Lubbock, TX
86Jack MerrymanTEFR6' 4"235Montgomery, TX
87Max WhisnerTESR6' 5"255Kansas City, MO
89Brock KuhlTESO6' 4"250Lorena, TX
52Cam ToddOLSR6' 2"305Raleigh, NC
54Brock StukesOLSR6' 3"310Chesapeake, VA
56Jeremiah EdmondOLSR6' 1"300Fort Myers, FL
57Zo'Maryon BryanOLSR6' 4"315Bay City, TX
58Carter KadowOLJR6' 8"315Middleton, WI
62Carter BuchheitOLJR6' 2"290Ede Gld, Netherlands
63Joe WarrenOLJR6' 4"310Greenwood, MS
64Josiah ChenaultOLSR6' 2"305Canton, OH
66Jimmy WallsOLSR6' 7"300Pittsburg, CA
67Isaac SohnOLJR6' 5"305Aledo, TX
68Logan CahillOLSO6' 4"310Long Island, NY
71Denell Nix Jr.OLSO6' 4"310Toledo, OH
72Myles JosephOLFR6' 4"315Vinton, LA
74Graceson SpannOLSO6' 5"305Melissa, TX
75Elijah CollinsOLJR6' 4"310Fort Myers, FL
76Nathan McClellandOLJR6' 5"310Richland, WA
1Josh Alexander-FeltonDEJR6' 3"265Orlando, FL
3Brody HendersonDESO6' 4"250Jenks, OK
14Bryen SpauldingDESR6' 3"260San Diego, CA
19Jayden FryDESO6' 3"235Raleigh, NC
28Zion TaylorDEJR6' 1"225Missouri City, TX
48Chauncey ChidiDESR6' 3"255Kumasi, Ghana
91Caius CoyDESO6' 3"255Jarrell, TX
10Darien JacksonDTSR6' 0"305Los Angeles, CA
90Uzziah WarmateDTFR5' 11"250Denton, TX
92Jarra AndersonDTSR6' 3"300Katy, TX
93Errol West Jr.DTFR6' 0"290Little Rock, AR
95She'Fon BoydDTJR6' 0"300Andrews, SC
97Dylan FrazierDTSR6' 5"280Celina, TX
98Justin TerrellDTJR6' 3"310Rome, GA
99Dimitry NicolasDTJR6' 4"295Miami, FL
12Elijah GrovesLBJR6' 5"245Cross Plains, TN
18Stacy BeyLBSO6' 0"210Fontana, CA
21Dean FordLBJR6' 1"230Houston, TX
23Mike King Jr.LBJR6' 0"215Racine, WI
26Tokyo GordonLBSR6' 2"215Eatonville, FL
32Kade HoustonLBSR6' 1"225Montgomery, TX
33Brian Bates Jr.LBSR6' 1"230Centreville, VA
37Ryan MalloryLBFR6' 0"205Richmond, TX
42Ca'lub HollowayLBSR6' 1"245Fort Worth, TX
44Ray ChathamLBJR6' 1"210Houston, TX
45Eli WallaceLBSR5' 11"215Dallas, TX
2Justin CottrellCBSR6' 1"175West Columbia, TX
5Ishmel AtkinsCBSR6' 4"200Greensboro, NC
7Caesar MageeCBSR6' 2"195New Orleans, LA
17Octavius HendersonCBSR6' 3"190Nashville, TN
34Julian MayfieldCBFR5' 10"185Dallas, TX
35Jabaric SullivanCBFR6' 0"180The Woodlands, TX
38O'Kece BattleCBFR5' 11"175
38O'Kece BattleCBFRCocoa
39Joseph OparaCBFR5' 10"180Sugar Land, TX
43Evan OdomCBSO6' 0"175Golden Gate, FL
4Jalyn StanfordSSR5' 10"200Tulsa, OK
6Jaylon JonesSJR6' 1"180Fresno, CA
8Tyler BaileySSR6' 0"195Prosper, TX
9Jace ArnoldSSR5' 11"185Douglasville, GA
11CJ JuneSFR5' 9"190Prince George County, MD
13Railyn AdamsSJR6' 0"185Newton, TX
15Cameron FranklinSSR6' 2"200Sweeny, TX
16Aaron EdwardsSJR6' 3"205Oklahoma City, OK
27Robert McFarlandSFR5' 10"205Houston, TX
29Lyric SmithSJR6' 0"190Clarendon, TX
36Marcus Bourda Jr.SFR6' 1"185Humble, TX
81Nico OttomanelliPKJR6' 3"200Harrington Park, NJ
83Tate RyanPKSO6' 0"180The Woodlands, TX
94Sam CarpenterPKSR5' 11"180Foxborough, MA
31Cal JosephPSO6' 1"195Melbourne, Australia
47Victor GamboaLSFR6' 0"225Cypress, TX
49Cameron McCullochLSJR6' 4"220Houston, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2023

Final rating by season

Best: 2024 (-2.7, #83) · worst: 2025 (-17.2, #134)
-20-15-10-50FBS avg202320242025#134
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-70-4#129-18.9-12.2-6.7
20252-101-7#134-17.2-9.0-8.2
202410-36-2#83-2.7-4.8+2.1
20233-92-6#119-10.2-7.5-2.7

Sam Houston's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →