CUSA · 2026

Missouri State Bears

Head coach Casey Woods · Robert W. Plaster Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#117
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-7.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.9
112th in FBS
Defense
-3.1
110th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.5
69th toughest
Projected
4.7-7.3
bowl-eligible 32%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-7.1 now, -2.9 preseason · down 19 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#117

Final record odds

4.7-7.3 expected · most likely 5-7 (22%)
1-117%2-1015%3-922%4-822%5-717%6-610%7-58-49-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@16Texas A&ML 0–50-21.1—ESPN
2Sep 12vsLindenwood FCSW 48–14+0.3—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs101MarshallL 24–30-13.1—CBSSN
4Sep 26@36SMUSMU −14.5 · o/u 51.8—17%ACC Network
5—Bye
6Oct 8@128Western KentuckyCONFMissouri State −0.5 · o/u 52.5—51%CBSSN
7Oct 14vs107Kennesaw StateCONFMissouri State −0.9 · o/u 43.4—53%CBSSN
8Oct 20@79DelawareCONFDelaware −8.0 · o/u 49.3—30%ESPNU
9Oct 27vs108Sam HoustonCONFMissouri State −1.2 · o/u 46.2—53%ESPN2
10Nov 7@92Florida InternationalCONFFlorida International −6.9 · o/u 40.8—33%
11Nov 14vs115New Mexico StateCONFMissouri State −2.3 · o/u 48.8—56%
12Nov 21@100Jacksonville StateCONFJacksonville State −5.8 · o/u 49.3—35%
13Nov 28vs88LibertyCONFLiberty −1.4 · o/u 48.3—46%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.23052nd+0.236122nd
Success rate45.8%51st48.2%130th
Explosiveness1.20590th1.10828th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.5%45th47.2%122nd
Rushing success rate48.6%38th48.4%124th
Passing success rate44.1%67th45.6%109th
Explosive run rate10.0%118th17.6%121st
Explosive pass rate19.0%9th6.3%27th
Line yards / carry3.7413th3.35116th
Opportunity rate50.0%10th45.1%128th
Stuff rate8.6%6th14.3%103rd
Sack rate1.7%20th7.4%32nd
3rd-down conversion30.4%129th37.9%69th
Red-zone TD rate57.1%93rd54.5%54th
Havoc rate7.0%6th19.5%15th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.0106th31.3116th
Yards / game380.787th397.3107th
Yards / play6.1761st5.54103rd
Pass yards / game223.373rd190.360th
Yards / pass att.9.4020th6.8074th
Completion %69.0%35th59.5%59th
Rush yards / game157.380th207.0125th
Yards / carry4.2084th4.93119th
3rd-down conv. %34.3%114th40.0%89th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0048th1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.6710th1.6774th
Penalty yards / game72.7115th73.018th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Casey Woods

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Henry Belin IVQBSR6' 3"225New York, NY
7Elijah LeonardQBJR6' 4"220Lee's Summit, MD
9Skyler LocklearQBSR5' 11"195Clayton, NC
12Brett OttensmeyerQBFR6' 4"195Ballwin, MO
15Eian FinkleyQBSR6' 2"205Bushnell, FL
1Breezy DubarRBSR6' 0"205Anna, TX
10King DavisRBSO5' 8"185Miami, FL
13Josh JoynerRBJR5' 8"180Oxnard, CA
22Ramone Green Jr.RBSR5' 9"190Nixa, MO
40Connor LairRBSR6' 1"225West Plains, MO
43Amar'e JohnsonRBFR5' 10"195Orlando, FL
0Jmariyae RobinsonWRSR6' 1"165Cocoa, FL
3Isaiah MyersWRSR6' 4"173Cincinnati, OH
6Mekhi MillerWRSR6' 1"194Overland Park, KS
8Isaiah McMorrisWRJR5' 11"175Omaha, NE
11Makai CopeWRSR6' 3"210Los Angeles, CA
17Brendon McQueenWRJR6' 3"190Tulsa, OK
34Jordan ManuelWRSO6' 2"200Richmond, TX
42Devin StaleyWRFR6' 0"170Blue Springs, MO
81AJ Bell Jr.WRSO5' 11"160Boynton Beach, FL
82Brycen DorseyWRSO6' 0"182St. Louis, MO
83Amare WhetsellWRSO6' 0"180Pembroke Pines, FL
84Antonio RobinsonWRSR6' 3"185Melissa, TX
89Torrin TeagueWRFR6' 0"191Dallas, TX
46Cash PomeroyTEFR6' 2"265Marionville, MO
80Michael Osei-BonsuTESR6' 4"280Bolingbrook, IL
85Dillon HippTEJR6' 6"255Scottsdale, AZ
86James RexroatTEJR6' 4"235Republic, MO
87Witt EdwardsTEJR6' 5"225Fairfax, OK
88Jeron AskrenTEJR6' 3"230Wichita, KS
51Chase MideauOLFR6' 3"305Douglasville, GA
54Matthew GreeneOLSR6' 5"285Centennial, CO
55Ryan MitchellOLJR6' 3"285St. Louis, MO
66Makhete GueyeOLSR6' 6"310Bradenton, FL
67Ben LiedtkeOLSR6' 5"320Norwalk, IA
69Armend UjkashiOLSR6' 1"265Des Plaines, IL
70William Dixon IIIOLSR6' 3"280North Chesterfield, VA
71King LargeOLJR6' 4"316Bellflower, CA
72Isaiah VillanuevaOLSR6' 3"302Katy, TX
73Myles EwellOLJR6' 6"315Overland Park, KS
74Julius DumasOLFR6' 4"306Carrollton, GA
75Logan ScrivnerOLJR6' 4"305St. Charles, MO
76Santiago CastilloOLFR6' 7"340St. Louis, MO
77Sebastian EspinozaOLSR6' 6"300Mount Washington, KY
78Brayden ThompsonOLSO6' 8"320Eagle, WI
79Stephen MeitzOLSO6' 6"305Eureka, MO
11Tim Brantley Jr.DLSR6' 1"275Allen, TX
44Malachi MadisonDLSR6' 3"290Chester, VA
52Kaden JonesDLSR6' 4"250Yukon, OK
57Gilles TchioDLSR6' 3"310Milton, GA
90Brandon HightowerDLFR6' 2"280Dallas, TX
97Joshua DavisDLJR6' 3"310Natchez, MS
98Cam GrayDLFR6' 2"265Arlington, TX
99Markell ChapmanDLSR6' 1"303Sumter, SC
5Kellen LindstromDEJR6' 5"240Springfield, MO
10Jalile ElliottDESO6' 3"230Greensboro, NC
22Grayson CutchlowDEJR6' 3"230Columbia, MO
30Caden WiestDESR6' 4"265Reeds Spring, MO
49Dylan BrooksDESR6' 4"245Roanoke, AL
56Jayden McGeeDESO6' 4"225St. Louis, MO
59Maurice Jones Jr.DEFR6' 3"205Orlando, FL
92Josh LukusaDESR6' 5"260Cincinnati, OH
94Breylon McCullerDESO6' 5"235Raleigh, NC
96Blessing IgbinedionDEJR6' 4"283Verona, Italy
0Jared LloydLBSR6' 3"240Daytona Beach, FL
15Martavis BlackmonLBSR6' 1"225Oxford, MS
21Jashawn CooperLBJR6' 0"215Montgomery, AL
24Caleb OlabodeLBSO6' 2"205Arlington, TX
31Cooper RoyLBSR6' 3"225Springfield, MO
32Hieko MaloneLBJR6' 1"210Newton, TX
38Stratton ShufeltLBJR6' 2"230Rio Rancho, NM
41Deion ThomasLBFR6' 3"205Atlanta, GA
45Royal WeberLBFR6' 2"206Snellville, GA
48Jedrick Russell Jr.LBFR6' 3"208Grand Prairie, TX
6Navonn BarrettCBSR6' 1"190Trenton, NJ
7Malik GanawayCBSR6' 1"190Trenton, TN
8Joel KpassouCBSR5' 10"170Cleveland, OH
12Joel BoamahCBSR5' 11"180Newark, NJ
18Sean ReeseCBSR6' 0"190Atlanta, GA
23Gionni McBrideCBSO6' 3"175North Kansas City, MO
26Darryon TaylorCBSR6' 0"180Memphis, TN
2Antonio SmithSSR6' 3"197Miami, FL
3Khalil AndersonSSR5' 11"200Atlanta, GA
9Dylan DixsonSSR6' 1"180Houston, TX
13Haydon CastonSSO6' 1"193Houston, TX
14Jerrick MartinSFR6' 4"195Glasgow, KY
16J.J. O'NealSSR6' 2"180Rogersville, MO
19Xavian MichelSSO6' 0"180Naples, FL
27Devin RutherfordSJR5' 11"180Bartlett, TN
28Joseph ArnoldSSO6' 1"170Overland Park, KS
29Christian FordSSR6' 0"180McKinney, TX
33Anthony MattisonSJR5' 9"190Miami Gardens, FL
37Josiah TurnerSFR5' 11"180Dallas, TX
39Rory ButlerSFR6' 0"175West Palm Beach, FL
36Yousef ObeidPKSR6' 0"180Dearborn, MI
37Josh DealPKSR6' 0"200O' Fallon, MO
25Stewart McDonaldPJR6' 1"195Rogersville, MO
47Andrew KallasLSSR6' 3"227Riverside, IL
50Tim ColemanLSSO5' 11"220Madison, AL
65Malakai LewisLSFR6' 3"192Webster Groves, MO

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →