The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 13USC | L 13–73 | -22.0 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 81Marshall | W 21–20 | +1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 20SMU | L 10–28 | -11.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs UT Martin FCS | W 42–10 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 78Western KentuckyCONF | L 22–27 | -10.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 8 | @ 133Middle TennesseeCONF | W 22–20 | -9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 22 | @ 127New Mexico StateCONF | W 24–17 | -2.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Oct 29 | vs 104Florida InternationalCONF | W 28–21 | -2.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 101LibertyCONF | W 21–17 | +0.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 38–24 | -1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 88Kennesaw StateCONF | L 34–41 | -7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 80Louisiana TechCONF | L 30–42 | -17.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 105Arkansas StateNEUTRAL | L 28–34 | -12.6 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.0% | 110th | 43.1% | 79th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.3% | 121st | 44.9% | 84th |
| Passing success rate | 39.6% | 89th | 41.4% | 69th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.3% | 17th | 15.5% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.7% | 8th | 10.1% | 72nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.75 | 127th | 3.22 | 108th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.9% | 68th | 38.2% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 24.1% | 134th | 16.6% | 78th |
| Sack rate | 10.4% | 133rd | 5.5% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.3% | 95th | 41.4% | 74th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 58.3% | 77th |
| Havoc rate | 20.7% | 136th | 12.4% | 56th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.6 | 90th | 28.8 | 83rd |
| Yards / game | 392.1 | 66th | 382.8 | 78th |
| Yards / play | 5.64 | 55th | 5.75 | 100th |
| Pass yards / game | 279.7 | 16th | 217.8 | 95th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.36 | 20th | 7.22 | 71st |
| Completion % | 63.7% | 51st | 64.2% | 100th |
| Rush yards / game | 112.5 | 118th | 153.3 | 76th |
| Yards / carry | 3.51 | 122nd | 4.65 | 98th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.3% | 101st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 4.00 | 134th | 1.85 | 86th |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.5 | 125th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →