CUSA · 2025 · Final

Missouri State Bears 2025

7-65-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#108
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-7.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.4
102nd in FBS
Defense
-3.9
103rd in FBS
Schedule
-5.4
104th toughest
Preseason
—
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-7.3 now, -8.0 preseason · up 21 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#108

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30@13USCL 13–73-22.0—BTN
2Sep 6@81MarshallW 21–20+1.3—ESPN+
3Sep 13vs20SMUL 10–28-11.1—CBSSN
4Sep 20vsUT Martin FCSW 42–10+2.0—ESPN+
5Sep 27vs78Western KentuckyCONFL 22–27-10.0—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 8@133Middle TennesseeCONFW 22–20-9.9—ESPN2
8—Bye
9Oct 22@127New Mexico StateCONFW 24–17-2.1—CBSSN
10Oct 29vs104Florida InternationalCONFW 28–21-2.3—CBSSN
11Nov 8@101LibertyCONFW 21–17+0.7—ESPN+
12Nov 15vs128UTEPCONFW 38–24-1.7—ESPN+
13Nov 22@88Kennesaw StateCONFL 34–41-7.8—ESPN+
14Nov 29vs80Louisiana TechCONFL 30–42-17.3—ESPN+
BowlsDec 18vs105Arkansas StateNEUTRALL 28–34-12.6—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.0%110th43.1%79th
Rushing success rate38.3%121st44.9%84th
Passing success rate39.6%89th41.4%69th
Explosive run rate17.3%17th15.5%104th
Explosive pass rate14.7%8th10.1%72nd
Line yards / carry2.75127th3.22108th
Opportunity rate38.9%68th38.2%70th
Stuff rate24.1%134th16.6%78th
Sack rate10.4%133rd5.5%72nd
3rd-down conversion38.3%95th41.4%74th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%108th58.3%77th
Havoc rate20.7%136th12.4%56th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.690th28.883rd
Yards / game392.166th382.878th
Yards / play5.6455th5.75100th
Pass yards / game279.716th217.895th
Yards / pass att.8.3620th7.2271st
Completion %63.7%51st64.2%100th
Rush yards / game112.5118th153.376th
Yards / carry3.51122nd4.6598th
3rd-down conv. %36.3%101st——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3883rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)4.00134th1.8586th
Penalty yards / game66.5125th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →