
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Southeast Missouri State FCS | W 42–24 | -6.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 55Arkansas | L 14–56 | -25.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 35Iowa State | L 16–24 | -5.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 88Kennesaw State | L 21–28 | -7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 130UL MonroeCONF | L 16–28 | -22.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 62Texas StateCONF | W 31–30 | -0.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 14 | @ 107South AlabamaCONF | W 15–14 | -3.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 98Georgia SouthernCONF | W 34–24 | +1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 90TroyCONF | W 23–10 | +11.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 102Southern MissCONF | L 21–27 | -15.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 20 | vs 103LouisianaCONF | L 30–34 | -13.1 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 115App StateCONF | W 30–29 | -5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 108Missouri StateNEUTRAL | W 34–28 | -1.3 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.5% | 71st | 44.3% | 98th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.0% | 99th | 45.2% | 91st |
| Passing success rate | 43.6% | 43rd | 43.3% | 102nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 86th | 15.8% | 111th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 103rd | 10.4% | 83rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.94 | 93rd | 2.98 | 59th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 103rd | 40.1% | 99th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 92nd | 17.1% | 70th |
| Sack rate | 5.2% | 65th | 7.9% | 9th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.7% | 73rd | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 46.9% | 118th | 60.0% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 15.6% | 131st | 14.3% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.1 | 95th | 27.4 | 76th |
| Yards / game | 382.7 | 74th | 413.3 | 112th |
| Yards / play | 5.04 | 107th | 5.80 | 105th |
| Pass yards / game | 259.5 | 33rd | 225.1 | 102nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.63 | 97th | 8.12 | 119th |
| Completion % | 65.8% | 29th | 68.4% | 132nd |
| Rush yards / game | 123.2 | 109th | 168.4 | 94th |
| Yards / carry | 3.57 | 116th | 4.42 | 87th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.8% | 80th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 122nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 100th | 3.00 | 7th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.9 | 91st | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →