Sun Belt · 2025 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2025

7-65-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#105
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-6.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.4
102nd in FBS
Defense
-3.2
91st in FBS
Schedule
-5.8
114th toughest
Preseason
-4.2
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-6.6 now, -4.2 preseason · up 7 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#105

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsSoutheast Missouri State FCSW 42–24-6.8—ESPN+
2Sep 6@55ArkansasL 14–56-25.2—ESPN+
3Sep 13vs35Iowa StateL 16–24-5.2—ESPN2
4Sep 20@88Kennesaw StateL 21–28-7.8—ESPN+
5Sep 27@130UL MonroeCONFL 16–28-22.8—ESPN+
6Oct 4vs62Texas StateCONFW 31–30-0.4—ESPNU
7—Bye
8Oct 14@107South AlabamaCONFW 15–14-3.2—ESPN2
9Oct 25vs98Georgia SouthernCONFW 34–24+1.3—ESPN+
10Nov 1@90TroyCONFW 23–10+11.8—ESPNU
11Nov 8vs102Southern MissCONFL 21–27-15.1—ESPNU
12—Bye
13Nov 20vs103LouisianaCONFL 30–34-13.1—ESPN
14Nov 29@115App StateCONFW 30–29-5.1—ESPN+
BowlsDec 18vs108Missouri StateNEUTRALW 34–28-1.3—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.5%71st44.3%98th
Rushing success rate41.0%99th45.2%91st
Passing success rate43.6%43rd43.3%102nd
Explosive run rate13.0%86th15.8%111th
Explosive pass rate8.5%103rd10.4%83rd
Line yards / carry2.9493rd2.9859th
Opportunity rate36.0%103rd40.1%99th
Stuff rate18.5%92nd17.1%70th
Sack rate5.2%65th7.9%9th
3rd-down conversion40.7%73rd41.7%77th
Red-zone TD rate46.9%118th60.0%87th
Havoc rate15.6%131st14.3%13th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.195th27.476th
Yards / game382.774th413.3112th
Yards / play5.04107th5.80105th
Pass yards / game259.533rd225.1102nd
Yards / pass att.6.6397th8.12119th
Completion %65.8%29th68.4%132nd
Rush yards / game123.2109th168.494th
Yards / carry3.57116th4.4287th
3rd-down conv. %38.8%80th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.77122nd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.31100th3.007th
Penalty yards / game57.991st——

Players

67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

67 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →