The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 117Eastern Michigan | W 52–27 | +11.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 56UTSA | W 43–36 | +12.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 45Arizona State | L 15–34 | -12.3 | — | TNT |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs Nicholls FCS | W 35–3 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 105Arkansas StateCONF | L 30–31 | -4.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 90TroyCONF | L 41–48 | -13.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 81MarshallCONF | L 37–40 | -2.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 28 | vs 19James MadisonCONF | L 20–52 | -19.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 103LouisianaCONF | L 39–42 | -6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 102Southern MissCONF | W 41–14 | +21.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 130UL MonroeCONF | W 31–14 | +0.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 107South AlabamaCONF | W 49–26 | +13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 126RiceNEUTRAL | W 41–10 | +14.7 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.7% | 27th | 40.6% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.9% | 50th | 39.2% | 20th |
| Passing success rate | 47.7% | 16th | 42.2% | 80th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 60th | 17.2% | 127th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.8% | 3rd | 9.1% | 47th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.23 | 36th | 2.70 | 15th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.9% | 25th | 36.6% | 49th |
| Stuff rate | 15.8% | 45th | 23.6% | 8th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 91st | 5.8% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.3% | 28th | 41.1% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.0% | 44th | 58.1% | 71st |
| Havoc rate | 9.3% | 18th | 13.9% | 20th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.9 | 13th | 37.5 | 130th |
| Yards / game | 472.9 | 5th | 382.9 | 79th |
| Yards / play | 6.49 | 18th | 5.33 | 60th |
| Pass yards / game | 250.8 | 43rd | 205.1 | 62nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.03 | 9th | 7.05 | 63rd |
| Completion % | 70.1% | 5th | 66.2% | 121st |
| Rush yards / game | 222.1 | 10th | 164.8 | 91st |
| Yards / carry | 5.17 | 20th | 4.24 | 71st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.5% | 19th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 85th | 2.08 | 66th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.2 | 98th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →