Sun Belt · 2025 · Final

Texas State Bobcats 2025

7-63-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#62
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+1.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.2
14th in FBS
Defense
-4.8
116th in FBS
Schedule
-5.7
111th toughest
Preseason
+2.0
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.4 now, +2.0 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#62

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vs117Eastern MichiganW 52–27+11.3—ESPN+
2Sep 6@56UTSAW 43–36+12.0—ESPN+
3Sep 13@45Arizona StateL 15–34-12.3—TNT
4Sep 20vsNicholls FCSW 35–3+2.0—ESPN+
5—Bye
6Oct 4@105Arkansas StateCONFL 30–31-4.8—ESPNU
7Oct 11vs90TroyCONFL 41–48-13.8—ESPN+
8Oct 18@81MarshallCONFL 37–40-2.7—ESPN+
9—Bye
10Oct 28vs19James MadisonCONFL 20–52-19.4—ESPN2
11Nov 8@103LouisianaCONFL 39–42-6.5—ESPN+
12Nov 15@102Southern MissCONFW 41–14+21.6—ESPN+
13Nov 22vs130UL MonroeCONFW 31–14+0.6—ESPN+
14Nov 29vs107South AlabamaCONFW 49–26+13.2—ESPN+
BowlsJan 2vs126RiceNEUTRALW 41–10+14.7—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.7%27th40.6%50th
Rushing success rate45.9%50th39.2%20th
Passing success rate47.7%16th42.2%80th
Explosive run rate14.2%60th17.2%127th
Explosive pass rate15.8%3rd9.1%47th
Line yards / carry3.2336th2.7015th
Opportunity rate41.9%25th36.6%49th
Stuff rate15.8%45th23.6%8th
Sack rate6.2%91st5.8%60th
3rd-down conversion46.3%28th41.1%68th
Red-zone TD rate63.0%44th58.1%71st
Havoc rate9.3%18th13.9%20th
Box score · season totals
Points / game38.913th37.5130th
Yards / game472.95th382.979th
Yards / play6.4918th5.3360th
Pass yards / game250.843rd205.162nd
Yards / pass att.9.039th7.0563rd
Completion %70.1%5th66.2%121st
Rush yards / game222.110th164.891st
Yards / carry5.1720th4.2471st
3rd-down conv. %46.5%19th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2363rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0885th2.0866th
Penalty yards / game60.298th——

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →