Sun Belt · 2025 · Final

Marshall Thundering Herd 2025

5-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#81
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-2.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
48th in FBS
Defense
-4.4
109th in FBS
Schedule
-4.7
97th toughest
Preseason
+2.5
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.5 now, +2.5 preseason · down 40 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#81

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30@8GeorgiaL 7–45-12.2—ESPN
2Sep 6vs108Missouri StateL 20–21-11.1—ESPN+
3Sep 13vsEastern Kentucky FCSW 38–7+1.6—ESPN+
4Sep 20@133Middle TennesseeW 42–28+2.1—ESPN+
5Sep 27@103LouisianaCONFL 51–54-6.5—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 11vs32Old DominionCONFW 48–24+27.2—ESPN+
8Oct 18vs62Texas StateCONFW 40–37+1.6—ESPN+
9—Bye
10Oct 30@111Coastal CarolinaCONFL 27–44-22.7—ESPN2
11Nov 8vs19James MadisonCONFL 23–35-4.6—ESPN2
12Nov 15@131Georgia StateCONFW 30–18+0.8—ESPN+
13Nov 22@115App StateCONFL 24–26-8.1—ESPN+
14Nov 29vs98Georgia SouthernCONFL 19–24-13.7—ESPN+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.3%42nd40.1%41st
Rushing success rate43.7%77th37.8%11th
Passing success rate47.3%18th42.6%86th
Explosive run rate16.5%27th12.2%40th
Explosive pass rate10.1%66th15.8%135th
Line yards / carry3.1452nd2.8025th
Opportunity rate41.4%32nd35.5%33rd
Stuff rate16.3%57th19.6%32nd
Sack rate4.0%36th7.2%20th
3rd-down conversion38.6%92nd41.7%77th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%108th51.3%41st
Havoc rate11.0%58th13.4%29th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.851st30.396th
Yards / game405.447th410.6108th
Yards / play5.6949th5.76102nd
Pass yards / game207.991st245.6126th
Yards / pass att.7.4556th8.53129th
Completion %65.1%36th58.4%28th
Rush yards / game197.521st148.967th
Yards / carry4.7335th3.8949th
3rd-down conv. %35.1%106th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2569th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5838th2.4235th
Penalty yards / game59.995th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →