
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 8Georgia | L 7–45 | -12.2 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 108Missouri State | L 20–21 | -11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 38–7 | +1.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 133Middle Tennessee | W 42–28 | +2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 103LouisianaCONF | L 51–54 | -6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 32Old DominionCONF | W 48–24 | +27.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 62Texas StateCONF | W 40–37 | +1.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 30 | @ 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 27–44 | -22.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 19James MadisonCONF | L 23–35 | -4.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 131Georgia StateCONF | W 30–18 | +0.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 115App StateCONF | L 24–26 | -8.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 98Georgia SouthernCONF | L 19–24 | -13.7 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.3% | 42nd | 40.1% | 41st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.7% | 77th | 37.8% | 11th |
| Passing success rate | 47.3% | 18th | 42.6% | 86th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.5% | 27th | 12.2% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 66th | 15.8% | 135th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.14 | 52nd | 2.80 | 25th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.4% | 32nd | 35.5% | 33rd |
| Stuff rate | 16.3% | 57th | 19.6% | 32nd |
| Sack rate | 4.0% | 36th | 7.2% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.6% | 92nd | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 51.3% | 41st |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 13.4% | 29th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.8 | 51st | 30.3 | 96th |
| Yards / game | 405.4 | 47th | 410.6 | 108th |
| Yards / play | 5.69 | 49th | 5.76 | 102nd |
| Pass yards / game | 207.9 | 91st | 245.6 | 126th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.45 | 56th | 8.53 | 129th |
| Completion % | 65.1% | 36th | 58.4% | 28th |
| Rush yards / game | 197.5 | 21st | 148.9 | 67th |
| Yards / carry | 4.73 | 35th | 3.89 | 49th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.1% | 106th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 69th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 38th | 2.42 | 35th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.9 | 95th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →