
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 9Ole Miss | L 7–63 | -18.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 48Memphis | L 16–38 | -21.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Murray State FCS | W 37–21 | -8.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 11Vanderbilt | L 21–70 | -17.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 19James MadisonCONF | L 7–14 | +0.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 115App StateCONF | L 20–41 | -32.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 98Georgia SouthernCONF | L 24–41 | -20.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 23 | vs 107South AlabamaCONF | L 31–38 | -16.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 27–40 | -18.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 81MarshallCONF | L 18–30 | -17.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 90TroyCONF | L 19–31 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 32Old DominionCONF | L 10–27 | -8.2 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.8% | 96th | 45.9% | 115th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.5% | 83rd | 45.6% | 94th |
| Passing success rate | 38.9% | 99th | 46.2% | 124th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 86th | 15.5% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.7% | 117th | 14.4% | 133rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.07 | 63rd | 3.31 | 116th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.5% | 70th | 40.2% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 18.4% | 88th | 12.9% | 127th |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 16th | 4.8% | 99th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.7% | 91st | 47.9% | 126th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.5% | 82nd | 61.5% | 94th |
| Havoc rate | 10.0% | 28th | 9.6% | 118th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.8 | 121st | 37.3 | 129th |
| Yards / game | 378.2 | 77th | 448.8 | 133rd |
| Yards / play | 5.28 | 87th | 6.29 | 127th |
| Pass yards / game | 254.1 | 38th | 233.9 | 115th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.42 | 110th | 8.50 | 127th |
| Completion % | 60.6% | 84th | 64.4% | 106th |
| Rush yards / game | 124.1 | 106th | 208.1 | 130th |
| Yards / carry | 4.07 | 90th | 5.01 | 124th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.6% | 82nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 38th | 1.50 | 113th |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.9 | 128th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →