
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 1Indiana | L 14–27 | +13.2 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs North Carolina Central FCS | W 54–6 | +7.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 91Virginia Tech | W 45–26 | +17.7 | — | ACCNX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 101Liberty | W 21–7 | +5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 47–7 | +18.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 81MarshallCONF | L 24–48 | -23.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 19James MadisonCONF | L 27–63 | -15.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 115App StateCONF | W 24–21 | -8.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 130UL MonroeCONF | W 31–6 | +13.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 13 | vs 90TroyCONF | W 33–0 | +20.4 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 98Georgia SouthernCONF | W 45–10 | +24.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 131Georgia StateCONF | W 27–10 | +0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 22South FloridaNEUTRAL | W 24–10 | +23.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.2% | 34th | 39.6% | 34th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.5% | 26th | 45.7% | 95th |
| Passing success rate | 43.1% | 51st | 33.3% | 9th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.7% | 6th | 13.4% | 62nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 36th | 7.2% | 9th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 15th | 3.05 | 74th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.4% | 21st | 38.9% | 85th |
| Stuff rate | 13.4% | 15th | 18.9% | 40th |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 54th | 7.2% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.2% | 31st | 37.1% | 37th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.2% | 102nd | 44.4% | 16th |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 29th | 13.2% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.5 | 42nd | 18.5 | 12th |
| Yards / game | 454.7 | 14th | 331.5 | 33rd |
| Yards / play | 6.52 | 17th | 4.57 | 17th |
| Pass yards / game | 216.4 | 83rd | 172.2 | 25th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.47 | 18th | 6.09 | 16th |
| Completion % | 57.5% | 114th | 60.4% | 51st |
| Rush yards / game | 238.3 | 7th | 140.1 | 53rd |
| Yards / carry | 5.59 | 7th | 3.67 | 32nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 47th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.85 | 128th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 44th | 3.00 | 7th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.2 | 67th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →