The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Maine FCS | W 28–7 | -3.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 24–34 | -11.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 113Bowling Green | L 13–23 | -15.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 19James Madison | L 13–31 | -10.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 32Old Dominion | L 7–21 | -5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 8 | @ 128UTEPCONF | W 19–8 | +0.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 14 | vs 127New Mexico StateCONF | W 30–27 | -11.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 112DelawareCONF | W 59–30 | +14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 108Missouri StateCONF | L 17–21 | -14.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 104Florida InternationalCONF | L 27–34 | -10.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 80Louisiana TechCONF | L 28–34 | -5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 88Kennesaw StateCONF | L 42–48 | -12.4 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.5% | 56th | 41.7% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.8% | 33rd | 45.0% | 87th |
| Passing success rate | 37.1% | 108th | 37.5% | 31st |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 51st | 15.1% | 93rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 89th | 10.7% | 90th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 32nd | 3.22 | 108th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.4% | 45th | 39.5% | 91st |
| Stuff rate | 14.6% | 33rd | 17.0% | 71st |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 104th | 4.5% | 107th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.9% | 60th | 45.4% | 112th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.5% | 58th | 60.0% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 93rd | 11.2% | 84th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.6 | 91st | 26.5 | 66th |
| Yards / game | 389.5 | 69th | 375.8 | 69th |
| Yards / play | 5.51 | 70th | 5.49 | 79th |
| Pass yards / game | 195.5 | 101st | 188.4 | 37th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.42 | 59th | 6.75 | 49th |
| Completion % | 55.1% | 127th | 58.0% | 25th |
| Rush yards / game | 194.0 | 26th | 179.1 | 109th |
| Yards / carry | 4.58 | 48th | 4.72 | 105th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.5% | 60th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 118th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 88th | 1.42 | 118th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.6 | 76th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →