The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Delaware State FCS | W 35–17 | -6.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 86Colorado | L 7–31 | -24.4 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 75UConn | W 44–41 | -1.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 104Florida InternationalCONF | W 38–16 | +18.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 78Western KentuckyCONF | L 24–27 | -8.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 15 | @ 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 25–38 | -14.7 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 22 | vs 133Middle TennesseeCONF | W 31–28 | -14.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 101LibertyCONF | L 30–59 | -29.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 80Louisiana TechCONF | W 25–24 | -4.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 134Sam HoustonCONF | L 23–26 | -17.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 57Wake Forest | L 14–52 | -23.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 61–31 | +10.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 103LouisianaNEUTRAL | W 20–13 | +0.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 76th | 40.8% | 53rd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.7% | 77th | 40.1% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.4% | 64th | 41.4% | 69th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.3% | 79th | 15.0% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.8% | 77th | 10.4% | 83rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.98 | 89th | 2.95 | 51st |
| Opportunity rate | 37.0% | 89th | 35.9% | 39th |
| Stuff rate | 18.7% | 97th | 19.8% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 74th | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.6% | 75th | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.5% | 19th | 60.0% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 11.2% | 68th | 11.6% | 75th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.0 | 65th | 31.0 | 101st |
| Yards / game | 411.6 | 35th | 405.3 | 103rd |
| Yards / play | 5.48 | 72nd | 5.80 | 106th |
| Pass yards / game | 292.5 | 7th | 232.3 | 114th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.04 | 76th | 7.46 | 90th |
| Completion % | 62.4% | 64th | 61.9% | 70th |
| Rush yards / game | 119.2 | 112th | 159.7 | 84th |
| Yards / carry | 3.79 | 102nd | 4.57 | 93rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.6% | 51st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 85th | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.9 | 55th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →