
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs SE Louisiana FCS | W 24–0 | -0.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 39LSU | L 7–23 | -8.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 127New Mexico StateCONF | W 49–14 | +13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 102Southern Miss | W 30–20 | +0.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 128UTEPCONF | W 30–11 | +8.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 9 | @ 88Kennesaw StateCONF | L 7–35 | -26.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 21 | vs 78Western KentuckyCONF | L 27–28 | -6.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Oct 31 | vs 134Sam HoustonCONF | W 55–14 | +9.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 112DelawareCONF | L 24–25 | -6.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 50Washington State | L 3–28 | -18.3 | — | CW |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 101LibertyCONF | W 34–28 | -2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 108Missouri StateCONF | W 42–30 | +7.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 111Coastal CarolinaNEUTRAL | W 23–14 | +0.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 37.8% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.6% | 91st | 40.3% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 35.1% | 123rd | 35.7% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 56th | 16.9% | 126th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 62nd | 10.3% | 79th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.06 | 66th | 2.69 | 14th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.3% | 82nd | 36.8% | 51st |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 58th | 22.3% | 11th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 105th | 3.5% | 126th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.6% | 92nd | 37.6% | 43rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.5% | 49th | 43.2% | 12th |
| Havoc rate | 11.4% | 71st | 13.9% | 20th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.5 | 78th | 29.4 | 85th |
| Yards / game | 359.1 | 88th | 374.9 | 68th |
| Yards / play | 5.35 | 81st | 5.29 | 57th |
| Pass yards / game | 163.8 | 121st | 228.2 | 110th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.80 | 89th | 6.46 | 32nd |
| Completion % | 62.3% | 65th | 55.0% | 9th |
| Rush yards / game | 195.4 | 24th | 134.5 | 47th |
| Yards / carry | 4.72 | 36th | 4.20 | 70th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.0% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 74th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 44th | 1.62 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 77.4 | 136th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →