
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 71Mississippi State | L 17–34 | -19.9 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Jackson State FCS | W 38–20 | -6.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 115App StateCONF | W 38–22 | +4.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 80Louisiana Tech | L 20–30 | -9.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 92Jacksonville State | W 42–25 | +9.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 9 | @ 98Georgia SouthernCONF | W 38–35 | -0.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 103LouisianaCONF | W 22–10 | +8.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 130UL MonroeCONF | W 49–21 | +9.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 105Arkansas StateCONF | W 27–21 | +2.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 62Texas StateCONF | L 14–41 | -26.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 107South AlabamaCONF | L 35–42 | -11.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 90TroyCONF | L 18–28 | -16.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 78Western KentuckyNEUTRAL | L 16–27 | -13.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.5% | 108th | 41.4% | 62nd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.4% | 113th | 42.6% | 59th |
| Passing success rate | 39.7% | 87th | 40.0% | 53rd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.7% | 115th | 13.9% | 70th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.3% | 9th | 8.2% | 28th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 78th | 3.03 | 71st |
| Opportunity rate | 36.4% | 99th | 35.2% | 31st |
| Stuff rate | 17.8% | 77th | 17.4% | 65th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 57th | 5.8% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.8% | 83rd | 48.9% | 130th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 73rd | 63.6% | 107th |
| Havoc rate | 11.9% | 82nd | 12.0% | 64th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.2 | 46th | 35.9 | 126th |
| Yards / game | 402.1 | 53rd | 404.1 | 101st |
| Yards / play | 5.53 | 69th | 5.25 | 55th |
| Pass yards / game | 266.1 | 27th | 215.5 | 92nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.62 | 50th | 6.95 | 56th |
| Completion % | 63.7% | 52nd | 63.4% | 89th |
| Rush yards / game | 136.0 | 92nd | 174.8 | 98th |
| Yards / carry | 3.76 | 105th | 4.19 | 68th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.7% | 70th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.69 | 53rd | 2.23 | 50th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.1 | 96th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →