
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 135CharlotteNEUTRAL | W 34–11 | +5.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Lindenwood FCS | W 20–13 | -17.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 102Southern MissCONF | L 22–38 | -19.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 46Boise State | L 14–47 | -20.7 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 118Oregon State | W 27–23 | -9.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 131Georgia StateCONF | W 41–20 | +9.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 37–45 | -19.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 32Old DominionCONF | L 21–24 | +5.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 6 | vs 98Georgia SouthernCONF | L 23–25 | -10.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 19James MadisonCONF | L 10–58 | -19.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 81MarshallCONF | W 26–24 | -3.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 105Arkansas StateCONF | L 29–30 | -10.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 98Georgia SouthernNEUTRAL | L 10–29 | -24.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.4% | 74th | 45.0% | 103rd |
| Rushing success rate | 44.3% | 65th | 45.7% | 95th |
| Passing success rate | 40.9% | 69th | 44.5% | 110th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.7% | 73rd | 11.6% | 32nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 109th | 9.7% | 63rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 56th | 3.04 | 73rd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.1% | 49th | 39.5% | 91st |
| Stuff rate | 14.3% | 28th | 16.1% | 84th |
| Sack rate | 3.8% | 27th | 5.2% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.6% | 105th | 44.9% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.1% | 64th | 55.6% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 10.6% | 48th | 12.6% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.6 | 33rd | 32.2 | 110th |
| Yards / game | 384.2 | 72nd | 417.1 | 114th |
| Yards / play | 5.27 | 89th | 5.61 | 88th |
| Pass yards / game | 256.6 | 34th | 253.4 | 129th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.57 | 101st | 7.43 | 89th |
| Completion % | 58.9% | 101st | 63.1% | 84th |
| Rush yards / game | 127.6 | 102nd | 149.2 | 69th |
| Yards / carry | 4.02 | 93rd | 4.13 | 64th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.8% | 124th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 117th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 85th | 2.15 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.8 | 113th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →