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Sun Belt · 2026

App State Mountaineers

Head coach Dowell Loggains · Kidd Brewer Stadium
5-32-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#104
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.8
106th in FBS
Defense
-4.4
101st in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.5
114th toughest
Projected
7.4-4.6
bowl-eligible 98%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-10.2 now, -18.2 preseason · up 22 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#102

Final record odds

7.4-4.6 expected · most likely 7-5 (37%)
5-715%6-637%7-534%8-411%9-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Malachi Singleton
QB · SR · 30th in FBS
1915yds
9 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Jaquari Lewis
RB · SO · 116th in FBS
431yds
86 car · 8 TD
Receiving
Sam Pickett III
WR · SO · 50th in FBS
560yds
36 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Colton Phares
LB · SR · 58th in FBS
63tkl
5 TFL
Sacks
Caleb Sandstrom
DL · SR · 36th in FBS
5sacks
5 hurries
Interceptions
Devin Henderson
DB · JR · 49th in FBS
2INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMaine FCSW 55–3 ›-5.4—ESPN+
2Sep 12@83East CarolinaW 27–24 ›+2.2—ESPNU
3Sep 19vs134CharlotteW 26–21 ›-21.9—ESPN+
4Sep 26@67NC StateL 31–41 ›-4.4—ESPNU
5—Bye
6Oct 10vs114Old DominionCONFL 3–10 ›-24.3—ESPN+
7Oct 16@108Coastal CarolinaCONFW 35–32 ›-4.6—ESPN2
8Oct 22vs59James MadisonCONFW 34–31 ›+2.3—ESPNU
9Oct 31@91Georgia SouthernCONFL 3–19 ›-18.6—ESPN+
10Nov 7vs111Georgia StateCONFApp State −5.4 · o/u 58.6—64%ESPN+
11Nov 14@110MarshallCONFMarshall −2.1 · o/u 54.8—44%ESPN+
12Nov 21vs136UL MonroeCONFApp State −17.4 · o/u 50.5—88%
13Nov 27@106South AlabamaCONFSouth Alabama −3.1 · o/u 61.7—42%ESPN+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.09688th+0.08768th
Success rate40.9%90th41.6%76th
Explosiveness1.26559th1.12918th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.0%93rd41.7%76th
Rushing success rate37.0%126th41.0%60th
Passing success rate44.4%47th42.3%92nd
Explosive run rate13.9%64th10.9%39th
Explosive pass rate13.7%21st8.1%36th
Line yards / carry2.62132nd2.7223rd
Opportunity rate35.2%112th36.3%55th
Stuff rate22.6%128th19.9%39th
Sack rate4.9%60th2.6%131st
3rd-down conversion36.3%107th35.8%34th
Red-zone TD rate64.3%58th66.7%101st
Havoc rate15.5%117th14.3%61st
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.880th22.655th
Yards / game389.865th371.181st
Yards / play5.6962nd5.1559th
Pass yards / game263.429th243.5110th
Yards / pass att.7.8051st6.9358th
Completion %65.8%38th61.9%74th
Rush yards / game126.4110th127.648th
Yards / carry3.80107th3.5635th
3rd-down conv. %34.6%110th36.4%57th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2565th1.5032nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7555th1.12123rd
Penalty yards / game53.858th59.549th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.7
76th of 138
YAC per catch
5.1
92nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
107th of 138
Shotgun
98%
49th of 138
No-huddle
62%
70th of 138
QB pressured
16%
37th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
110th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.9
97th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws260 throws charted

66% comp8.7 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds12–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 25 throws (10%), 21 caught (84%), 86 yds, 3.4 per throw2584% · 86yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 11 caught (55%), 96 yds, 4.8 per throw2055% · 96yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 9 caught (60%), 84 yds, 5.6 per throw1560% · 84yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 124 yds, 15.5 per throw875% · 124yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 93 yds, 13.3 per throw757% · 93yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 58 yds, 8.3 per throw729% · 58yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 42 yds, 8.4 per throw520% · 42yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw367% · 15yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 6 caught (46%), 41 yds, 3.2 per throw1346% · 41yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 15 caught (71%), 139 yds, 6.6 per throw2171% · 139yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 8 caught (73%), 128 yds, 11.6 per throw1173% · 128yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 7 caught (47%), 162 yds, 10.8 per throw1547% · 162yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 72 yds, 24.0 per throw367% · 72yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 85 yds, 21.3 per throw450% · 85yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (7%), 14 caught (78%), 86 yds, 4.8 per throw1878% · 86yRight, 0–4 air yards: 32 throws (12%), 28 caught (88%), 177 yds, 5.5 per throw3288% · 177yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 13 caught (81%), 117 yds, 7.3 per throw1681% · 117yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 6 caught (55%), 80 yds, 7.3 per throw1155% · 80yRight, 15–19 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 12 caught (75%), 252 yds, 15.8 per throw1675% · 252yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 158 yds, 22.6 per throw771% · 158yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on269 throws charted

61% comp8.8 avg. depth4.9 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds9–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 37 yds, 2.5 per throw1573% · 37yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (7%), 12 caught (60%), 79 yds, 4.0 per throw2060% · 79yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 31 throws (12%), 25 caught (81%), 188 yds, 6.1 per throw3181% · 188yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 38 yds, 6.3 per throw650% · 38yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw333% · 15yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 4 caught (44%), 127 yds, 14.1 per throw944% · 127yLeft, 30+ air yards: 10 throws (4%), 1 caught (10%), 50 yds, 5.0 per throw1010% · 50yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw5100% · 19yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 8 caught (62%), 49 yds, 3.8 per throw1362% · 49yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 8 caught (53%), 79 yds, 5.3 per throw1553% · 79yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 8 caught (67%), 133 yds, 11.1 per throw1267% · 133yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw520% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 44 yds, 7.3 per throw633% · 44yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 132 yds, 66.0 per throw2100% · 132yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (7%), 17 caught (89%), 122 yds, 6.4 per throw1989% · 122yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (9%), 17 caught (71%), 86 yds, 3.6 per throw2471% · 86yRight, 5–9 air yards: 39 throws (14%), 30 caught (77%), 271 yds, 6.9 per throw3977% · 271yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 4 caught (36%), 70 yds, 6.4 per throw1136% · 70yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 78 yds, 13.0 per throw667% · 78yRight, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 6 caught (46%), 170 yds, 13.1 per throw1346% · 170yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 117 yds, 23.4 per throw540% · 117y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction237 carries

Left
24%
5.9 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
59%
4.2 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
17%
4.6 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced266 carries

Left
14%
6.5 YPC · 59% succ.
Middle
74%
3.7 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
12%
3.3 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dowell Loggains

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Malachi SingletonQBSR6' 1"225Kennesaw, GA
8Henry HasselbeckQBJR6' 3"200Boston, MA
10Gregory FeeQBSO6' 5"215Charlotte, NC
15Bronzden ChaffinQBFR6' 4"235Baxter, TN
17Tommy UlatowskiQBSR6' 1"195Lemont, IL
2Kanye RobertsRBSR6' 0"205Wallace, NC
5Jaquari LewisRBSO5' 10"205Fort Lauderdale, FL
11Ja'Quez CrossRBSR5' 9"195Hampton, AR
26Max GuestRBSO5' 9"190Asheville, NC
31Jaysen AnguloRBSR6' 0"205Charlotte, NC
48J'Marion BurnetteRBJR6' 2"220Andalusia, AL
0Sam Pickett IIIWRSO6' 0"185Chattanooga, TN
1Nate BranchWRJR5' 9"180Hopkins, SC
6Chris LoftonWRSR6' 0"185Columbia, SC
12Sam MbakeWRSR6' 3"205Atlanta, GA
13Jackson GrierWRSR5' 11"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
16Alexander SanchezWRSO6' 2"200Loganville, GA
18Kamauri AustinWRFR6' 4"205Bryant, AR
22Semaj FlemingWRSO5' 8"175Orlando, FL
28Cash BrownWRFR5' 10"155Newberry, SC
80Doopah ColemanWRSO5' 11"195Savannah, GA
81Derick BrazilWRJR6' 0"175Kannapolis, NC
82Zalin IngramWRJR6' 3"185Clayton, NC
83Daz JamesWRSR6' 2"200Clayton, NC
84Ryan MorrisonWRJR6' 0"180Baltimore, MD
88Kabran PaulWRFR5' 10"165Tallahassee, FL
89Zach TaylorWRJR6' 4"175Yoakum, TX
7Darrin FugittTESR6' 5"240Bolivar, MO
19Jamel HowseTEFR6' 4"250Newberry, SC
45Gavin BarberTEFR6' 3"240Mooresville, NC
85Luke DouglasTEJR6' 5"240Jupiter, FL
87Dillon GallowayTESO6' 4"245Rosman, NC
50Eisa EvansOLFR6' 6"300Winston-Salem, NC
52Cayden SweattOLSR6' 4"300Bremen, GA
55Ben JonesOLFR6' 3"295Orlando, FL
56Jayden ThomasOLJR6' 4"305Thomson, GA
57Devon ManuelOLSR6' 7"325Sunset, LA
60Caden MuskusOLFR6' 5"300Chapin, SC
63Scottland DoverOLFR6' 5"305Gaffney, SC
64Jarvis PottsOLFR6' 4"290Huntersville, NC
66Danny StevensOLSR6' 4"300Charlotte, NC
67Trent RamseyOLSR6' 5"315Tampa, FL
70Al OliverOLSO6' 5"305Sarasota, FL
72Nick KashubaraOLFR6' 4"295Greensboro, NC
73Tre GloverOLFR6' 4"315Warner Robins, GA
74Kamron BurrisOLSR6' 5"305Dunwoody, GA
75Greydon GrimesOLJR6' 6"290China Spring, TX
76Jahlon HarrisOLFR6' 6"315Maumelle, AR
77Daniel DavisOLSR6' 6"300Winston-Salem, NC
78Tyriq PoindexterOLSR6' 5"310Roanoke, VA
11Jordan HarrisDLFR6' 6"235Little Rock, AR
33Aiden BentonDLSR6' 2"250Hampton, GA
41Caleb SandstromDLSR6' 3"250Andover, MN
44Manny LewisDLFR6' 2"280Waxhaw, NC
45Nick CampbellDLSR6' 4"290Clermont, FL
46Nick AveryDLSO6' 5"280Clayton, NC
50Jehchys BrownDLSR6' 2"300Centralia, IL
58Chris DoyleDLFR6' 2"300Bluffton, SC
84Sawyer ArnoldDLFR6' 4"230Charleston, SC
88Kaden EllisDLSO6' 1"300Cartersville, GA
93Keaton BraddockDLJR6' 5"230Lamar, SC
94Caleb PittsDLSO6' 2"265Auburn, AL
95Ki'Shawn HarveyDLSR6' 1"320Raleigh, NC
96Ricky LoloheaDLJR6' 3"310Euless, TX
97Xavier JosephDLFR6' 2"255Covington, GA
98Kelvin CrawfordDLSO6' 2"230Tallahassee, FL
99Aaron ClarkDLJR6' 0"305Charleston, WV
5Carson SloanLBJR6' 2"230Blackshear, GA
10Colton PharesLBSR6' 2"225Beaufort, SC
13Keshawn ThomasLBSR6' 1"230Ocean Springs, MS
15Alex MitchellLBSR6' 1"235Murfreesboro, TN
16Kevin HendersonLBJR5' 11"215Cartersville, GA
22BJ JuniusLBFR6' 0"205Carver Ranches, FL
49Randy Marion IIILBSR6' 0"210Mooresville, NC
52Michael McclentonLBFR6' 0"230Sanford, FL
0Juan BerchalDBSO5' 10"185Sanford, FL
1Ja'Den McBurrowsDBSR5' 11"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
3Ja'Cari HendersonDBSR6' 0"180Sanford, FL
4Jakob GudeDBJR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
6Khalil ConleyDBJR5' 11"185Asheville, NC
7Devin HendersonDBJR5' 10"200Cartersville, GA
8Dre WalkerDBSR6' 2"195Charlotte, NC
9Ahmad RobinsonDBSR6' 0"180St. Louis, MO
12Cary GrantDBSR6' 2"195New Orleans, LA
18Syncere BerryDBFR6' 2"180Atlanta, GA
20Eric AdamsDBSR6' 1"205Roaring River, NC
21Joe ReddishDBSR5' 11"190Charlotte, NC
25Kaleb PurdyDBSR5' 11"185St. Louis, MO
27Cam FlemingDBSR6' 0"195Richmond, VA
30Dorrian MedleyDBFR6' 3"175Hickory, NC
36Luke LairDBSR6' 2"190Wake Forest, NC
48Matthew Castrillon-RoblesDBJR5' 10"175London, Canada
29Carter EverettPKSR5' 10"195Boone, NC
36Andrew CummingsPKFR5' 8"195Mooresville, NC
83James LondonPKSR6' 0"195Miami, FL
40Jaxson DunnPJR6' 1"190Philadelphia, PA
43Evan MulcarePFR6' 0"170Tampa, FL
34Parker StoneLSSR6' 4"220Grain Valley, MO
42Cale SchiralliLSFR6' 0"190Jupiter, FL
47Hardy ButlerLSFR5' 10"205Birmingham, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+11.3, #17) · worst: 2025 (-8.9, #115)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#115
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-32-2#104-10.2-5.8-4.4
20255-82-6#115-8.9-4.1-4.9
20245-63-5#94-4.6-0.2-4.4
20239-56-2#54+2.5+5.6-3.1
20226-63-5#62+1.8+4.1-2.3
202110-47-1#20+7.7+3.9+3.8
20209-36-2#20+8.0+2.0+6.0
201913-17-1#17+11.3+6.2+5.0
201811-27-1#19+9.9+1.9+8.0
20179-47-1#45+3.9-0.5+4.4
201610-37-1#25+7.2-1.1+8.3
201511-27-1#42+5.3+0.9+4.4
20147-56-2#88-5.1-0.8-4.3

App State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →