
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 22Tennessee | L 13–20 | +3.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 64Old Dominion | W 31–7 | +21.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 14Miami | L 10–45 | -18.8 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 92Akron | W 45–38 | +3.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 105Georgia StateCONF | W 17–3 | +2.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 96LouisianaCONF | W 24–0 | +19.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 87IdahoCONF | W 37–19 | +11.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 82Georgia SouthernCONF | W 34–10 | +23.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 128Texas StateCONF | W 35–10 | +2.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 51TroyCONF | L 24–28 | +1.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 122Louisiana MonroeCONF | W 42–17 | +8.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 126New Mexico StateCONF | W 37–7 | +15.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 30ToledoNEUTRAL | W 31–28 | +9.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.5% | 36th | 38.4% | 28th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.4% | 46th | 40.4% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 44.1% | 39th | 36.8% | 23rd |
| Explosive run rate | 19.2% | 16th | 14.3% | 47th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 73rd | 6.2% | 1st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 40th | 3.16 | 88th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.8% | 23rd | 37.7% | 43rd |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 37th | 17.8% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 17th | 6.1% | 58th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.1% | 104th | 35.4% | 17th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.6% | 87th | 48.3% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 9.6% | 14th | 12.8% | 54th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.2 | 73rd | 19.0 | 10th |
| Yards / game | 429.9 | 52nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.02 | 35th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 179.0 | 105th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.97 | 77th | — | — |
| Completion % | 60.8% | 38th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 250.9 | 10th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.64 | 10th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.7% | 110th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 17th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.7 | 83rd | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jake Easter | QB | ||||
| 10 | J.P. Caruso | QB | ||||
| 11 | Taylor Lamb | QB | ||||
| 8 | Josh Boyd | RB | ||||
| 14 | Marcus Cox | RB | ||||
| 19 | Darrynton Evans | RB | ||||
| 25 | Jalin Moore | RB | ||||
| 2 | Ike Lewis | WR | ||||
| 3 | Deltron Hopkins | WR | ||||
| 4 | Jaylan Barbour | WR | ||||
| 6 | Shaedon Meadors | WR | ||||
| 13 | Dante Jones | WR | ||||
| 15 | Mock Adams | WR | ||||
| 16 | Jaquil Capel | WR | ||||
| 18 | Brad Absher | WR | ||||
| 82 | Zy Letman | WR | ||||
| 83 | Mykel Golden | WR | ||||
| 88 | T.J. Watkins | WR | ||||
| 30 | George Vinson | TE | ||||
| 46 | Bill Cecil | TE | ||||
| 85 | Barrett Burns | TE | ||||
| 86 | Levi Duffield | TE | ||||
| 87 | Collin Reed | TE | ||||
| 89 | Devin Papenheim | TE | ||||
| 66 | Kyle Ritz | OL | ||||
| 40 | Nate Norwood | DL | ||||
| 42 | Antonious Sims | DL | ||||
| 47 | Okon Godwin | DL | ||||
| 51 | Caleb Fuller | DL | ||||
| 54 | Darian Small | DL | ||||
| 72 | Tyson Fernandez | DL | ||||
| 92 | MyQuon Stout | DL | ||||
| 6 | Kennan Gilchrist | LB | ||||
| 24 | Akeem Davis-Gaither | LB | ||||
| 28 | Devan Stringer | LB | ||||
| 31 | Rashaad Townes | LB | ||||
| 33 | Edward Davis | LB | ||||
| 35 | Toronto Thomas | LB | ||||
| 44 | Anthony Flory | LB | ||||
| 45 | Eric Boggs | LB | ||||
| 47 | Teh'Ron Fuller | LB | ||||
| 48 | Dezmin Reed | LB | ||||
| 88 | John Law | LB | ||||
| 3 | Alex Gray | DB | ||||
| 4 | Mondo Williams | DB | ||||
| 6 | Desmond Franklin | DB | ||||
| 7 | Josh Thomas | DB | ||||
| 9 | Austin Exford | DB | ||||
| 12 | Brandon Pinckney | DB | ||||
| 17 | Tae Hayes | CB | ||||
| 22 | Clifton Duck | CB | ||||
| 10 | A.J. Howard | S | ||||
| 41 | Michael Rubino | PK | ||||
| 91 | Bentlee Critcher | PK | ||||
| Team | - | |||||
| - Team |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →