MAC · 2016 · Final

Toledo Rockets 2016

9-46-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#30
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+6.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.4
20th in FBS
Defense
+0.1
57th in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
87th toughest
Preseason
+5.3
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+6.5 now, +5.3 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#30

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2@63Arkansas StateW 31–10+23.2—ESPNU
2Sep 10vsMaine FCSW 45–3+7.3—ESPN3
3Sep 17vs123Fresno StateW 52–17+12.3—ESPN3
4—Bye
5Sep 30@35BYUL 53–55+6.4—ESPN2
6Oct 8@91Eastern MichiganCONFW 35–20+12.2—ESPN3
7Oct 15vs107Bowling GreenCONFW 42–35-4.5—ESPN3
8Oct 22vs89Central MichiganCONFW 31–17+6.5—ESPN3
9Oct 27vs73OhioCONFL 26–31-9.2—CBSSN
10Nov 2@92AkronCONFW 48–17+22.9—ESPN2
11Nov 9vs79Northern IllinoisCONFNEUTRALW 31–24+4.4—ESPN2
12Nov 16vs99Ball StateCONFW 37–19+8.0—ESPN2
13Nov 25@13Western MichiganCONFL 35–55-5.8—ESPN2
BowlsDec 17vs25Appalachian StateNEUTRALL 28–31+4.2—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.9%16th38.3%27th
Rushing success rate45.1%62nd38.0%17th
Passing success rate51.0%7th38.6%38th
Explosive run rate16.0%49th21.0%127th
Explosive pass rate13.7%22nd7.7%7th
Line yards / carry3.2631st2.9248th
Opportunity rate42.3%30th36.5%37th
Stuff rate16.5%39th20.5%44th
Sack rate3.5%15th4.3%106th
3rd-down conversion52.1%6th36.5%22nd
Red-zone TD rate69.8%24th64.9%80th
Havoc rate10.4%27th10.6%110th
Box score · season totals
Points / game38.027th25.735th
Yards / game517.87th——
Yards / play7.094th——
Pass yards / game322.810th——
Yards / pass att.9.926th——
Completion %68.8%4th——
Rush yards / game195.046th——
Yards / carry4.9543rd——
3rd-down conv. %50.8%5th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0811th——
Penalty yards / game60.294th——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →