
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 45Nebraska | L 10–43 | -20.6 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Sacramento State FCS | W 31–3 | +2.4 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 30Toledo | L 17–52 | -18.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 36Tulsa | L 41–48 | -3.8 | — | CAMP |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 110UNLVCONF | L 20–45 | -31.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 109NevadaCONF | L 22–27 | -11.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 31San Diego StateCONF | L 3–17 | -10.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 90Utah StateCONF | L 20–38 | -20.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 52Air ForceCONF | L 21–31 | -9.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 57Colorado StateCONF | L 0–37 | -24.9 | — | |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 108Hawai'iCONF | L 13–14 | -12.6 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 111San Jose StateCONF | L 14–16 | -14.6 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 34.8% | 127th | 47.6% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 35.5% | 125th | 51.8% | 120th |
| Passing success rate | 34.2% | 119th | 39.1% | 43rd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.7% | 119th | 15.8% | 77th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.8% | 116th | 10.0% | 54th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.42 | 127th | 3.47 | 123rd |
| Opportunity rate | 31.1% | 125th | 45.8% | 124th |
| Stuff rate | 26.0% | 126th | 13.9% | 118th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 87th | 5.6% | 70th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.2% | 85th | 41.1% | 64th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.2% | 111th | 69.8% | 102nd |
| Havoc rate | 15.4% | 116th | 10.7% | 108th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.4 | 124th | 30.4 | 66th |
| Yards / game | 329.3 | 120th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.51 | 124th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 213.1 | 84th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.31 | 110th | — | — |
| Completion % | 51.9% | 117th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 116.2 | 119th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.17 | 125th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.8% | 87th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.58 | 96th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.8 | 73rd | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chason Virgil | QB | ||||
| 10 | Zach Kline | QB | ||||
| 11 | Dejonte O'Neal | RB | ||||
| 22 | Justin Rice | RB | ||||
| 23 | Bryson Oglesby | RB | ||||
| 28 | Dontel James | RB | ||||
| 33 | Josh Hokit | RB | ||||
| 58 | Christian Cronk | RB | ||||
| Dejonte O'Neal | RB | |||||
| 1 | Jamire Jordan | WR | ||||
| 3 | KeeSean Johnson | WR | ||||
| 6 | Delvon Hardaway | WR | ||||
| 7 | Aaron Peck | WR | ||||
| 13 | Justin Allen | WR | ||||
| 29 | Treyvon Green | WR | ||||
| 87 | Michael Martens | WR | ||||
| 16 | Jared Rice | TE | ||||
| 46 | Chad Olsen | TE | ||||
| 86 | Kyle Hendrickson | TE | ||||
| 89 | Kyle Riddering | TE | ||||
| 71 | Brendan Bailey | OL | ||||
| 92 | Wyatt McBee | DL | ||||
| 99 | Nick Kristofors | DL | ||||
| 56 | Tobenna Okeke | DE | ||||
| 91 | Nathan Madsen | DE | ||||
| 93 | Jasad Haynes | DT | ||||
| 94 | Patrick Belony | DT | ||||
| 7 | James Bailey | LB | ||||
| 10 | Nela Otukolo | LB | ||||
| 19 | Brandon Hughes | LB | ||||
| 32 | Robert Stanley | LB | ||||
| 34 | George Helmuth | LB | ||||
| 40 | Justin Green | LB | ||||
| 42 | Jeff Camilli | LB | ||||
| 54 | Tyler Meteer | LB | ||||
| 2 | Jamal Ellis | DB | ||||
| 5 | Dalen Jones | DB | ||||
| 11 | DeShawn Potts | DB | ||||
| 15 | Stratton Brown | DB | ||||
| 21 | Marcus Green | DB | ||||
| 24 | Tank Kelly | DB | ||||
| 25 | Tyquwan Glass | DB | ||||
| 26 | Alan Wright | DB | ||||
| 29 | Manny Scott-Anderson | DB | ||||
| 36 | Ryan Alvarez | DB | ||||
| 4 | Mike Bell | S | ||||
| 24 | Jalen Smith | S | ||||
| 48 | Kody Kroening | PK | ||||
| Van Valkenburg | PK | |||||
| 47 | Blake Cusick | P | ||||
| 74 | Ian Lauvai | LS | ||||
| 17 | Austin Vaimili | DEF | ||||
| 22 | Trent Soechting | DEF | ||||
| 23 | JuJu Hughes | DEF | ||||
| 38 | Jaron Bryant | DEF | ||||
| 49 | Nick Van Valkenburg | DEF | ||||
| 51 | Jeff Allison | DEF | ||||
| 97 | Malik Forrester | DEF |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →