Mountain West · 2016 · Final

Fresno State Bulldogs 2016

1-110-8 in conference
Final TDC rank
#123
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-13.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-10.9
127th in FBS
Defense
-2.2
81st in FBS
Schedule
-3.1
81st toughest
Preseason
-6.6
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-13.1 now, -6.6 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#123

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@45NebraskaL 10–43-20.6—BTN
2Sep 10vsSacramento State FCSW 31–3+2.4—
3Sep 17@30ToledoL 17–52-18.9—ESPN3
4Sep 24vs36TulsaL 41–48-3.8—CAMP
5Oct 1@110UNLVCONFL 20–45-31.4—CBSSN
6Oct 8@109NevadaCONFL 22–27-11.7—ESPN3
7Oct 14vs31San Diego StateCONFL 3–17-10.1—CBSSN
8Oct 22@90Utah StateCONFL 20–38-20.5—CBSSN
9Oct 28vs52Air ForceCONFL 21–31-9.8—ESPN2
10Nov 5@57Colorado StateCONFL 0–37-24.9—
11—Bye
12Nov 19vs108Hawai'iCONFL 13–14-12.6—
13Nov 26vs111San Jose StateCONFL 14–16-14.6—CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate34.8%127th47.6%114th
Rushing success rate35.5%125th51.8%120th
Passing success rate34.2%119th39.1%43rd
Explosive run rate11.7%119th15.8%77th
Explosive pass rate7.8%116th10.0%54th
Line yards / carry2.42127th3.47123rd
Opportunity rate31.1%125th45.8%124th
Stuff rate26.0%126th13.9%118th
Sack rate6.7%87th5.6%70th
3rd-down conversion39.2%85th41.1%64th
Red-zone TD rate55.2%111th69.8%102nd
Havoc rate15.4%116th10.7%108th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.4124th30.466th
Yards / game329.3120th——
Yards / play4.51124th——
Pass yards / game213.184th——
Yards / pass att.6.31110th——
Completion %51.9%117th——
Rush yards / game116.2119th——
Yards / carry3.17125th——
3rd-down conv. %37.8%87th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.5896th——
Penalty yards / game55.873rd——

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →