The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Cal Poly FCS | W 30–27 | -20.0 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 43Notre Dame | L 10–39 | -18.8 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 127Buffalo | W 38–14 | +5.6 | — | CAMP |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 115Purdue | L 14–24 | -18.3 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 108Hawai'iCONF | L 17–38 | -27.6 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 123Fresno StateCONF | W 27–22 | -10.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 111San Jose StateCONF | L 10–14 | -11.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 68WyomingCONF | L 34–42 | -11.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 80New MexicoCONF | L 26–35 | -9.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 31San Diego StateCONF | L 16–46 | -22.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 90Utah StateCONF | W 38–37 | -6.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 110UNLVCONF | W 45–10 | +20.8 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.7% | 48th | 48.9% | 120th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.4% | 23rd | 50.3% | 117th |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 75th | 46.1% | 111th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 83rd | 19.5% | 123rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.1% | 108th | 9.6% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 41st | 3.38 | 120th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.1% | 35th | 42.4% | 107th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 50th | 13.9% | 118th |
| Sack rate | 6.6% | 82nd | 4.4% | 102nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.4% | 25th | 51.0% | 124th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.0% | 92nd | 64.1% | 76th |
| Havoc rate | 12.1% | 64th | 8.9% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.3 | 100th | 40.3 | 114th |
| Yards / game | 382.2 | 88th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.39 | 79th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 208.2 | 92nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.02 | 75th | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.0% | 57th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 174.0 | 64th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.41 | 67th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.5% | 9th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 44th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.2 | 12th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ty Gangi | QB | ||||
| 15 | Tyler Stewart | QB | ||||
| 20 | James Butler | RB | ||||
| 22 | Akeel Lynch | RB | ||||
| 23 | Kelton Moore | RB | ||||
| 24 | Jaxson Kincaide | RB | ||||
| 33 | Blake Wright | RB | ||||
| 12 | Hasaan Henderson | WR | ||||
| 19 | Wyatt Demps | WR | ||||
| 81 | Victor Gonzalez | WR | ||||
| 83 | Andrew Celis | WR | ||||
| 84 | Jerico Richardson | WR | ||||
| 45 | Austin Carrow | TE | ||||
| 47 | Jarred Gipson | TE | ||||
| 49 | Trae Carter-Wells | TE | ||||
| 86 | Brandon Scott | TE | ||||
| 56 | Kalei Meyer | OL | ||||
| 93 | Jordan Silva | DL | ||||
| 97 | Salesa Faraimo | DL | ||||
| 17 | Jarid Joseph | DE | ||||
| 58 | Nolan Dambacher | DE | ||||
| 95 | Patrick Choudja | DE | ||||
| 99 | Korey Rush | DE | ||||
| 55 | Nakita Lealao | DT | ||||
| 78 | Jarius McDade | DT | ||||
| 96 | Hausia Sekona | DT | ||||
| 7 | Gabe Sewell | LB | ||||
| 10 | L.J. Jackson | LB | ||||
| 24 | Lucas Weber | LB | ||||
| 34 | Travis Wilson | LB | ||||
| 38 | Jake Lacaden | LB | ||||
| 50 | Austin Paulhus | LB | ||||
| 51 | Colton Concellos | LB | ||||
| 56 | Alex Bertrando | LB | ||||
| 57 | John Durney | LB | ||||
| 90 | Malik Reed | LB | ||||
| 2 | Asauni Rufus | DB | ||||
| 3 | Ahki Muhammad | DB | ||||
| 4 | EJ Muhammad | DB | ||||
| 5 | Dameon Baber | DB | ||||
| 8 | Jaden Sawyer | DB | ||||
| 16 | Cameron Turner | DB | ||||
| 18 | Elijah Moody | DB | ||||
| 25 | Daniel Brown | DB | ||||
| 26 | Kendall Johnson | DB | ||||
| 28 | Elijah Mitchell | DB | ||||
| 31 | Randy Uzoma | DB | ||||
| 35 | Riley Brand | DB | ||||
| 40 | Dany Mulanga | DB | ||||
| 40 | Brent Zuzo | PK | ||||
| 48 | Spencer Pettit | PK | ||||
| 46 | Alex Boy | P | ||||
| 1 | Noah Borden | LS | ||||
| 27 | Corbin Grassman | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →