Mountain West · 2016 · Final

Nevada Wolf Pack 2016

5-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#109
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-9.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.4
111th in FBS
Defense
-2.9
87th in FBS
Schedule
-7.2
127th toughest
Preseason
-2.9
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-9.2 now, -2.9 preseason · down 13 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#109

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsCal Poly FCSW 30–27-20.0—
2Sep 10@43Notre DameL 10–39-18.8—NBC
3Sep 17vs127BuffaloW 38–14+5.6—CAMP
4Sep 24@115PurdueL 14–24-18.3—ESPNEWS
5Oct 1@108Hawai'iCONFL 17–38-27.6—
6Oct 8vs123Fresno StateCONFW 27–22-10.6—ESPN3
7Oct 15@111San Jose StateCONFL 10–14-11.6—CBSSN
8Oct 22vs68WyomingCONFL 34–42-11.4—ESPN2
9—Bye
10Nov 5@80New MexicoCONFL 26–35-9.1—ESPNU
11Nov 12vs31San Diego StateCONFL 16–46-22.2—CBSSN
12Nov 19vs90Utah StateCONFW 38–37-6.5—ESPN3
13Nov 26@110UNLVCONFW 45–10+20.8—ESPN3

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.7%48th48.9%120th
Rushing success rate48.4%23rd50.3%117th
Passing success rate40.3%75th46.1%111th
Explosive run rate13.9%83rd19.5%123rd
Explosive pass rate8.1%108th9.6%41st
Line yards / carry3.2141st3.38120th
Opportunity rate42.1%35th42.4%107th
Stuff rate17.3%50th13.9%118th
Sack rate6.6%82nd4.4%102nd
3rd-down conversion46.4%25th51.0%124th
Red-zone TD rate59.0%92nd64.1%76th
Havoc rate12.1%64th8.9%124th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.3100th40.3114th
Yards / game382.288th——
Yards / play5.3979th——
Pass yards / game208.292nd——
Yards / pass att.7.0275th——
Completion %59.0%57th——
Rush yards / game174.064th——
Yards / carry4.4167th——
3rd-down conv. %48.5%9th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7544th——
Penalty yards / game40.212th——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →