4-8Final record
Final TDC rank
#43
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+4.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.1
31st in FBS
Defense
+0.4
54th in FBS
Schedule
+2.7
18th toughest
Preseason
+6.2
rating going in
2016 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.5 now, +6.2 preseason · down 33 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 59Texas | L 47–50 | +0.2 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 109Nevada | W 39–10 | +14.0 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 66Michigan State | L 28–36 | -11.2 | — | NBC |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 74Duke | L 35–38 | -7.7 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 95SyracuseNEUTRAL | W 50–33 | +10.4 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 39NC State | L 3–10 | +0.7 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 17Stanford | L 10–17 | -0.1 | — | NBC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 14Miami | W 30–27 | +12.1 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 46NavyNEUTRAL | L 27–28 | +3.0 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 72ArmyNEUTRAL | W 44–6 | +27.3 | — | NBC |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 19Virginia Tech | L 31–34 | +3.0 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 8USC | L 27–45 | -2.6 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.9% | 34th | 44.6% | 83rd |
| Rushing success rate | 48.0% | 30th | 43.0% | 55th |
| Passing success rate | 43.9% | 41st | 47.1% | 117th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.2% | 96th | 14.1% | 44th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.7% | 22nd | 10.2% | 61st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 61st | 2.81 | 35th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.4% | 54th | 35.2% | 31st |
| Stuff rate | 14.6% | 13th | 18.0% | 66th |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 90th | 3.7% | 113th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.5% | 76th | 42.7% | 82nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.8% | 69th | 64.9% | 80th |
| Havoc rate | 10.6% | 30th | 11.1% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.8 | 33rd | 28.0 | 51st |
| Yards / game | 417.6 | 62nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.87 | 47th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 254.3 | 48th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.86 | 36th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.7% | 75th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 163.3 | 80th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.47 | 62nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.5% | 63rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 85th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.2 | 62nd | — | — |
Players
45 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
45 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Malik Zaire | QB | ||||
| 14 | DeShone Kizer | QB | ||||
| 2 | Dexter Williams | RB | ||||
| 25 | Tarean Folston | RB | ||||
| 33 | Josh Adams | RB | ||||
| 46 | Josh Anderson | RB | ||||
| 3 | CJ Sanders | WR | ||||
| 6 | Equanimeous St. Brown | WR | ||||
| 10 | Chris Finke | WR | ||||
| 15 | Corey Holmes | WR | ||||
| 16 | Torii Hunter Jr. | WR | ||||
| 29 | Kevin Stepherson | WR | ||||
| 68 | Mike McGlinchey | WR | ||||
| 81 | Miles Boykin | WR | ||||
| 83 | Chase Claypool | WR | ||||
| 80 | Durham Smythe | TE | ||||
| 82 | Nic Weishar | TE | ||||
| 55 | Jonathan Bonner | DL | ||||
| 58 | Elijah Taylor | DL | ||||
| 75 | Daniel Cage | DL | ||||
| 93 | Jay Hayes | DL | ||||
| 98 | Andrew Trumbetti | DL | ||||
| 90 | Isaac Rochell | DE | ||||
| 94 | Jarron Jones | DT | ||||
| 99 | Jerry Tillery | DT | ||||
| 4 | Te'von Coney | LB | ||||
| 5 | Nyles Morgan | LB | ||||
| 17 | James Onwualu | LB | ||||
| 22 | Asmar Bilal | LB | ||||
| 23 | Drue Tranquill | LB | ||||
| 48 | Greer Martini | LB | ||||
| 36 | Cole Luke | CB | ||||
| 8 | Avery Sebastian | S | ||||
| 20 | Shaun Crawford | S | ||||
| 24 | Nick Coleman | S | ||||
| 28 | Nicco Fertitta | S | ||||
| 19 | Justin Yoon | PK | ||||
| 85 | Tyler Newsome | P | ||||
| 9 | Daelin Hayes | DEF | ||||
| 14 | Devin Studstill | DEF | ||||
| 18 | Troy Pride Jr. | DEF | ||||
| 27 | Julian Love | DEF | ||||
| 35 | Donte Vaughn | DEF | ||||
| 45 | Jonathan Jones | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →