The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Liberty FCS | W 36–13 | 0.0 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 22TennesseeNEUTRAL | L 24–45 | -12.9 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 76Boston CollegeCONF | W 49–0 | +27.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 104East Carolina | W 54–17 | +17.3 | — | ACCNX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 33North CarolinaCONF | W 34–3 | +35.2 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 95SyracuseCONF | L 17–31 | -18.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 14MiamiCONF | W 37–16 | +30.1 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 38PittsburghCONF | W 39–36 | +10.9 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 74DukeCONF | W 24–21 | +3.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 49Georgia TechCONF | L 20–30 | -9.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 43Notre Dame | W 34–31 | +10.0 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 103VirginiaCONF | W 52–10 | +19.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 3ClemsonNEUTRAL | L 35–42 | +11.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 53ArkansasNEUTRAL | W 35–24 | +13.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.1% | 41st | 37.7% | 23rd |
| Rushing success rate | 42.5% | 93rd | 41.3% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 48.0% | 11th | 34.0% | 9th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 102nd | 11.9% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.5% | 27th | 10.8% | 81st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.99 | 74th | 2.71 | 25th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 65th | 38.0% | 50th |
| Stuff rate | 19.3% | 80th | 22.4% | 23rd |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 74th | 6.8% | 38th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.3% | 70th | 28.8% | 4th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.1% | 53rd | 67.6% | 93rd |
| Havoc rate | 11.5% | 47th | 16.3% | 4th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.6 | 21st | 35.1 | 94th |
| Yards / game | 444.9 | 39th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.57 | 67th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 261.9 | 35th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.16 | 27th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.1% | 27th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 183.1 | 55th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.02 | 95th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.5% | 46th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.29 | 83rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.9 | 38th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jerod Evans | QB | ||||
| 9 | Brenden Motley | QB | ||||
| 11 | Jack Click | QB | ||||
| 23 | Frankie Hickson | RB | ||||
| 28 | Shai McKenzie | RB | ||||
| 32 | Steven Peoples | RB | ||||
| 33 | Deshawn McClease | RB | ||||
| 34 | Travon McMillian | RB | ||||
| 42 | Marshawn Williams | RB | ||||
| 48 | D.J. Reid | RB | ||||
| 45 | Sam Rogers | FB | ||||
| 1 | Isaiah Ford | WR | ||||
| 5 | Cam Phillips | WR | ||||
| 15 | Jaylen Bradshaw | WR | ||||
| 39 | Sean Daniel | WR | ||||
| 86 | C.J. Carroll | WR | ||||
| 89 | Devin Wilson | WR | ||||
| 7 | Bucky Hodges | TE | ||||
| 85 | Chris Cunningham | TE | ||||
| 67 | Jack English | OT | ||||
| 11 | Houshun Gaines | DL | ||||
| 96 | Jimmie Taylor | DL | ||||
| 99 | Vinny Mihota | DL | ||||
| 4 | Ken Ekanem | DE | ||||
| 43 | Seth Dooley | DE | ||||
| 94 | Trevon Hill | DE | ||||
| 60 | Woody Baron | DT | ||||
| 91 | Steve Sobczak | DT | ||||
| 95 | Nigel Williams | DT | ||||
| 97 | Tim Settle | DT | ||||
| 98 | Ricky Walker | DT | ||||
| 4 | Tavante Beckett | LB | ||||
| 24 | Anthony Shegog | LB | ||||
| 49 | Tremaine Edmunds | LB | ||||
| 50 | Jamieon Moss | LB | ||||
| 54 | Andrew Motuapuaka | LB | ||||
| 56 | Sean Huelskamp | LB | ||||
| 6 | Mook Reynolds | DB | ||||
| 12 | Henri Murphy | DB | ||||
| 26 | Jovonn Quillen | DB | ||||
| 88 | Divine Deablo | DB | ||||
| 3 | Greg Stroman Jr. | CB | ||||
| 28 | Curtis Michael Williams | CB | ||||
| 31 | Brandon Facyson | CB | ||||
| 36 | Adonis Alexander | CB | ||||
| 5 | Jahque Alleyne | S | ||||
| 19 | Chuck Clark | S | ||||
| 20 | Deon Newsome | S | ||||
| 22 | Terrell Edmunds | S | ||||
| 23 | Der'Woun Greene | S | ||||
| 31 | Elijah Benton | S | ||||
| 46 | Joey Slye | PK | ||||
| 90 | Mitchell Ludwig | P | ||||
| Team | - | |||||
| Curtis Williams |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →