American · 2016 · Final

East Carolina Pirates 2016

3-91-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#104
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-8.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.7
85th in FBS
Defense
-6.0
112th in FBS
Schedule
-1.3
69th toughest
Preseason
-0.6
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-8.7 now, -0.6 preseason · down 29 spots since preseason
-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#104

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsWestern Carolina FCSW 52–7+8.4—ESPN3
2Sep 10vs39NC StateW 33–30+5.8—ESPNU
3Sep 17@84South CarolinaL 15–20-6.4—SEC Network
4Sep 24@19Virginia TechL 17–54-17.6—ACCNX
5Oct 1vs70UCFCONFL 29–47-21.8—CBSSN
6Oct 8@28South FloridaCONFL 22–38-6.9—ESPNEWS
7Oct 13vs46NavyCONFNavy −10.3 · o/u 66.9—24%
8Oct 22@101CincinnatiCONFL 19–31-17.2—CBSSN
9Oct 29vs121ConnecticutCONFW 41–3+13.6—ESPNEWS
10Nov 5@36TulsaCONFL 24–45-12.8—ESPNEWS
11Nov 12vs94SMUCONFL 31–55-33.0—ESPNEWS
12Nov 19vs46NavyCONFL 31–66-26.3—ESPNEWS
13Nov 26@23TempleCONFL 10–37-14.9—ESPNEWS

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.7%75th46.2%99th
Rushing success rate43.8%80th46.7%89th
Passing success rate42.1%56th45.5%102nd
Explosive run rate15.0%68th16.6%96th
Explosive pass rate8.1%108th12.6%106th
Line yards / carry3.1057th3.39121st
Opportunity rate42.5%27th42.7%113th
Stuff rate21.6%109th16.6%91st
Sack rate4.4%30th2.3%127th
3rd-down conversion42.4%59th42.4%75th
Red-zone TD rate60.0%84th71.7%110th
Havoc rate12.6%73rd10.7%108th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.085th46.8122nd
Yards / game467.123rd——
Yards / play5.6763rd——
Pass yards / game334.76th——
Yards / pass att.7.2565th——
Completion %64.8%11th——
Rush yards / game132.4110th——
Yards / carry3.93101st——
3rd-down conv. %39.7%71st——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.5896th——
Penalty yards / game43.425th——

Players

57 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

57 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →