The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs UT Martin FCS | W 28–7 | -2.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 115Purdue | W 38–20 | +9.7 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 27HoustonCONF | L 16–40 | -19.8 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 93Miami (OH) | W 27–20 | -1.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 28South FloridaCONF | L 20–45 | -20.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 121ConnecticutCONF | L 9–20 | -21.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 104East CarolinaCONF | W 31–19 | +0.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 23TempleCONF | L 13–34 | -10.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 35BYU | L 3–20 | -13.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 70UCFCONF | L 3–24 | -19.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 44MemphisCONF | L 7–34 | -23.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 36TulsaCONF | L 37–40 | +5.2 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 99th | 43.8% | 72nd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.7% | 115th | 42.9% | 54th |
| Passing success rate | 41.2% | 65th | 45.0% | 98th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 105th | 11.7% | 12th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 103rd | 12.2% | 99th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 71st | 3.09 | 73rd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.3% | 104th | 38.2% | 52nd |
| Stuff rate | 19.9% | 93rd | 18.5% | 63rd |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 43rd | 4.7% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 69th | 46.9% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 121st | 44.7% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 13.6% | 92nd | 12.7% | 57th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.3 | 125th | 26.9 | 45th |
| Yards / game | 374.1 | 99th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.12 | 99th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 255.9 | 44th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.78 | 89th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.2% | 83rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 118.2 | 117th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.57 | 109th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.9% | 85th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 73rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.3 | 34th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hayden Moore | QB | ||||
| 11 | Gunner Kiel | QB | ||||
| 12 | Ross Trail | QB | ||||
| 5 | Mike Boone | RB | ||||
| 7 | Tion Green | RB | ||||
| 22 | Deionte Buckley | RB | ||||
| 25 | Chad Banschbach | RB | ||||
| 35 | Taylor Boose | RB | ||||
| 1 | Kahlil Lewis | WR | ||||
| 6 | Tshumbi Johnson | WR | ||||
| 13 | Avery Johnson | WR | ||||
| 15 | Brayden Beard | WR | ||||
| 21 | Devin Gray | WR | ||||
| 26 | Jerron Rollins | WR | ||||
| 84 | Nate Cole | WR | ||||
| 85 | Thomas Geddis | WR | ||||
| 18 | Tyler Cogswell | TE | ||||
| 81 | DJ Dowdy | TE | ||||
| 83 | Josiah Deguara | TE | ||||
| 52 | Jordan Rigg | OL | ||||
| 94 | Chris Burton | DL | ||||
| 44 | Landon Brazile | DE | ||||
| 48 | Kevin Mouhon | DE | ||||
| 51 | Kimoni Fitz | DE | ||||
| 56 | Mark Wilson | DE | ||||
| 44 | Marquise Copeland | DT | ||||
| 50 | Sione Tongamoa | DT | ||||
| 66 | Caleb Ashworth | DT | ||||
| 96 | Cortez Broughton | DT | ||||
| 98 | Lyndon Johnson | DT | ||||
| 99 | Alex Pace | DT | ||||
| 4 | Malik Clements | LB | ||||
| 6 | Perry Young | LB | ||||
| 11 | Bryan Wright | LB | ||||
| 13 | Matthew Draper | LB | ||||
| 23 | Eric Wilson | LB | ||||
| 33 | Jaylyin Minor | LB | ||||
| 42 | Antonio Kinard | LB | ||||
| 45 | Bryce Jenkinson | LB | ||||
| 53 | Franklin Bruscianelli | LB | ||||
| 2 | Tyrell Gilbert | CB | ||||
| 9 | Linden Stephens | CB | ||||
| 10 | Alex Thomas | CB | ||||
| 13 | Grant Coleman | CB | ||||
| 4 | Zach Edwards | S | ||||
| 5 | Mike Tyson | S | ||||
| 19 | Davin Pierce | S | ||||
| 20 | Carter Jacobs | S | ||||
| 30 | Chris Murphy | S | ||||
| 16 | Andrew Gantz | PK | ||||
| 34 | Josh Pasley | PK | ||||
| 97 | Ryan Jones | PK | ||||
| 26 | Sam Geraci | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →