American · 2016 · Final

Cincinnati Bearcats 2016

4-81-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#101
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-7.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-7.6
119th in FBS
Defense
-0.1
58th in FBS
Schedule
-2.0
72nd toughest
Preseason
+0.4
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-7.7 now, +0.4 preseason · down 36 spots since preseason
-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#101

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsUT Martin FCSW 28–7-2.0—ESPN3
2Sep 10@115PurdueW 38–20+9.7—BTN
3Sep 15vs27HoustonCONFL 16–40-19.8—ESPN
4Sep 24vs93Miami (OH)W 27–20-1.9—ESPNEWS
5Oct 1vs28South FloridaCONFL 20–45-20.2—ESPNU
6Oct 8@121ConnecticutCONFL 9–20-21.3—CBSSN
7—Bye
8Oct 22vs104East CarolinaCONFW 31–19+0.8—CBSSN
9Oct 29@23TempleCONFL 13–34-10.8—CBSSN
10Nov 5vs35BYUL 3–20-13.6—CBSSN
11Nov 12@70UCFCONFL 3–24-19.8—ESPNU
12Nov 18vs44MemphisCONFL 7–34-23.4—CBSSN
13Nov 25@36TulsaCONFL 37–40+5.2—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.2%99th43.8%72nd
Rushing success rate38.7%115th42.9%54th
Passing success rate41.2%65th45.0%98th
Explosive run rate12.5%105th11.7%12th
Explosive pass rate8.3%103rd12.2%99th
Line yards / carry3.0171st3.0973rd
Opportunity rate36.3%104th38.2%52nd
Stuff rate19.9%93rd18.5%63rd
Sack rate5.0%43rd4.7%95th
3rd-down conversion41.4%69th46.9%110th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%121st44.7%5th
Havoc rate13.6%92nd12.7%57th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.3125th26.945th
Yards / game374.199th——
Yards / play5.1299th——
Pass yards / game255.944th——
Yards / pass att.6.7889th——
Completion %57.2%83rd——
Rush yards / game118.2117th——
Yards / carry3.57109th——
3rd-down conv. %37.9%85th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1773rd——
Penalty yards / game45.334th——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →