Final TDC rank
#44
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+4.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.2
30th in FBS
Defense
-0.1
58th in FBS
Schedule
-1.4
70th toughest
Preseason
+3.8
rating going in
2016 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.1 now, +3.8 preseason · down 12 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Southeast Missouri State FCS | W 35–17 | -5.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 118Kansas | W 43–7 | +13.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 107Bowling Green | W 77–3 | +30.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 50Ole Miss | L 28–48 | -14.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 23TempleCONF | W 34–27 | +12.2 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 97TulaneCONF | W 24–14 | +5.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 46NavyCONF | L 28–42 | -7.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 36TulsaCONF | L 30–59 | -22.5 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 94SMUCONF | W 51–7 | +26.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 28South FloridaCONF | L 42–49 | -2.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 101CincinnatiCONF | W 34–7 | +19.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 27HoustonCONF | W 48–44 | +8.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 15Western KentuckyNEUTRAL | L 31–51 | -9.2 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.5% | 36th | 46.1% | 98th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.1% | 76th | 48.2% | 101st |
| Passing success rate | 46.6% | 17th | 44.0% | 89th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.9% | 27th | 16.5% | 94th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.5% | 39th | 10.2% | 61st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.89 | 94th | 3.14 | 85th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.3% | 55th | 39.9% | 73rd |
| Stuff rate | 21.9% | 111th | 17.7% | 71st |
| Sack rate | 6.6% | 82nd | 4.7% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.8% | 53rd | 40.1% | 55th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 40th | 65.9% | 86th |
| Havoc rate | 12.8% | 83rd | 9.8% | 115th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.9 | 22nd | 28.9 | 57th |
| Yards / game | 463.7 | 28th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.03 | 34th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 304.4 | 14th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.30 | 22nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 63.5% | 17th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 159.3 | 84th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.25 | 82nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.3% | 65th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.69 | 103rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.3 | 90th | — | — |
Players
61 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
61 players
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →