MAC · 2016 · Final

Bowling Green Falcons 2016

4-83-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#107
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-9.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.2
89th in FBS
Defense
-5.8
109th in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
87th toughest
Preseason
+4.9
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-9.0 now, +4.9 preseason · down 85 spots since preseason
-15-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#107

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@2Ohio StateL 10–77-18.2—BTN
2Sep 10vsNorth Dakota FCSW 27–26-22.0—ESPN3
3Sep 17vs83Middle TennesseeL 21–41-25.6—ESPN3
4Sep 24@44MemphisL 3–77-34.9—ESPNEWS
5Oct 1vs91Eastern MichiganCONFL 25–28-10.8—ESPN3
6Oct 8@73OhioCONFL 24–30-5.2—ESPN3
7Oct 15@30ToledoCONFL 35–42+2.0—ESPN3
8Oct 22vs93Miami (OH)CONFL 26–40-22.9—ESPN3
9—Bye
10Nov 1@79Northern IllinoisCONFL 20–45-24.5—ESPNU
11Nov 9@92AkronCONFW 38–28+6.4—ESPNU
12Nov 15vs106Kent StateCONFW 42–7+16.5—ESPNU
13Nov 25vs127BuffaloCONFW 27–19-10.4—

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.9%71st45.9%96th
Rushing success rate47.9%32nd45.9%82nd
Passing success rate37.8%103rd46.0%108th
Explosive run rate15.3%62nd14.8%58th
Explosive pass rate7.2%123rd12.3%101st
Line yards / carry3.2628th3.1587th
Opportunity rate39.4%65th40.0%75th
Stuff rate15.3%16th15.8%105th
Sack rate4.6%36th5.8%64th
3rd-down conversion34.2%119th42.7%82nd
Red-zone TD rate62.2%72nd86.1%127th
Havoc rate12.6%73rd11.5%88th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.8106th38.3104th
Yards / game406.969th——
Yards / play5.00108th——
Pass yards / game226.171st——
Yards / pass att.6.04120th——
Completion %54.1%110th——
Rush yards / game180.858th——
Yards / carry4.3173rd——
3rd-down conv. %30.4%124th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0865th——
Penalty yards / game58.085th——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →