The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 2Ohio State | L 10–77 | -18.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs North Dakota FCS | W 27–26 | -22.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 83Middle Tennessee | L 21–41 | -25.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 44Memphis | L 3–77 | -34.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 91Eastern MichiganCONF | L 25–28 | -10.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 73OhioCONF | L 24–30 | -5.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 30ToledoCONF | L 35–42 | +2.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 93Miami (OH)CONF | L 26–40 | -22.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 79Northern IllinoisCONF | L 20–45 | -24.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 92AkronCONF | W 38–28 | +6.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 106Kent StateCONF | W 42–7 | +16.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 127BuffaloCONF | W 27–19 | -10.4 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.9% | 71st | 45.9% | 96th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.9% | 32nd | 45.9% | 82nd |
| Passing success rate | 37.8% | 103rd | 46.0% | 108th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.3% | 62nd | 14.8% | 58th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.2% | 123rd | 12.3% | 101st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.26 | 28th | 3.15 | 87th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 65th | 40.0% | 75th |
| Stuff rate | 15.3% | 16th | 15.8% | 105th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 36th | 5.8% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.2% | 119th | 42.7% | 82nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.2% | 72nd | 86.1% | 127th |
| Havoc rate | 12.6% | 73rd | 11.5% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.8 | 106th | 38.3 | 104th |
| Yards / game | 406.9 | 69th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.00 | 108th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 226.1 | 71st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.04 | 120th | — | — |
| Completion % | 54.1% | 110th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 180.8 | 58th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.31 | 73rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.4% | 124th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 65th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.0 | 85th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | James Knapke | QB | ||||
| 12 | James Morgan | QB | ||||
| 6 | Josh Cleveland | RB | ||||
| 28 | Fred Coppet | RB | ||||
| 32 | Terence Stephens Jr. | RB | ||||
| 45 | Donovan Wilson | RB | ||||
| 42 | Leonard Skattebo | FB | ||||
| 1 | Vanel Dossous | WR | ||||
| 5 | Ronnie Moore | WR | ||||
| 9 | Teo Redding | WR | ||||
| 10 | Trevor Roop | WR | ||||
| 14 | Janarvis Pough | WR | ||||
| 15 | Alex Reed | WR | ||||
| 21 | Scotty Miller | WR | ||||
| 87 | Marquis Zimmerman | WR | ||||
| 87 | Stetson Carr | WR | ||||
| 89 | Deric Phouthavong | WR | ||||
| 88 | Hunter Folkertsma | TE | ||||
| 3 | Terrance Bush | DL | ||||
| 10 | Izaah Burks | DL | ||||
| 51 | Malik Brown | DL | ||||
| 54 | Nico Lautanen | DL | ||||
| 58 | Brian Sanders | DL | ||||
| 63 | Gus Schwieterman | DL | ||||
| 93 | Shannon Smith | DL | ||||
| 94 | David Konowalski | DL | ||||
| 19 | Brandon Harris | DE | ||||
| 36 | Jack Walz III | DE | ||||
| 95 | Kyle Junior | DT | ||||
| 1 | Austin Valdez | LB | ||||
| 2 | Trenton Greene | LB | ||||
| 4 | James Sanford | LB | ||||
| 11 | Aaron Banks | LB | ||||
| 21 | Tanner Palmborg | LB | ||||
| 27 | Nate Locke | LB | ||||
| 57 | Zac Bartman | LB | ||||
| 8 | Will Watson | DB | ||||
| 13 | Jamari Bozeman | DB | ||||
| 14 | Marcus Milton | DB | ||||
| 21 | Antonyo Sotolongo | DB | ||||
| 22 | Robert Jackson Jr. | DB | ||||
| 24 | Tavaraus Wade | DB | ||||
| 25 | Nilijah Ballew | DB | ||||
| 26 | Alfonso Mack | DB | ||||
| 31 | Jerry McBride III | DB | ||||
| 35 | Matt Robinson | DB | ||||
| 18 | Cam Jefferies | CB | ||||
| 46 | Jake Suder | PK | ||||
| 91 | Nick Fields | PK | ||||
| 49 | Joseph Davidson | P | ||||
| 6 | Montre Gregory | DEF | ||||
| 53 | Logan Dietz | DEF | ||||
| 56 | Tyrik Jones | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →