
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 68Wyoming | L 34–40 | -4.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 28South Florida | L 17–48 | -17.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 31San Diego State | L 28–42 | -10.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Western Illinois FCS | L 23–28 | -28.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 99Ball StateCONF | W 31–24 | +2.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 13Western MichiganCONF | L 30–45 | -0.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 89Central MichiganCONF | L 28–34 | -13.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 127BuffaloCONF | W 44–7 | +10.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 107Bowling GreenCONF | W 45–20 | +12.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 30ToledoCONFNEUTRAL | L 24–31 | -0.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 91Eastern MichiganCONF | W 31–24 | +4.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 106Kent StateCONF | W 31–21 | +3.6 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.0% | 57th | 44.5% | 81st |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 58th | 44.8% | 72nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.9% | 58th | 44.2% | 94th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.2% | 25th | 15.3% | 70th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 84th | 12.4% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.26 | 30th | 3.17 | 91st |
| Opportunity rate | 41.0% | 49th | 41.8% | 97th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 37th | 17.2% | 83rd |
| Sack rate | 1.8% | 2nd | 4.8% | 90th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.7% | 54th | 40.7% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.4% | 37th | 62.2% | 60th |
| Havoc rate | 11.5% | 47th | 12.3% | 66th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.5 | 62nd | 30.3 | 65th |
| Yards / game | 463.8 | 27th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.82 | 55th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 224.0 | 73rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.72 | 94th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 72nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 239.8 | 16th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.25 | 26th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.9% | 60th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.67 | 2nd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.5 | 120th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Maddie | QB | ||||
| 7 | Daniel Santacaterina | QB | ||||
| 12 | Drew Hare | QB | ||||
| 17 | Ryan Graham | QB | ||||
| 2 | Dwayne Milton | RB | ||||
| 23 | Jordan Huff | RB | ||||
| 26 | Tommy Mister | RB | ||||
| 28 | Joel Bouagnon | RB | ||||
| 3 | Ezra Saffold | WR | ||||
| 4 | Christian Blake | WR | ||||
| 10 | D.J. Brown | WR | ||||
| 14 | Spencer Tears | WR | ||||
| 17 | Jaelon Acklin | WR | ||||
| 19 | Kenny Golladay | WR | ||||
| 22 | Aregeros Turner | WR | ||||
| 81 | Clayton Glasper | WR | ||||
| 89 | Mitchell Brinkman | WR | ||||
| 35 | Shane Wimann | TE | ||||
| 88 | Daniel Crawford | TE | ||||
| 8 | Ladell Fleming | DE | ||||
| 10 | Quintin Wynne | DE | ||||
| 12 | Josh Corcoran | DE | ||||
| 50 | Austin Smaha | DE | ||||
| 69 | Corey Thomas | DT | ||||
| 90 | William Lee | DT | ||||
| 92 | Mario Jones | DT | ||||
| 96 | Marcus Kelly | DT | ||||
| 4 | Antonio Jones-Davis | LB | ||||
| 6 | Bobby Jones IV | LB | ||||
| 7 | Jawuan Johnson | LB | ||||
| 11 | Renard Cheren | LB | ||||
| 15 | Sutton Smith | LB | ||||
| 33 | Jamaal Payton | LB | ||||
| 36 | Alex Schwab | LB | ||||
| 40 | Sean Folliard | LB | ||||
| 58 | Riggs Baxter | LB | ||||
| 2 | Brandon Mayes | DB | ||||
| 6 | Jeffrey Hill | DB | ||||
| 1 | Albert Smalls | CB | ||||
| 5 | Mayomi Olootu | CB | ||||
| 7 | Tifonte Hunt | CB | ||||
| 19 | Shawun Lurry | CB | ||||
| 31 | Anthony Brooks | CB | ||||
| 13 | Jackson Abresch | S | ||||
| 17 | Corey Kennedy | S | ||||
| 20 | Mycial Allen | S | ||||
| 24 | Trequan Smith | S | ||||
| 29 | Adam Buirge | S | ||||
| 49 | Trayshon Foster | S | ||||
| 34 | Christian Hagan | PK | ||||
| 15 | Jacob Ambrose | P | ||||
| 59 | Hayden Sak | LS | ||||
| 9 | Joe Sanders | DEF | ||||
| 39 | Dan Isom | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →