MAC · 2016 · Final

Northern Illinois Huskies 2016

5-75-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#79
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-2.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.2
63rd in FBS
Defense
-2.4
83rd in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
87th toughest
Preseason
+1.0
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.6 now, +1.0 preseason · down 18 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#79

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@68WyomingL 34–40-4.4—CBSSN
2Sep 10@28South FloridaL 17–48-17.4—CBSSN
3Sep 17vs31San Diego StateL 28–42-10.1—CBSSN
4Sep 24vsWestern Illinois FCSL 23–28-28.0—ESPN3
5Oct 1@99Ball StateCONFW 31–24+2.0—ESPN3
6Oct 8@13Western MichiganCONFL 30–45-0.8—CBSSN
7Oct 15vs89Central MichiganCONFL 28–34-13.5—ESPN3
8Oct 22vs127BuffaloCONFW 44–7+10.1—ESPN3
9—Bye
10Nov 1vs107Bowling GreenCONFW 45–20+12.9—ESPNU
11Nov 9vs30ToledoCONFNEUTRALL 24–31-0.5—ESPN2
12Nov 16@91Eastern MichiganCONFW 31–24+4.2—ESPNU
13Nov 25@106Kent StateCONFW 31–21+3.6—CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.0%57th44.5%81st
Rushing success rate45.5%58th44.8%72nd
Passing success rate41.9%58th44.2%94th
Explosive run rate18.2%25th15.3%70th
Explosive pass rate9.6%84th12.4%102nd
Line yards / carry3.2630th3.1791st
Opportunity rate41.0%49th41.8%97th
Stuff rate16.4%37th17.2%83rd
Sack rate1.8%2nd4.8%90th
3rd-down conversion42.7%54th40.7%60th
Red-zone TD rate67.4%37th62.2%60th
Havoc rate11.5%47th12.3%66th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.562nd30.365th
Yards / game463.827th——
Yards / play5.8255th——
Pass yards / game224.073rd——
Yards / pass att.6.7294th——
Completion %58.0%72nd——
Rush yards / game239.816th——
Yards / carry5.2526th——
3rd-down conv. %40.9%60th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.672nd——
Penalty yards / game69.5120th——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →