
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs New Hampshire FCS | W 31–0 | +3.5 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 62California | W 45–40 | +2.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 79Northern Illinois | W 42–28 | +13.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 100South Alabama | L 24–42 | -23.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 110UNLVCONF | W 26–7 | +7.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 123Fresno StateCONF | W 17–3 | +3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 111San Jose StateCONF | W 42–3 | +16.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 90Utah StateCONF | W 40–13 | +22.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 108Hawai'iCONF | W 55–0 | +23.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 109NevadaCONF | W 46–16 | +19.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 68WyomingCONF | L 33–34 | +0.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 57Colorado StateCONF | L 31–63 | -28.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Dec 3 | @ 68Wyoming | W 27–24 | +4.6 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 27HoustonNEUTRAL | W 34–10 | +30.7 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.3% | 53rd | 36.8% | 14th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 62nd | 37.3% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 42.9% | 49th | 36.4% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.7% | 5th | 10.6% | 3rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 37th | 10.1% | 59th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.14 | 50th | 2.58 | 16th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.2% | 33rd | 31.7% | 8th |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 71st | 19.3% | 56th |
| Sack rate | 8.7% | 115th | 7.1% | 29th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.9% | 64th | 42.5% | 78th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.5% | 79th | 64.0% | 75th |
| Havoc rate | 12.7% | 79th | 14.1% | 25th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.4 | 38th | 23.4 | 24th |
| Yards / game | 407.4 | 68th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.20 | 31st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 144.5 | 119th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.90 | 35th | — | — |
| Completion % | 60.5% | 39th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 262.9 | 7th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.79 | 7th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.2% | 67th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 57th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.4 | 96th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ryan Agnew | QB | ||||
| 10 | Christian Chapman | QB | ||||
| 18 | Jimmy Walker | QB | ||||
| 19 | Donnel Pumphrey | RB | ||||
| 20 | Rashaad Penny | RB | ||||
| 29 | Juwan Washington | RB | ||||
| 45 | Tyler Wormhoudt | RB | ||||
| 15 | Nick Bawden | FB | ||||
| 4 | Kendrick Mathis | WR | ||||
| 5 | Chase Favreau | WR | ||||
| 6 | Mikah Holder | WR | ||||
| 14 | Dominic Christian | WR | ||||
| 81 | Eric Judge | WR | ||||
| 84 | Darryl Richardson | WR | ||||
| 85 | Quest Truxton | WR | ||||
| 97 | Curtis Anderson III | WR | ||||
| 82 | Parker Houston | TE | ||||
| 87 | Kahale Warring | TE | ||||
| 88 | David Wells | TE | ||||
| 41 | Dakota Turner | DL | ||||
| 58 | Alex Barrett | DL | ||||
| 59 | Kyle Kelley | DL | ||||
| 65 | Sergio Phillips | DL | ||||
| 68 | Myles Cheatum | DL | ||||
| 90 | Julian Rochelin | DL | ||||
| 95 | Noble Hall | DL | ||||
| 97 | Damon Moore | DL | ||||
| 39 | Ronley Lakalaka | LB | ||||
| 40 | Randy Ricks | LB | ||||
| 42 | Troy Cassidy | LB | ||||
| 43 | Austin Wyatt-Thayer | LB | ||||
| 44 | Kyahva Tezino | LB | ||||
| 46 | Jay Henderson | LB | ||||
| 54 | Calvin Munson | LB | ||||
| 57 | Ryan Dunn | LB | ||||
| 10 | Jeff Clay | CB | ||||
| 17 | Ron Smith | CB | ||||
| 22 | Kalan Montgomery | CB | ||||
| 23 | Damontae Kazee | CB | ||||
| 24 | Billy Vaughn Jr | CB | ||||
| 31 | Derek Babiash | CB | ||||
| 35 | Kevin Walcott | CB | ||||
| 3 | Trey Lomax | S | ||||
| 7 | Kameron Kelly | S | ||||
| 12 | Malik Smith | S | ||||
| 16 | Dwayne Parchment | S | ||||
| 18 | Trenton Thompson | S | ||||
| 21 | Na'im McGee | S | ||||
| 27 | Ashtyn Davis | S | ||||
| 27 | Kyree Woods | S | ||||
| 33 | Parker Baldwin | S | ||||
| 48 | Israel Cabrera | S | ||||
| 29 | John Baron II | PK | ||||
| 91 | Tanner Blain | P | ||||
| 51 | Sam Tai | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →