Pac-12 · 2016 · Final

California Golden Bears 2016

5-73-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#62
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+0.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+9.3
6th in FBS
Defense
-9.2
123rd in FBS
Schedule
+3.6
10th toughest
Preseason
+3.6
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+0.1 now, +3.6 preseason · down 28 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#62

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 26vs108Hawai'iNEUTRALW 51–31+10.9—ESPN
2Sep 10@31San Diego StateL 40–45+3.9—CBSSN
3Sep 17vs59TexasW 50–43+5.2—ESPN
4Sep 24@85Arizona StateCONFL 41–51-11.4—ESPN2
5Oct 1vs37UtahCONFW 28–23+8.1—PACN
6Oct 8@78Oregon StateCONFL 44–47-3.0—PACN
7—Bye
8Oct 21vs69OregonCONFW 52–49-0.5—ESPN
9Oct 27@8USCCONFL 24–45-5.6—ESPN
10Nov 5vs5WashingtonCONFL 27–66-14.7—ESPN
11Nov 12@26Washington StateCONFL 21–56-18.3—ESPN
12Nov 19vs17StanfordCONFL 31–45-7.1—PACN
13Nov 26vs58UCLACONFW 36–10+23.1—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.6%26th50.2%125th
Rushing success rate48.4%23rd54.2%126th
Passing success rate45.6%26th45.4%101st
Explosive run rate15.9%50th18.5%118th
Explosive pass rate10.0%73rd12.6%106th
Line yards / carry3.2532nd3.56126th
Opportunity rate42.3%30th45.6%123rd
Stuff rate16.5%39th12.4%124th
Sack rate2.5%4th3.6%114th
3rd-down conversion40.3%77th47.8%117th
Red-zone TD rate60.4%83rd83.3%126th
Havoc rate8.9%8th8.1%127th
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.131st53.9128th
Yards / game513.210th——
Yards / play5.8648th——
Pass yards / game358.84th——
Yards / pass att.6.9379th——
Completion %61.7%31st——
Rush yards / game154.388th——
Yards / carry4.4763rd——
3rd-down conv. %38.6%78th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3322nd——
Penalty yards / game75.8125th——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →