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ACC · 2026

California Golden Bears

Head coach Tosh Lupoi · California Memorial Stadium
3-62-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#93
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-6.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.0
82nd in FBS
Defense
-4.7
102nd in FBS
Schedule so far
+2.5
35th toughest
Projected
4.0-8.0
bowl-eligible 2%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-6.7 now, +0.8 preseason · down 36 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#93

Final record odds

4.0-8.0 expected · most likely 4-8 (54%)
22%3-954%4-822%5-76-6

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
QB · SO · 47th in FBS
1751yds
11 TD · 6 INT
Rushing
Adam Mohammed
RB · JR · 162nd in FBS
363yds
82 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Chase Hendricks
WR · SR · 49th in FBS
565yds
61 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
AJ Tuitele
LB · FR · 177th in FBS
52tkl
4.5 TFL
Sacks
AJ Tuitele
LB · FR · 147th in FBS
3sacks
5 hurries
Interceptions
Kingston Lopa
DB · SO · 1st in FBS
5INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs17UCLAL 24–45 ›-9.2—ESPN
2Sep 12@65SyracuseCONFW 21–18 ›+8.8—ACC Network
3Sep 19vsWagner FCSW 49–7 ›-18.7—ACC Network
4Sep 25vs54ClemsonCONFL 10–24 ›-13.1—ESPN
5Oct 3@88UNLVL 31–39 ›-10.2—CBSSN
6Oct 10vs49Virginia TechCONFW 25–20 ›+6.9—ACC Network
7Oct 17vs14Wake ForestCONFL 7–41 ›-15.0—ESPN2
8Oct 24@29SMUCONFL 20–59 ›-13.6—CW
9Oct 31@67NC StateCONFL 10–31 ›-15.4—ACC Network
10—Bye
11Nov 14@47VirginiaCONFVirginia −16.3 · o/u 50.9—14%ACC Network
12Nov 21vs100StanfordCONFCalifornia −6.9 · o/u 55.7—68%
13Nov 28vs38PittsburghCONFPittsburgh −10.9 · o/u 53.6—23%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.039131st+0.175112th
Success rate36.8%126th41.0%68th
Explosiveness1.25662nd1.365124th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.0%125th41.6%73rd
Rushing success rate36.4%130th45.7%109th
Passing success rate37.4%115th37.3%30th
Explosive run rate9.1%128th15.5%111th
Explosive pass rate7.6%119th14.8%135th
Line yards / carry2.44136th3.26114th
Opportunity rate34.0%119th37.2%70th
Stuff rate23.0%130th13.2%124th
Sack rate4.2%43rd6.0%63rd
3rd-down conversion36.3%107th41.7%93rd
Red-zone TD rate66.7%39th65.4%99th
Havoc rate15.6%118th12.0%109th
Box score · season totals
Points / game21.9110th31.6120th
Yards / game358.192nd392.6106th
Yards / play4.95120th5.85110th
Pass yards / game275.325th208.061st
Yards / pass att.6.40116th7.3183rd
Completion %65.8%38th58.2%35th
Rush yards / game82.8137th184.6117th
Yards / carry3.00135th4.99120th
3rd-down conv. %35.3%106th41.1%105th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0035th1.1194th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0075th1.6799th
Penalty yards / game84.8137th76.26th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.5
136th of 138
YAC per catch
5.0
99th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
9%
134th of 138
Shotgun
96%
63rd of 138
No-huddle
29%
99th of 138
QB pressured
10%
117th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
42nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.7
106th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws371 throws charted

66% comp6.5 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch9% 20+ air yds15–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 30 throws (8%), 28 caught (93%), 187 yds, 6.2 per throw3093% · 187yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 50 throws (13%), 39 caught (78%), 198 yds, 4.0 per throw5078% · 198yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (8%), 17 caught (59%), 145 yds, 5.0 per throw2959% · 145yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 27 throws (7%), 15 caught (56%), 241 yds, 8.9 per throw2756% · 241yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 3 caught (43%), 71 yds, 10.1 per throw743% · 71yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (2%), 4 caught (50%), 100 yds, 12.5 per throw850% · 100yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 79 yds, 19.8 per throw450% · 79yMiddle, Behind air yards: 8 throws (2%), 7 caught (88%), 26 yds, 3.3 per throw888% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (8%), 19 caught (61%), 138 yds, 4.5 per throw3161% · 138yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (4%), 10 caught (67%), 90 yds, 6.0 per throw1567% · 90yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 1 caught (14%), 42 yds, 6.0 per throw714% · 42yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 2 caught (29%), 45 yds, 6.4 per throw729% · 45yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 38 yds, 12.7 per throw333% · 38yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 43 yds, 21.5 per throw250% · 43yRight, Behind air yards: 28 throws (8%), 27 caught (96%), 128 yds, 4.6 per throw2896% · 128yRight, 0–4 air yards: 51 throws (14%), 36 caught (71%), 187 yds, 3.7 per throw5171% · 187yRight, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (7%), 19 caught (73%), 136 yds, 5.2 per throw2673% · 136yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (3%), 3 caught (25%), 67 yds, 5.6 per throw1225% · 67yRight, 15–19 air yards: 14 throws (4%), 9 caught (64%), 263 yds, 18.8 per throw1464% · 263yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (3%), 3 caught (27%), 79 yds, 7.2 per throw1127% · 79yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on240 throws charted

58% comp9.1 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds15–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 40 yds, 3.1 per throw1385% · 40yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 21 caught (75%), 106 yds, 3.8 per throw2875% · 106yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw560% · 22yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 4 caught (31%), 58 yds, 4.5 per throw1331% · 58yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 57 yds, 9.5 per throw650% · 57yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 2 caught (22%), 63 yds, 7.0 per throw922% · 63yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw560% · 19yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 11 caught (58%), 64 yds, 3.4 per throw1958% · 64yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (10%), 14 caught (56%), 161 yds, 6.4 per throw2556% · 161yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 7 caught (88%), 131 yds, 16.4 per throw888% · 131yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 80 yds, 13.3 per throw667% · 80yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 60 yds, 20.0 per throw367% · 60yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 117 yds, 19.5 per throw650% · 117yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 23 yds, 1.8 per throw1385% · 23yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 10 caught (50%), 99 yds, 5.0 per throw2050% · 99yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 15 caught (65%), 134 yds, 5.8 per throw2365% · 134yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 3 caught (30%), 56 yds, 5.6 per throw1030% · 56yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 92 yds, 11.5 per throw863% · 92yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 210 yds, 21.0 per throw1070% · 210yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 138 yds, 19.7 per throw743% · 138y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction229 carries

Left
24%
2.7 YPC · 41% succ.
Middle
66%
3.9 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
11%
3.9 YPC · 36% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced303 carries

Left
16%
7.2 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
66%
5.0 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
18%
5.6 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tosh Lupoi

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2EJ CaminongQBSO6' 2"220Seattle, WA
3Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBSO6' 3"225Ewa Beach, HI
11Jackson BrousseauQBJR6' 4"225Lehi, UT
14Dominic IngrassiaQBSO6' 4"215Novato, CA
17Alonzo EsparzaQBFR6' 0"190Los Alamitos, CA
18Nainoa LopesQBFR6' 3"185Honolulu, HI
1Carter VargasRBSO5' 11"205Santa Maria, CA
13Victor SantinoRBFR5' 11"200Los Angeles, CA
20Ashten EmoryRBSO5' 11"210Dallas, TX
21Carson Perry-SmithRBSO5' 11"195Granite Bay, CA
24Adam MohammedRBJR6' 0"220Glendale, AZ
25Anthony LeagueRBFR6' 0"215Long Beach, CA
33Dean-Taylor ChapmanRBJR5' 9"185San Leandro, CA
4Jordan KingWRSR6' 2"215Beaverton, OR
5QuaRon AdamsWRSR5' 7"165Phoenix, AZ
6Kyion GrayesWRJR6' 0"190Phoenix, AZ
7Chase HendricksWRSR6' 0"195St. Louis, MO
9Ian StrongWRSR6' 4"215Coram, NY
10Cooper PerryWRSO6' 1"200Scottsdale, AZ
15Mark HamperWRJR6' 2"205West Linn, OR
16Kai MezaWRFR6' 1"190Herriman, UT
19Trevor RogersWRSO6' 3"195Lafayette, CA
80EJ MorganWRFR6' 0"160Fresno, CA
81Tyree SamsWRFR5' 8"180Fresno, CA
82Cole BosciaWRSR6' 3"215Danville, CA
87Meyer SwinneyWRFR6' 3"205Edina, MN
0Dorian ThomasTEJR6' 4"255Kent, WA
22Taimane PurcellTEFR6' 4"245Aiea, HI
39Michael CooleyTEJR6' 7"230Piedmont, CA
44John Tofi Jr.TEFR6' 5"240San Francisco, CA
85Mason MiniTEJR6' 4"245Pacifica, CA
88Sosaia NoaTEFR6' 3"225Sacramento, CA
90Jack OlyphantTESO6' 4"240San Rafael, CA
51Kahlee TafaiOLJR6' 5"340Inglewood, CA
52Elisha FaamatuainuOLFR6' 4"335Murrieta, CA
55Daniel McMorrisOLFR6' 6"265Norman, OK
56Tyson RuffinsOLJR6' 2"310Carson, CA
58Ashton RiveraOLJR6' 2"315Cape Coral, FL
60Roger VanderhoefOLFR6' 7"385Sacramento, CA
65Justin HasenhuetlOLFR6' 5"290Cologne, Germany
66Sam BjerkeOLSO6' 5"310San Diego, CA
68Jojo GenovaOLFR6' 5"285Huntington Beach, CA
70Mykeal RabessOLJR6' 6"320Miami, FL
72Ben HowardOLFR6' 4"325Lehi, UT
73Kamo'I Huihui-WhiteOLFR6' 5"330Honolulu, HI
74Michael KlisiewiczOLFR6' 6"310Brentwood, CA
75Jacob AropOLSO6' 6"330Omaha, NE
76Bastian SwinneyOLSR6' 6"315Edina, MN
77Jimothy Lewis Jr.OLSO6' 6"315Ridgeland, MS
78Lamar RobinsonOLSR6' 3"290Alexandria, VA
43Lucky SchirmerDLFR6' 2"290Pomona, CA
44Jericho JohnsonDLSO6' 4"345Suisun City, CA
55BJ CanadyDLSO6' 5"280Topeka, KS
56Legend JourneyDLSO6' 2"275Arlington, TX
59Nemyah TelonaDLFR6' 1"310Antioch, CA
61Frank Fanua Jr.DLFR6' 3"220San Diego, CA
91Dabe NwudeDLFR6' 2"260Palos Verdes, CA
93R.J. StephensDLJR6' 1"285East Palo Alto, CA
94Stanley Saole-McKenzieDLSR6' 2"350Kahului, HI
97Michael-Anthony OkwuraDLSO6' 3"310Houston, TX
98Nate BurrellDLSR6' 2"285Los Angeles, CA
99Ashun ShepphardDLSR6' 3"290Brandon, MS
3Kamar MothudiLBSO6' 3"245Los Angeles, CA
4Justin BeadlesLBSR6' 5"275Atlanta, GA
6Emmanuel OkoyeLBSO6' 5"245Lagos, Nigeria
9AJ TuiteleLBFR6' 2"220North Las Vegas, NV
15Joshua PierceLBJR6' 4"265Detroit, MI
18Serigne TounkaraLBSO6' 3"245Houston, TX
19Odera OkakaLBSR6' 4"230Antioch, CA
21Aaron HamptonLBJR6' 1"235Anchorage, AK
32Tristan JerniganLBSO6' 0"230Tupelo, MS
33JD McKinleyLBFR6' 2"250Corona, CA
36Jude McLellanLBSO6' 3"240Carlsbad, CA
41Jaxon PyattLBFR6' 2"230Wheat Ridge, CO
45Beckham BarneyLBFR6' 1"225Mesa, AZ
57BJ JonesLBJR6' 2"230Oakland, CA
1Ricky FletcherDBSR6' 3"210Durant, MS
2Kingston LopaDBSO6' 5"210Sacramento, CA
5Marquis Groves-KillebrewDBSR6' 0"190Atlanta, GA
7Daniel HarrisDBSR6' 3"200Miami, FL
11Dayday AupiuDBSO6' 2"170Oxnard, CA
14Aiden ManutaiDBSO5' 11"205Waipahu, HI
16Michael Hurst Jr.DBSR6' 0"200Los Angeles, CA
17Jordan SanfordDBSR6' 0"195Arlington, TX
20Cam SidneyDBSR5' 11"185Riverside, CA
22Tristan DunnDBSR6' 5"210Sumner, WA
23Isaiah CrosbyDBJR5' 10"190Fort Worth, TX
24Quimari ShemwellDBJR5' 11"175Los Angeles, CA
25Khamani HudsonDBFR6' 0"185Houston, TX
26Niles DavisDBFR5' 11"190Los Angeles, CA
28Tre' HarrisonDBFR6' 0"190Artesia, CA
38Nate EscaladaDBJR6' 0"195Santa Clara, CA
33Towns McGoughPKSO6' 0"200Auburn, AL
37Erik PetersPKFR6' 1"195Houston, TX
91Chase MeyerPKSR5' 10"185Los Angeles, CA
27Jacob JohnsonPJR6' 4"250Livermore, CA
29Angus DaviesPSR6' 1"210Torquay, Australia
50David BirdLSSR6' 0"205Phoenix, AZ
53Jordan FrankeLSJR5' 10"205Verona, WI
59Ewan ArechaederraLSSO5' 11"210Danville, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+6.6, #36) · worst: 2022 (-3.6, #84)
-50+5FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#82
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-62-4#93-6.7-2.0-4.7
20257-64-4#82-2.6-0.8-1.8
20246-72-6#67+0.5-2.1+2.7
20236-74-5#67-0.7+2.9-3.7
20224-82-7#84-3.6-3.8+0.2
20215-74-5#77-1.5-4.6+3.2
20201-31-3#87-2.8-6.5+3.7
20198-54-5#56+0.4-5.4+5.8
20187-64-5#78-0.8-6.2+5.4
20175-72-7#67-0.4+0.2-0.6
20165-73-6#62+0.1+9.3-9.2
20158-54-5#36+6.6+9.0-2.4
20145-73-6#69-0.9+8.5-9.4

California's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →