Final TDC rank
#82
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-2.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.8
72nd in FBS
Defense
-1.8
80th in FBS
Schedule
-1.7
73rd toughest
Preseason
+0.2
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-2.6 now, +0.2 preseason · down 16 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 118Oregon State | W 34–15 | +11.2 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Texas Southern FCS | W 35–3 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 63Minnesota | W 27–14 | +11.1 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 54San Diego State | L 0–34 | -22.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 28–24 | +1.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 44DukeCONF | L 21–45 | -22.5 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 97North CarolinaCONF | W 21–18 | -5.6 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 91Virginia TechCONF | L 34–42 | -9.3 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 30VirginiaCONF | L 21–31 | -6.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 24LouisvilleCONF | W 29–26 | +13.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 93StanfordCONF | L 10–31 | -22.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 20SMUCONF | W 38–35 | +9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 24 | @ 77Hawai'i | L 31–35 | -3.0 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.2% | 80th | 44.1% | 93rd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.8% | 101st | 48.3% | 121st |
| Passing success rate | 43.1% | 51st | 40.4% | 60th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.5% | 134th | 15.7% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 29th | 8.8% | 38th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.70 | 129th | 3.38 | 126th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.7% | 130th | 41.8% | 117th |
| Stuff rate | 16.0% | 50th | 12.0% | 131st |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 74th | 4.4% | 110th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 64th | 43.0% | 98th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.0% | 71st | 62.5% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 77th | 11.2% | 84th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.3 | 94th | 27.3 | 75th |
| Yards / game | 357.6 | 89th | 361.8 | 62nd |
| Yards / play | 5.04 | 108th | 5.39 | 67th |
| Pass yards / game | 275.9 | 19th | 194.2 | 50th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.09 | 73rd | 6.35 | 25th |
| Completion % | 63.8% | 50th | 61.7% | 66th |
| Rush yards / game | 81.7 | 135th | 156.6 | 79th |
| Yards / carry | 2.76 | 133rd | 4.72 | 106th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.5% | 61st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 108th | 1.62 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.6 | 118th | — | — |
Players
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
68 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →