The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 51–17 | +2.7 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 5 | vs 19James Madison | W 28–14 | +21.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 113Bowling Green | W 40–17 | +11.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 31PittsburghCONF | W 34–27 | +16.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 30VirginiaCONF | L 27–30 | +0.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 6MiamiCONF | W 24–21 | +23.2 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 38–24 | +6.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 91Virginia TechCONF | W 28–16 | +10.7 | — | CW |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 82CaliforniaCONF | L 26–29 | -8.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 36ClemsonCONF | L 19–20 | +1.7 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 20SMUCONF | L 6–38 | -14.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 66Kentucky | W 41–0 | +27.7 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 33ToledoNEUTRAL | W 27–22 | +10.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.7% | 27th | 37.8% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.4% | 8th | 39.3% | 22nd |
| Passing success rate | 42.1% | 58th | 36.5% | 23rd |
| Explosive run rate | 17.4% | 15th | 12.0% | 37th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.2% | 111th | 9.2% | 50th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 77th | 2.93 | 43rd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.5% | 30th | 34.8% | 28th |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 110th | 18.5% | 49th |
| Sack rate | 4.9% | 59th | 6.7% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.3% | 100th | 34.3% | 16th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.0% | 59th | 51.6% | 42nd |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 77th | 12.9% | 39th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.9 | 59th | 23.5 | 48th |
| Yards / game | 384.5 | 71st | 303.1 | 16th |
| Yards / play | 5.79 | 44th | 4.54 | 14th |
| Pass yards / game | 220.6 | 77th | 172.5 | 26th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.86 | 85th | 6.00 | 11th |
| Completion % | 64.1% | 44th | 59.2% | 33rd |
| Rush yards / game | 163.9 | 59th | 114.3 | 23rd |
| Yards / carry | 5.06 | 24th | 3.48 | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.3% | 104th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 74th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 78th | 2.38 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.1 | 114th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →