ACC · 2025 · Final

Louisville Cardinals 2025

9-44-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#24
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+8.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.2
34th in FBS
Defense
+3.7
39th in FBS
Schedule
+1.5
41st toughest
Preseason
+5.7
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+8.0 now, +5.7 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#25

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsEastern Kentucky FCSW 51–17+2.7—ACCNX
2Sep 5vs19James MadisonW 28–14+21.4—ESPN2
3—Bye
4Sep 20vs113Bowling GreenW 40–17+11.5—ACC Network
5Sep 27@31PittsburghCONFW 34–27+16.2—ESPN2
6Oct 4vs30VirginiaCONFL 27–30+0.8—ESPN2
7—Bye
8Oct 17@6MiamiCONFW 24–21+23.2—ESPN
9Oct 25vs94Boston CollegeCONFW 38–24+6.2—ACC Network
10Nov 1@91Virginia TechCONFW 28–16+10.7—CW
11Nov 8vs82CaliforniaCONFL 26–29-8.4—ESPN2
12Nov 14vs36ClemsonCONFL 19–20+1.7—ESPN
13Nov 22@20SMUCONFL 6–38-14.3—ESPN2
14Nov 29vs66KentuckyW 41–0+27.7—ACC Network
BowlsDec 23vs33ToledoNEUTRALW 27–22+10.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.7%27th37.8%18th
Rushing success rate52.4%8th39.3%22nd
Passing success rate42.1%58th36.5%23rd
Explosive run rate17.4%15th12.0%37th
Explosive pass rate8.2%111th9.2%50th
Line yards / carry3.0177th2.9343rd
Opportunity rate41.5%30th34.8%28th
Stuff rate19.8%110th18.5%49th
Sack rate4.9%59th6.7%27th
3rd-down conversion37.3%100th34.3%16th
Red-zone TD rate60.0%59th51.6%42nd
Havoc rate11.8%77th12.9%39th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.959th23.548th
Yards / game384.571st303.116th
Yards / play5.7944th4.5414th
Pass yards / game220.677th172.526th
Yards / pass att.6.8685th6.0011th
Completion %64.1%44th59.2%33rd
Rush yards / game163.959th114.323rd
Yards / carry5.0624th3.4823rd
3rd-down conv. %35.3%104th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3174th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.9278th2.3837th
Penalty yards / game63.1114th——

Players

67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

67 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →