The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 39LSU | L 10–17 | -4.7 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 90Troy | W 27–16 | +4.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 38Georgia TechCONF | L 21–24 | +4.9 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 106SyracuseCONF | L 21–34 | -22.8 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 97North CarolinaCONF | W 38–10 | +22.3 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 41–10 | +24.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 20SMUCONF | L 24–35 | -4.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 44DukeCONF | L 45–46 | +0.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 43Florida StateCONF | W 24–10 | +15.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 14 | @ 24LouisvilleCONF | W 20–19 | +11.8 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs Furman FCS | W 45–10 | +3.0 | — | CW |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 51South Carolina | W 28–14 | +19.8 | — | SEC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 18Penn StateNEUTRAL | L 10–22 | -1.8 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.8% | 54th | 37.8% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.3% | 65th | 40.6% | 43rd |
| Passing success rate | 43.5% | 45th | 35.8% | 19th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.6% | 97th | 14.5% | 79th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 45th | 8.0% | 22nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.06 | 67th | 2.78 | 21st |
| Opportunity rate | 37.0% | 89th | 34.2% | 25th |
| Stuff rate | 16.1% | 53rd | 21.5% | 14th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 31st | 6.4% | 36th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.6% | 116th | 35.5% | 26th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.2% | 52nd | 66.7% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 20th | 14.0% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.2 | 81st | 20.7 | 28th |
| Yards / game | 392.2 | 64th | 356.7 | 55th |
| Yards / play | 5.63 | 59th | 5.12 | 43rd |
| Pass yards / game | 267.8 | 24th | 235.5 | 118th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.33 | 62nd | 6.75 | 50th |
| Completion % | 65.0% | 37th | 60.7% | 54th |
| Rush yards / game | 124.5 | 105th | 105.5 | 16th |
| Yards / carry | 3.95 | 96th | 3.54 | 25th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.3% | 113th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 44th | 2.69 | 19th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.1 | 24th | — | — |
78 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →