
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 121Nevada | W 46–11 | +13.9 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 104Florida International | W 34–0 | +18.2 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Villanova FCS | W 52–6 | +6.9 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 5OregonCONF | L 24–30 | +8.9 | — | NBC |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 89UCLACONF | L 37–42 | -6.0 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 59NorthwesternCONF | L 21–22 | -2.1 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 14IowaCONF | L 24–25 | +13.3 | — | Peacock |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 14–38 | 0.0 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 1IndianaCONF | L 24–27 | +17.6 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 83Michigan StateCONF | W 28–10 | +18.2 | — | CBS |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 61NebraskaCONF | W 37–10 | +23.9 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 65RutgersCONF | W 40–36 | +7.2 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 36ClemsonNEUTRAL | W 22–10 | +17.5 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.5% | 31st | 42.2% | 70th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.0% | 32nd | 45.8% | 97th |
| Passing success rate | 44.7% | 34th | 38.4% | 39th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.9% | 90th | 13.2% | 59th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 103rd | 9.8% | 67th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 31st | 3.11 | 87th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 74th | 41.8% | 117th |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 17th | 16.9% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 74th | 6.5% | 30th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.7% | 35th | 40.7% | 66th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.5% | 49th | 58.5% | 81st |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 12th | 11.9% | 66th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.7 | 52nd | 20.5 | 26th |
| Yards / game | 362.0 | 85th | 326.8 | 25th |
| Yards / play | 5.65 | 53rd | 4.97 | 39th |
| Pass yards / game | 187.6 | 105th | 168.0 | 21st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.20 | 67th | 6.54 | 37th |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 21st | 62.8% | 81st |
| Rush yards / game | 174.4 | 50th | 142.5 | 56th |
| Yards / carry | 4.77 | 34th | 4.05 | 57th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.6% | 34th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.77 | 7th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 29th | 2.46 | 33rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 37.3 | 9th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →