The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 16Texas | W 14–7 | +15.0 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Grambling FCS | W 70–0 | +15.3 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 68Ohio | W 37–9 | +22.6 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 17WashingtonCONF | W 24–6 | +31.2 | — | CBS |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 63MinnesotaCONF | W 42–3 | +27.4 | — | NBC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 27IllinoisCONF | W 34–16 | +28.3 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 72WisconsinCONF | W 34–0 | +29.7 | — | CBS |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 18Penn StateCONF | W 38–14 | +31.4 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 100PurdueCONF | W 34–10 | +20.8 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 89UCLACONF | W 48–10 | +22.3 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 65RutgersCONF | W 42–9 | +24.8 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 26MichiganCONF | W 27–9 | +28.7 | — | FOX |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 1IndianaNEUTRAL | L 10–13 | +20.4 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 6MiamiNEUTRAL | L 14–24 | +7.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.9% | 3rd | 34.5% | 6th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 59th | 31.6% | 3rd |
| Passing success rate | 58.3% | 1st | 37.1% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.1% | 64th | 9.2% | 7th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 49th | 4.9% | 1st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.99 | 85th | 2.58 | 8th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.0% | 89th | 29.3% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 100th | 21.1% | 16th |
| Sack rate | 4.1% | 39th | 9.2% | 2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 53.0% | 4th | 29.6% | 5th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.3% | 36th | 33.3% | 2nd |
| Havoc rate | 10.3% | 38th | 12.2% | 58th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.4 | 25th | 9.3 | 1st |
| Yards / game | 422.6 | 26th | 219.1 | 1st |
| Yards / play | 6.58 | 13th | 3.82 | 2nd |
| Pass yards / game | 268.2 | 23rd | 113.4 | 1st |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.20 | 7th | 5.31 | 2nd |
| Completion % | 76.7% | 1st | 60.8% | 56th |
| Rush yards / game | 154.4 | 72nd | 89.4 | 7th |
| Yards / carry | 4.55 | 52nd | 2.94 | 8th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 53.3% | 2nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.79 | 8th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.14 | 12th | 2.50 | 31st |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.9 | 14th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →