
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Western Illinois FCS | W 52–3 | +7.9 | — | Peacock |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 44Duke | W 45–19 | +31.8 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 67Western Michigan | W 38–0 | +26.4 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 1IndianaCONF | L 10–63 | -7.9 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 13USCCONF | W 34–32 | +11.0 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 100PurdueCONF | W 43–27 | +12.8 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 16–34 | +0.4 | — | FOX |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 17WashingtonCONF | L 25–42 | -3.8 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 65RutgersCONF | W 35–13 | +19.7 | — | NBC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 84MarylandCONF | W 24–6 | +12.5 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 72WisconsinCONF | L 10–27 | -14.8 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 59NorthwesternCONF | W 20–13 | +5.9 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 25TennesseeNEUTRAL | W 30–28 | +10.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.3% | 12th | 46.3% | 119th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.4% | 11th | 42.2% | 58th |
| Passing success rate | 48.2% | 14th | 49.5% | 133rd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 70th | 9.2% | 7th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 29th | 5.9% | 4th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 43rd | 2.98 | 59th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.9% | 11th | 31.7% | 10th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 72nd | 17.2% | 67th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 114th | 5.3% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.6% | 26th | 46.7% | 121st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.1% | 107th | 50.0% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 13.5% | 116th | 12.5% | 53rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.4 | 63rd | 23.6 | 53rd |
| Yards / game | 373.9 | 80th | 345.1 | 46th |
| Yards / play | 5.64 | 56th | 5.13 | 47th |
| Pass yards / game | 235.8 | 60th | 205.8 | 66th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.24 | 25th | 6.62 | 45th |
| Completion % | 67.5% | 17th | 63.6% | 94th |
| Rush yards / game | 138.1 | 89th | 126.7 | 36th |
| Yards / carry | 3.92 | 97th | 3.95 | 53rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 42nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.85 | 10th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 108th | 2.23 | 50th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.5 | 16th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →