Big Ten · 2026

Illinois Fighting Illini

Head coach Bret Bielema · Gies Memorial Stadium
5-33-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#42
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+7.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.7
36th in FBS
Defense
+2.6
49th in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.3
43rd toughest
Projected
6.2-5.8
bowl-eligible 77%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+7.3 now, +10.5 preseason · down 16 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#43

Final record odds

6.2-5.8 expected · most likely 6-6 (40%)
23%5-740%6-627%7-59%8-49-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs113UABW 42–23 ›+2.1—BTN
2Sep 12vs39DukeL 27–31 ›0.0—FS1
3Sep 19vsSouthern Illinois FCSW 48–10 ›+6.1—Peacock
4Sep 26@2Ohio StateCONFL 19–42 ›+7.1—FOX
5Oct 3vs71PurdueCONFL 17–24 ›-10.3—BTN
6Oct 10@66Michigan StateCONFW 38–37 ›+6.8—FS1
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs11OregonCONFW 21–10 ›+26.5—BTN
9Oct 31@79MarylandCONFW 20–17 ›+4.4—FS1
10Nov 6vs20NebraskaCONFNebraska −3.9 · o/u 52.3—40%Fox
11Nov 13@17UCLACONFUCLA −12.0 · o/u 52.5—21%Fox
12Nov 21vs16IowaCONFIowa −5.0 · o/u 47.8—37%
13Nov 28@24NorthwesternCONFNorthwestern −9.3 · o/u 56.4—27%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.21832nd+0.249128th
Success rate46.6%33rd45.2%122nd
Explosiveness1.32129th1.27285th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.7%40th45.7%122nd
Rushing success rate42.4%82nd42.6%73rd
Passing success rate48.8%20th48.8%130th
Explosive run rate12.2%101st11.5%45th
Explosive pass rate10.5%62nd8.9%51st
Line yards / carry3.2147th3.0066th
Opportunity rate41.0%44th37.0%65th
Stuff rate14.0%26th17.0%87th
Sack rate2.8%15th2.1%136th
3rd-down conversion45.1%36th42.3%101st
Red-zone TD rate60.0%82nd63.0%90th
Havoc rate11.2%25th11.5%120th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.065th24.366th
Yards / game394.362nd370.680th
Yards / play6.2631st5.6395th
Pass yards / game230.067th240.8108th
Yards / pass att.7.5065th7.5596th
Completion %64.5%53rd66.3%123rd
Rush yards / game164.361st129.952nd
Yards / carry5.2025th3.9564th
3rd-down conv. %43.6%39th41.9%109th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7515th0.75121st
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0013th1.12123rd
Penalty yards / game34.96th55.373rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.9
27th of 138
YAC per catch
3.8
132nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
61st of 138
Shotgun
92%
102nd of 138
No-huddle
24%
108th of 138
QB pressured
8%
126th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
8%
133rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
81st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws235 throws charted

64% comp9.9 avg. depth3.8 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds16–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 19 caught (90%), 77 yds, 3.7 per throw2190% · 77yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 74 yds, 9.3 per throw875% · 74yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 20 caught (83%), 210 yds, 8.8 per throw2483% · 210yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 103 yds, 8.6 per throw1250% · 103yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 9 caught (53%), 146 yds, 8.6 per throw1753% · 146yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 5 caught (38%), 154 yds, 11.8 per throw1338% · 154yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 109 yds, 27.3 per throw475% · 109yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 4 yds, 1.3 per throw367% · 4yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 47 yds, 4.7 per throw1060% · 47yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 9 caught (75%), 127 yds, 10.6 per throw1275% · 127yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw520% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 50 yds, 16.7 per throw367% · 50yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (7%), 13 caught (76%), 53 yds, 3.1 per throw1776% · 53yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 20 caught (74%), 118 yds, 4.4 per throw2774% · 118yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 19 caught (79%), 158 yds, 6.6 per throw2479% · 158yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 63 yds, 5.3 per throw1242% · 63yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 8 caught (89%), 152 yds, 16.9 per throw989% · 152yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 54 yds, 7.7 per throw729% · 54yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on245 throws charted

66% comp8.8 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds13–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (7%), 14 caught (78%), 85 yds, 4.7 per throw1878% · 85yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 12 caught (75%), 76 yds, 4.8 per throw1675% · 76yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 11 caught (55%), 116 yds, 5.8 per throw2055% · 116yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 98 yds, 9.8 per throw1080% · 98yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 74 yds, 10.6 per throw757% · 74yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 114 yds, 12.7 per throw956% · 114yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 20 yds, 6.7 per throw3100% · 20yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 10 caught (71%), 80 yds, 5.7 per throw1471% · 80yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 8 caught (89%), 71 yds, 7.9 per throw989% · 71yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 58 yds, 11.6 per throw580% · 58yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 93 yds, 15.5 per throw667% · 93yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 27 throws (11%), 20 caught (74%), 123 yds, 4.6 per throw2774% · 123yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (12%), 26 caught (90%), 178 yds, 6.1 per throw2990% · 178yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 15 caught (68%), 149 yds, 6.8 per throw2268% · 149yRight, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 8 caught (57%), 115 yds, 8.2 per throw1457% · 115yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 89 yds, 11.1 per throw850% · 89yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 1 caught (13%), 31 yds, 3.9 per throw813% · 31yRight, 30+ air yards: 14 throws (6%), 6 caught (43%), 243 yds, 17.4 per throw1443% · 243y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction237 carries

Left
20%
7.2 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
61%
4.4 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
19%
8.4 YPC · 62% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced243 carries

Left
21%
5.5 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
54%
4.6 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
24%
3.7 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Bret Bielema

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Carson BoydQBSO6' 0"190St. Louis, MO
4Katin HouserQBSR6' 3"225Anaheim, CA
7Michael Clayton IIQBFR6' 4"205Orlando, FL
12Dane EisenmengerQBFR6' 4"215Philo, IL
20John ForsterRBSO5' 10"195Saddle Brook, NJ
21Aidan LaugheryRBSR5' 11"200Gibson City, IL
23Jordan AndersonRBSR6' 4"240Naperville, IL
24Javari BarnettRBFR6' 1"235Tampa, FL
27Corey RashadRBSR5' 8"185Chicago, IL
31Murphy ClementRBJR6' 0"215Martinsburg, WV
0Nas RankinWRFR6' 0"170Chicago, IL
1Jayshon PlattWRSR6' 1"195North Port, FL
3Kenyon AlstonWRFR6' 2"195Orlando, FL
6Jershaun NewtonWRSO6' 0"215St. Petersburg, FL
8Jacob EberhartWRFR6' 4"220St. Louis, MO
8Davon GrantWRFR6' 4"220Dekalb, IL
9Alex PerryWRSR6' 5"220Port Charlotte, FL
10Ty RobinsonWRSR6' 4"205Denver, CO
13Hudson ClementWRSR6' 1"215Martinsburg, WV
17Collin DixonWRSR6' 1"215Tallmadge, OH
19Nate CichyWRFR6' 1"195Mount Prospect, IL
28Karson KaiserWRJR6' 1"175Weston, FL
80Eddie KasperWRSR5' 10"170Burlington, WI
81Leslie Mosley Jr.WRFR5' 10"175Belle Glade, FL
82Jacob HarveyWRFR6' 0"200Mount Zion, IL
14Maurice Smith Jr.TESR6' 4"255Fort Pierce, FL
16Logan FarrellTESO6' 3"255Arlington Heights, IL
83Kaden FeaginTESR6' 3"260Atwood, IL
84Grant SmithTESO6' 5"225Forsyth, IL
86Christian AbneyTESR6' 6"260Zionsville, IN
88Davin StoffelTESR6' 6"265Mosinee, WI
89Tanner HollingerTEJR6' 5"245Stromsburg, NE
52Champ SmithOLFR6' 6"330Fort Pierce, FL
53Kai PritchardOLFR6' 5"290Little Egg Harbor Township, NJ
54Griffin RousseauOLSO6' 7"315Stoughton, WI
55TJ McMillenOLSR6' 3"300Naperville, IL
56JJ HirdesOLSO6' 6"290Coopersville, MI
57Zach BarrettOLJR6' 3"295Orland Park, IL
59Jake RenfroOLSR6' 4"320Mokena, IL
62Casey ThomannOLFR6' 8"330Olney, IL
65Dezmond SchusterOLSR6' 5"330Gonzales, LA
66Brandon HansenOLJR6' 6"320Mundelein, IL
68Michael McDonoughOLSO6' 3"315Tinley Park, IL
70Maika MatelauOLSO6' 3"305Ontario, CA
71Nathan KnapikOLJR6' 7"300Kennewick, WA
72Christian MartinOLSR6' 7"310Saint Rose, LA
74Zafir StewartOLJR6' 6"325Philadelphia, PA
75Brandon HendersonOLSR6' 5"320East St. Louis, IL
76Dylan FrechetteOLSO6' 6"325Central Falls, RI
79TJ TaylorOLJR6' 5"330Santa Clarita, CA
15Kingston ShawDLFR6' 3"260Apopka, FL
24Will HolmesDLJR6' 4"260Detroit, MI
43Joe BarnaDLJR6' 4"280Wheaton, IL
48Carter SmithDLJR6' 3"250Rolling Meadows, IL
51Parker CrimDLFR6' 3"270Lima, OH
52Pat FarrellDLSR6' 5"285Oak Lawn, IL
54Demetrius JohnDLJR6' 3"295Columbus, OH
55Tony BalanganayiDLFR6' 4"290Palatine, IL
56Guillermo GallardoDLSR6' 3"315Bloomington, IL
90Carter JankiDLSR6' 5"295Redding, CT
91Cameron BrooksDLSO6' 3"305Chicago, IL
94Connor SullivanDLSO6' 4"290Glenview, IL
96Darrell PraterDLSR6' 3"310Fort Payne, AL
98Joshua DavisDLSO6' 3"285Pinola, MS
99King LigginsDLFR6' 3"300Crete, IL
4Daniel BrownLBSR6' 1"255Kansas City, KS
10James KreutzLBSR6' 2"240Bannockburn, IL
11Jacob AlexanderLBFR6' 4"245Chicago, IL
18Mason MuraginLBSR6' 4"250Macomb, MI
23Jaylen StewartLBFR6' 2"240Houston, TX
26Ismael KanteLBSR6' 2"240Brooklyn Park, MN
28Kayden BennettLBFR6' 1"235Windsor, CT
33Grant BeermanLBSO6' 5"240West Chester, OH
34Erik GayleLBSO6' 3"240Cincinnati, OH
38Jack ParisLBSO6' 2"225River Forest, IL
40Ean RheaLBSR6' 2"240Glade Spring, VA
45Robert EdmonsonLBSR6' 2"240Houston, TX
0Mac ResetichDBSR6' 0"210Spring Valley, IL
1Xavier ScottDBSR5' 11"195Riviera Beach, FL
3Nick Hankins Jr.DBFR6' 0"205Belleville, IL
5Jakwon MorrisDBJR6' 0"185Tupelo, MS
6Juice ClarkeDBSR6' 1"185Fort Myers, FL
7Matthew BaileyDBSR6' 2"225Moline, IL
9RJ Jones IIIDBSO6' 0"175Fort Pierce, FL
13Xanai ScottDBSO5' 11"210Riviera Beach, FL
14Andre Lovett Jr.DBSO6' 1"190Blue Island, IL
16Tanner HeckelDBJR5' 11"195Lyndon, KS
21Ben ClawsonDBSR6' 0"210Arlington Heights, IL
22Deuce FillmoreDBSR5' 11"190Biloxi, MS
25Des StraughtonDBSO6' 0"210Detroit, MI
29James Finley IVDBSO6' 2"195Portage, IN
32Tywan CoxDBSO5' 10"190Miami, FL
35Kaedyn CobbsDBFR6' 1"220Denton, TX
37Caden ConsidineDBFR6' 0"215Byron, IL
27Lucas OsadaPKJR6' 1"195Charlottesville, VA
37Ethan MoczulskiPKSR5' 11"195Spokane, WA
18Jack GrayPFR6' 2"210Adelaide, Australia
81Lars RauPJR6' 3"195Novato, CA
44Patrick Mahoney IIILSSR6' 2"210Northbrook, IL
49Zach HaberLSSR5' 10"220Durango, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2022 (+7.6, #22) · worst: 2017 (-10.5, #113)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#27
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-33-2#42+7.3+4.7+2.6
20259-45-4#27+7.5+3.6+4.0
202410-36-3#37+5.1+2.8+2.4
20235-73-6#75-1.8+0.4-2.2
20228-55-4#22+7.6-2.1+9.7
20215-74-5#73-1.3-4.3+3.0
20202-62-6#100-6.6-3.1-3.5
20196-74-5#80-2.3+0.2-2.6
20184-82-7#104-9.0-1.8-7.1
20172-100-9#113-10.5-8.1-2.5
20163-92-7#102-8.3-6.4-1.9
20155-72-6#77-1.6-4.6+3.0
20146-73-5#84-5.0-0.5-4.5

Illinois's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →