Big Ten · 2026

Oregon Ducks

Head coach Dan Lanning · Autzen Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#20
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+7.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.7
10th in FBS
Defense
+1.1
51st in FBS
Schedule so far
-7.9
85th toughest
Projected
7.0-5.0
bowl-eligible 81%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+7.8 now, +9.8 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#20

Final record odds

7.0-5.0 expected · most likely 7-5 (23%)
3-95%4-812%5-719%6-623%7-520%8-413%9-35%10-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs56Boise StateW 34–27+6.0—CBS
2Sep 12@75Oklahoma StateL 31–39-6.6—ESPNEWS
3Sep 18vsPortland State FCSW 84–0+17.8—BTN
4Sep 26@11USCCONFUSC −4.9 · o/u 64.5—37%NBC
5—Bye
6Oct 10vs29UCLACONFOregon −5.0 · o/u 61.1—63%
7Oct 17vs34NebraskaCONFOregon −5.7 · o/u 56.0—65%
8Oct 24@43IllinoisCONFOregon −1.2 · o/u 59.6—53%
9Oct 31vs55NorthwesternCONFOregon −8.4 · o/u 53.0—71%
10Nov 7@4Ohio StateCONFOhio State −9.7 · o/u 50.2—26%
11Nov 14vs25MichiganCONFOregon −4.1 · o/u 51.3—61%
12Nov 20@48Michigan StateCONFOregon −2.1 · o/u 52.1—55%FOX
13Nov 28vs50WashingtonCONFOregon −8.0 · o/u 53.8—70%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22754th-0.03236th
Success rate44.8%64th38.7%60th
Explosiveness1.5316th1.05315th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.9%65th39.3%62nd
Rushing success rate46.9%54th42.9%91st
Passing success rate43.6%72nd36.0%44th
Explosive run rate15.6%54th6.5%13th
Explosive pass rate18.2%12th9.8%73rd
Line yards / carry3.6419th2.7956th
Opportunity rate43.8%38th36.4%72nd
Stuff rate10.9%18th16.9%90th
Sack rate6.4%104th4.7%80th
3rd-down conversion43.3%61st27.0%15th
Red-zone TD rate87.5%14th36.4%19th
Havoc rate10.1%33rd16.0%45th
Box score · season totals
Points / game49.75th22.069th
Yards / game506.017th310.355th
Yards / play6.8128th4.9066th
Pass yards / game340.07th199.766th
Yards / pass att.9.3022nd6.5163rd
Completion %70.0%29th53.3%16th
Rush yards / game166.067th110.750th
Yards / carry4.7056th3.5760th
3rd-down conv. %50.0%25th21.9%4th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6726th2.0014th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.33104th1.6774th
Penalty yards / game73.7117th31.7125th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dan Lanning

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Dante MooreQBSR6' 3"220Detroit, MI
8Dylan RaiolaQBJR6' 3"232Buford, GA
11Akili Smith Jr.QBSO6' 5"245San Diego, CA
12Brock ThomasQBSR5' 11"182Eugene, OR
14Ryder HayesQBJR6' 2"202Grandview, TX
16TC ManumaleunaQBFR6' 0"188Salem, OR
0Jordon DavisonRBSO6' 0"225Santa Ana, CA
4Tradarian BallRBFR5' 10"192Texarkana, TX
6Dierre Hill Jr.RBSO5' 11"205Centralia, IL
21Da'Jaun RiggsRBJR6' 0"205Washington, DC
22Simeon PriceRBSR6' 0"225Pensacola, FL
26Brandon SmithRBFR6' 0"203Fresno, CA
27Killian SombeRBFR5' 10"208Portland, OR
40Zander QuinnRBSR5' 7"179Hilo, HI
1Dakorien MooreWRSO5' 11"195Duncanville, TX
2Iverson HooksWRSR5' 10"170Pike Road, AL
3Jeremiah McClellanWRJR6' 0"190St. Louis, MO
7Evan StewartWRSR6' 0"178Memphis, TN
10Jalen LottWRFR6' 0"180Frisco, TX
13Gatlin BairWRFR6' 2"204Burley, ID
15Messiah HamptonWRFR6' 1"190Rochester, NY
30Aaron BidwellWRSO6' 4"193Eugene, OR
80Dillon GreshamWRJR6' 0"190Hemet, CA
82Nathan McCoy IIWRSO5' 10"185Dallas, TX
83Hudson LewisWRFR5' 10"175Boise, ID
84Jovon McRae IIWRSO6' 2"223Camden, NJ
88Jack ResslerWRJR5' 10"204Irvine, CA
89Brady BidwellWRJR6' 3"214Eugene, OR
9Jamari JohnsonTESR6' 5"255Inglewood, CA
17Markus DixonTESR6' 4"255Philadelphia, PA
18Kendre HarrisonTEFR6' 7"250Reidsville, NC
19Andrew OleshTESO6' 5"235Center Valley, PA
81Dayton RaiolaTEFR6' 1"244Buford, GA
85Cole NewtonTEFR6' 4"216Tualatin, OR
87A.J. PuglianoTEJR6' 3"245Medford, OR
50Demetri ManningOLSO6' 6"345Bellevue, WA
53Devin BrooksOLJR6' 4"285Clackamas, OR
54Aiden LeweyOLFR6' 4"281Eugene, OR
56Trent FergusonOLJR6' 7"322Salem, OR
57Zac StascauskyOLSO6' 6"310Portland, OR
58Ziyare AddisonOLSO6' 5"311Tampa, FL
59Fox CraderOLJR6' 6"311Vancouver, WA
65Solomon KroekerOLFR6' 6"297Lake Oswego, OR
66Bryce BoultonOLSR6' 2"295Palm Desert, CA
67Beau CressAllenOLSR6' 4"303Portland, OR
68Auston MimsOLSR6' 2"303Akron, OH
70Koloi KeliOLFR6' 3"310Honolulu, HI
72Iapani LalouluOLSR6' 2"325Honolulu, HI
73Kawika RogersOLSR6' 5"325Kapaa, HI
74Dave IuliOLSR6' 3"335Puyallup, WA
75Michael Bennett IIIOLSR6' 5"320Atlanta, GA
79Immanuel IheanachoOLFR6' 6"365Baltimore, MD
0D'Antre RobinsonDLJR6' 4"307Orlando, FL
1Bear AlexanderDLSR6' 3"316Terrell, TX
28Anthony Jones Jr.DLFR6' 3"301Mobile, AL
32Tony CumberlandDLFR6' 4"284Columbus, OH
42Aydin BrelandDLJR6' 5"315Santa Ana, CA
47Elijah RushingDLJR6' 6"290Tucson, AZ
55Matthew JohnsonDLSO6' 5"319Concord, CA
90Anthony JonesDLFR6' 4"323Irvine, CA
91Derrick Brown Jr.DLSR6' 5"300Fort Washington, MD
99Jerome SimmonsDLSR6' 4"330Bamberg, SC
6Jerry MixonLBSR6' 2"241San Francisco, CA
9Devon JacksonLBSR6' 2"242Omaha, NE
13Gavin NixLBSO6' 0"232Bradenton, FL
19Braylon HodgeLBFR6' 3"211Englewood, CO
23Brayden PlattLBJR6' 2"230Yelm, WA
25Tristan PhillipsLBFR6' 3"220Ventura, CA
27Bleu DantzlerLBSO6' 2"248Chandler, AZ
34Cruz RushingLBSR6' 1"233Tucson, AZ
35Brody ThomasLBSO6' 2"224Eugene, OR
38Will StratonLBSR6' 0"214Honolulu, HI
39Cole ThomasLBFR6' 1"212Portland, OR
41Dutch HoriskLBFR6' 2"250Bellflower, CA
45Hudson CoeLBFR6' 3"244Portland, OR
51Prince TavizonLBFR6' 3"264San Diego, CA
2Na'eem OffordDBSO6' 1"195Birmingham, AL
3Koi PerichDBJR6' 1"202Esko, MN
4Brandon Finney Jr.DBSO6' 2"205Owings Mills, MD
5Davon BenjaminDBFR5' 11"196Westlake Village, CA
7Ify ObidegwuDBJR6' 1"201Baltimore, MD
8Trey McNuttDBSO6' 0"193Cleveland, OH
14Aaron Scott Jr.DBJR6' 0"196Springfield, OH
16Azel BanagDBFR5' 11"180Columbia, SC
18Dorian BrewDBSO6' 0"190Conroe, TX
20Xavier LherisseDBFR5' 10"191Melbourne, FL
21Aaron FlowersDBJR6' 0"208Forney, TX
22Devin JacksonDBFR6' 2"198Winter Garden, FL
29Arlo HendersonDBJR5' 10"200Yelm, WA
30Xavier BarksdaleDBSR6' 2"182San Diego, CA
33Zach GrishamDBSR5' 11"204Portland, OR
37Braxton SingletonDBFR6' 2"207Salem, OR
25Rocco GrazianoPKSO6' 2"211Eugene, OR
35Keaton EmmettPKJR6' 0"179Lake Oswego, OR
97Gage HurychPKJR6' 1"191West Linn, OR
36Michael SbuttoniPFR5' 9"192Ballston Lake, NY
39Bailey EttridgePSO5' 11"216Lara, Australia
49Jack NicoliPFR6' 2"204Salem, OR
64Thomas DonkerbrookLSFR6' 3"200Phoenix, AZ
71RJ ToddLSSR6' 1"222Rockford, MI

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →